Saturday Selections

Best Bet Caulfield r5 He Or She; The clear class runner as indicated by the 61kgs before the much needed 3kg claim.  No certainty but usually improves big time 2nd up and I just think $12 is massive overs.  The negatives would be a hard horse to ride, (generally gets way back, off the bit under pressure before charging late) with an inexperienced apprentice on. Each Way all day.

Caulfield r7 Stampede; Typical tough Waterhouse runner that is rising rapidly through the grades.  Goes up a notch again and is only 2nd up over 2000m but will prove tough to run down.

Rosehill r5 Sully; My early value tip for the Victorian Derby, this horse is as green as grass but when it goes straight it goes fast.  Big test today but has enormous potential. Each Way.

Belmont r2 Money Maher; The "good thing" of the day at a good thing's price.  See it winning better races than this in the near future.

Belmont r8 Diablerie; Was impressed with the ease of it's win last start even though I tipped the 2nd horse!  Can go on with it in similar race.

Multi ; Money Mahar to win into all other tips place. $44.88 (tabtouch)

Please Gamble Responsibly

 

 

Wednesday Winners

Best Bet; Cranbourne r8 Villa Rossa; Won on debut then tackled strong listed/group company without much luck.  Oliver rides and will need a good one from gate.

Warwick Farm r1 Epic Rant; Started off in Saturday company and comes here first up after winning trial.

Warwick Farm r4 Social Element; Stayer who is progressing through the grades nicely.  Clearly the one to beat, pretty poisonous odds currently.

Gold Coast r4 Our Nick; Won on debut. Last start was luckless, should of run 2nd and were getting $13 each way in a field of 8.

Kalgoorlie r6 Shibuya Crossing; From leading yard, Pike rides and set to peak 3rd up.

Kalgoorlie r7 Disposition; Has struggled to find best form but that best form would lap these. Three starts ago ran close third to Rock Magic and Scales Of Justice overs today's distance if you don't mind!

Multi; Epic Rant & Shibuya Crossing win, Villa Rosa & Disposition place $10.39 (tabtouch)

Please Gamble Responsibly.

 

Weekend Winners

Best Bet Flemington r7 Hartnell: Obvious at odds on but $1.80 for the second best middle distance galloper behind Winx in Australasia looks good value to me.

Flemington r1 Jorda; Unlucky 3rd behind Pariah who then ran a clear 2nd behind the best 3yo in Australia Menari looks outstanding form against fillies. Flemington looks like an absolute fill up for fav punters however it is usually a fav's graveyard so be wary.

Flemington r2 Royal Symphony; Boom 3yo of the winter who is unbeaten against weaker but the times and margins suggest it can beat these too.  Very keen.

Flemington r3 Chocolate Holic; Has WA Vega Magic form and looks ready after sitting wide without cover last start and just missing with a long gap to third.

Flemington r4 So Si Bon; First up had to be seen to believe then 2nd up nearly as impressive flashing home from nowhere.  Weights say he is going to be extremely hard to hold out this time.

Flemington r6 Swampland; Arguably should of won last start and has barrier advantage over Oregan's Day to turn the tables.

Randwick r4 Tom Melbourne; His runs in Sydney have been outstanding, the latest a close 2nd to Happy Clapper. Not sure why the early money is for stablemate Comin Through.

Randwick r5 Quinella no's 1 & 2.  Champagne Cuddles simply cannot draw a barrier and for that reason I'm suggesting Tulip is a strong danger but the two look to have a class edge on the rest.

Randwick r7 Redzel; Chautauqua's runs at Randwick have been breathtaking but first up over 1100m when the Everest is clearly the main focus has me thinking that the flying Redzel is going to have a big head start today and is trying to secure his own Everest berth.

Belmont r4 Patrocity; Last two starts has run on hard behind smart horses and looks better value than the fav who is promising but coming out of maiden company. Each Way.

Belmont r5 Saturia; At two career starts has finished in front of and behind the smart Epic Grey.  That looks the right form.

Belmont r7 Dark Prospect; Promising Blackfriar's stayer that hasn't put a foot wrong so far.  Looking for 1600m plus and the form around him is strong for this.

Flemington Multi; Jorda, R Symphony, Hartnell win Chocolate, So Si, Swamp place

Belmont Multi Saturia, Dark Prospect win, Patrocity place.

Flemington Early Quaddie (r2-5) 1, 4 12, 3 4 9, Field ($66 for 100%)

Flemington r4 first 4   3 4 9, S1, S1 1 2 5 6 10, S3.

Huge Day As Always Please Gamble Responsibly.

 

 

 

Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Canterbury r7 Mahalangur ; 2.2 lengths behind Addictive Nature and co in a 150k race should prove too classy here.

Mornington r3 Eureka Street; Has won it's last two in dominant fashion, up in grade but racing too well to go past.

Mornington r4 Falika; Was held up behind smart Oregan's Day first up. Has won 2nd up before and Oliver rides.

Balaklava r6 Lady Esprit; Will get back but first up was 3rd behind Missrock at Mooney Valley.  That form is irresistible here, very keen.

Balaklava r7 Balf's Choice; Weight finally caught up with him last start.  If it didn't flatten him the drop down to 54kg suits and interestingly Pike has gone over to ride.

Belmont r5 Lorentinio; Narrowly beaten last two and will look to lead and be hard to run down.

Best Multi; Mahalangur, Lady Esprit; Lorentinio all to win $13.52 (tabtouch)

Crazy Multi; Balf's Choice and Falika to Place, all other selections to win $116.16 (tabtouch)

Please Gamble Responsibly.

 

Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Sale r1 Chateau Griffo; Hot maiden but running 3rd behind Limestone and Catchy on debut is the Hottest of the Hot.

Sale r8 Cry If I Want To; Should be ready to peak after a solid effort 2nd up.  Ran 4th in the Bagot last prep.

Muswellbrook r3 Iggy The Moocher; Like following the Baker runners in the bush and was a dominant winner on debut.

Muswellbrook r5 Invincible Bot; Ultra Consistent and drawn to get gun run.

Muswellbrook r6 Majestic Pedrille; Local with plenty of upside who is down in weight after winning impressively at Taree last start.

Kalgoorlie r2 Ice One; Promising debut 2nd, can go one better.

Multi All 6 Selections to place $11.73 (tabtouch)

Please Gamble Responsibly

Weekend Winners

Best Bet Rosehill r8 Tango Rain; Former smart juvenile back to his best last start, spanking them in quick time.

Rosehill r4 Addictive Nature; Worked hard last start before fighting off a smart one for top win in fast time.  Should get easier run and prove hard to beat.

Morphetville r5 Quilista; Former WA speedster who smoked her Melbourne opposition at first start for Weir.  One of three short priced Weir runners for the meeting, would of been my best bet of the year if not for first try on Heavy ground with big weight.

Belmont r3 Money Maher; Very promising and showed explosive turn of foot first up after very impressive trial win.  Stable is on fire.

Belmont r4 Kaapander; Doesn't win out of turn but is always running on and $14 looks overs in this even field.  Each way, more the place.

Belmont r8 Floyd; Speedy type who was run down late first up so with race fitness can hang on this time.

The Following runners are multi only due to short prices.

Mooney Valley r7 Brave Smash; Close 2nd to Vega Magic is too good a form line to ignore.  Be wary of track pattern and first go at tricky circuit.

Doomben r1 Whypeeo; $1.34 says it all, too good for these.

Morphetville r8 Night's Watch; Weir runner unbeaten in Oz.

Win Multi 1 Brave Smash, Whypeeo, Night's Wish, $3.72 (tabtouch)

Win Multi 2 Tango Rain, Quilista, Money Mahar. $8.93 (tabtouch)

 

Please Gamble Responsibly.

 

Thursday Tips

Best Bet Northam r1 Smoke N Mirrors: Has run 4 2nds in a row over similar distance against similar opposition.  The last couple of winners would start very short here and must shake it's bridesmaid tag today.

Northam r6 Sense of Power; Concede it got every possible chance last start but it still got the job done and is drawn to get gun run again.  Stablemate First Affair is probably more talented but hasn't shown much this prep and Pike rides our selection.

Seymour r7 Black Sail; It's 2yo form reads well for this and came back with a dominant win.

Multi All 3 to win $21.03 and place $2.40 (tabtouch) go heavier on place multi to make a profit either way. Please gamble responsibly.

Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r6 Woodmans Keep ; On a very tough day this fellow is reasonably consistent and strikes a very winnable race. Each Way

Warwick Farm r6 Social Element; Tough ask coming out of maiden company but only had 3 starts and from top stable.  Has much more upside then the rest of these.

Two Singles only today, Please gamble responsibly.

Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Kalgoorlie r2 Badge of Courage ; Has started fav in city races, ran 2nd in Kal debut and finds perfect race to break through.

Kalgoorlie r3 Raczynksi; Has ridiculous speed and drawn inside, always very hard to catch over this distance.

Kalgoorlie r6 Bollywood Blitz; This horse just keeps raising the bar, loves the track and is dropping in weight.  Each way.

Geelong r2 Sworn Evidence; Impressive debut and has race experience against a lot of first starters.

Multi 1 Badge and Evidence win other two place $15.24 (sportsbet)

Multi 2 change Raczynski to win $37.25 (sportsbet)

Please Gamble responsibly

 

Weekend Winners

Best Bet Randwick r8 Invincible Gem; It's career record speaks for itself and I'm still getting over it beating my "bet of the Year" Le Romain last start. While this is stronger overall, Le Romain would beat them so have to tip.

Randwick r3 Jaminzah; Form says yes, speed map (what speed!) say's no but when Bowman is riding you just back him to overcome it.  Waller has scr another key hope which points to his confidence with this one.

Caulfield r2 Swampland; The penny has dropped this campaign, last start beating a very heavily backed favourite on it's merits.  Stick with her.

Caulfield r6 Sheidel; First up last prep won the group one Oakleigh plate at this track and distance.  Recently trialed like a rocket, maps well and weighted to win.  Check conditions allow leaders to win as there is word of strong headwinds.

Caulfield r7 Vega Magic; This fellow is developing into a world class sprinter and was breathtaking first up.  One try at 1400m in WA he brained them.

Belmont r5 Pinzu; Got too far back first up and just missed. Similar race and with better timing can run over the top.

Caufield Quaddie (r6-9) 4, 5, 3 8 9 15, field

Multi : All 6 Selections to place , I suggest top tote if you bet with Corporates or tote with TAB.

Please Gamble Responsibly.

 

Thursday Tips

Best Bet Northam r6 Tow Rope; Has run 3 2nds in 5 career starts, just run down at first try at distance and Pike rides. Today is the day.

Northam r2 Money Maher; 2yo prep saw it run 3rd in the sires.  Trialled against LDR's own STARTTHEFRIAR recently and couldn't of been more impressive, winning under a strangle hold from back in the field.  It is a good things price ($1.40) so use it as a multi banker.

Pakenham r6 Something Violet; While well beaten recently it has been against far superior opposition and a similar effort in this class should be good enough.

Best Multi: Tow rope / Money Maher double $2.94 (tabtouch)

add Something Violet place ($4.55) win ($10.87)

please gamble responsibly

Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Sandown r7 Crocodile Rock; Pretty obvious at $1.85 but I feel that is good value for a horse well respected in Melbourne Cup markets in this class.

Canterbury r4 Taikomochi; Lightly raced Waterhouse runner that is working through the grades nicely.  Will lead which suits Canterbury and be tough to run down again.

Belmont r4 Miss Lawrance; Has run good races on rain affected and record suggests prefers dry so today should be the day.

Belmont r6 General Husson; Honestly thought would be tipping this at $4 or $5 dollars and woke up to $2.10.  Pike factor strikes again but it looks ready and another one desperate for a dry track. 

Multi ; All four to win is paying $22.82 (tabtouch) if you bet with corporates a system 2 3 4 is advisable. Bigger bets Singles only.  Please Gamble Responsibly.

Weekend Winners

Best Bet Morphetville r3 Gun Case; Weir places his horses to perfection in Adelaide.  Has winning Melbourne form. Forgive Flemington failure as raced in wrong part of track.  Slight concern it is drifting in the market and been replaced as fav.

Morphetville r8 Balf's Choice; No horse in SA is racing better, worried about big weight stopping him soon but been too good to us not to follow.

Rosehill r1 Lifesaver; Track should suit leaders today and expect Lifesaver to find the front and prove very hard to run down.

Rosehill r7 Condor Heroes; Was a talented 2yo and beat impressive first up winner Menari in a trial recently before a nice 4th under a hold latest trial.

Moonee Valley r4 Sin to Win; Ex Kiwi who loves it soft and maps much better than the other main chances in the race.

Belmont r4 Watto's Fury; After showing good ability as a 2yo it was heavily supported first up and won accordingly.  While this is tougher, natural improvement see's him right in it.

Belmont r7 Double Digit; Currently racing very well and this field is not strong.

Multi; Lifesaver and Sin to Win for win all others place $50.36 (sportsbet) with so many legs to get through a small investment recommended.

All single wins.

Please gamble responsibly.

 

Thursday Tips

Best Bet Warrnambool r6 Birds of Tokyo; Very suitable race for a genuine wet tracker (heavy 10), who has been racing in stronger company and has the services of D Lane.

Pinjarra r3 Sense of Power; Beaten as a $1.50 pop last start (was unders) and faced with odds on again ($1.95) but this is weak and the extra 200m should help.  Winner from last defeat has since won again.

Pinjarra r6 Mrs Brown's Boy; Won easily here last start and placed to go close again either leading or trailing the 5.

Multi All 3 to win is paying $9.86 (tabtouch)

Please gamble responsibly.

Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Sandown R7 Brahmos; Was a well backed easy winner on debut here.  2nd has already won two races since and it has been heavily backed pre post again.

Sandown r4 Invictum Domina; Was slightly disappointed with it's last run but leaders were disadvantaged and it was in much stronger company so have to back up.  I think current odds ($2.30) are rock bottomand I'm waiting for better.

Warwick Farm r6 Red is the Rose; Reported to be working well in Melbourne for on fire trainers.  Last prep includes form around I Am A Star.  Each Way.

Belmont r6 Bella's Idol; Has run 3 2nds here around the same distance in better company.  Today should be the day but again expected better than $2.70 and happy to wait.

Belmont r7 Let's Twist; Has been building nicely thisprep and has form at distance unlike most of these.

Multi Brahmos win into all other selections place $10.18 (Tabtouch)

Single Wins please gamble responsibly

Weekend Winners

Best Bet Randwick r1 Champagne Cuddles; Unbeaten in two and since trialed brilliantly against smart older mares.

Morphetville R3 Sebfire ($2.05) Weir runner who justified it's prohibitive odds first up before crossing the border. On it's way to bigger and better races.

Belmont R6 Cash on Call; Has a very good record and just missed last start.  Big fan of Atlanta Blue but the setback hence 4 weeks between runs concerns me.  Fav's unbeaten stablemate Young Gina first up and first go at 1400m so watch betting.

Belmont R7 Astronomite; Sticking with him with the slight weight drop and speed map giving him a head start on big danger Falcon's Crest who's track and distance stats are impressive.

 

Please Gamble Responsibly.

Friday Fun

Gloucester Park Quaddie r5-8:

leg1 : 5 7

leg2 : 1

leg3 : 1 2 10

leg4 : 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 10 11 12

Cost $60 FOR 100%  Please Gamble Responsibly

 

Thursday Tips

Best Bet Northam r5 Sunset Pete; Different horse in soft conditions as proved by last start demolition of Belmont field.  The form from race is strong.

Northam r6 All Settled; Only 1 win from 21 but the form from last start 3rd is the right form. Great Again obviously hard to beat but too short.

Northam r7 Fille De Merit; Promising mare who has won 3 from 6 including last start at Belmont.  Always a little wary when Pike gets off (not riding here), but is the class runner.

Sale r6 Cherief's Choice; Was a very easy winner first up and should find conditions to suit out in front to be the one to catch again.

Multi 1 ; Best Bet Sunset Pete win , Other 3 selections to place $9.29 (tabtouch)

Multi 2: All 4 to place for Insurance on Best Bet

4 * Single wins Please Gamble Responsibly

Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r3Watto's Fury; Raced against the good 2yo's last season and has one a trial to suggest it hasn't gone backwards.

Belmont r7 Boxonlucy; Beat a $1.50 chance on it's merits last start and before that split a very promising one and a next start winner.

Belmont r8 Dark Prospect; Won easily on debut and not many chances in this.

Canterbury r3 Notio; First run since crossing the border was a be on me next time.  Lots of mail and money for Waller's Up N Rolling but I'm backing in race fitness.

Sandown r6 Diamond Grace; Already proven at the distance, in a stable known for producing quality stayers.

Suggested Multi ; all 5 selections above to place is paying $8.48 (tabtouch)

Single Wins Please Gamble Responsibly.

Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Bendigo r3 Bowerman; 2nd at Sandown first up after running 3rd at listed level on debut should prove a winning formula here.  Not expecting the $2 to last much longer, use boost options if you have them.

Kalgoorlie r3 Street Bandit; Doesn't win out of turn but has the best credentials over this distance in this class.

Kalgoorlie r4 Too Clever; a career record of 5 starts for 3 wins 2 2nds is enough proof that it will be far too clever for these providing it's ready first up.

Kalgoorlie r6 Quinella 2 & 7; Based on the speed map Pegatego should lead and Corvara sits on it's back, peels off and the two fight it out to the line.

Suggested Multi Bowerman, Too clever win, Street Bandit place $7.42 (tabtouch)