Albany Analysis

Best Bet r3 Oxbridge ; When this horse is on song , he is simply electric at Albany , a great course to run them into the ground over the short course. That’s what he did in this grade mid December and he carried 63kgs that day so I’m not sure 64 will stop him. At around $4.20 I’m willing to label it a best bet in terms of value .

Best Each Way r5 Outlaw Music ; Led all the way this track & distance last start , holding out today’s fav Cruise To Rio in the process . Likely to find the top again so why there is such a discrepancy in price is baffling. Concede Rio can settle closer from the inside but the each way odds are more appealing .

SRM No’s 2 6 7 All Top 4 : Lady Coco looks the other major winning chance , just doesn’t map as well as the other two.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Monday Money

Best Bet Bunbury race 5 Annie Warbucks ; She finds a weak race in her best distance range third up to get another win on the board.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Weekend Winners

Best Each Way Ascot r7 De Grandholme ; Gone from running 4th in Albany early December to 2 Ascot wins , the latest in this grade . Suddenly he has won 5 /13 including 2/2 this track & distance and drops in weight thanks to the claim. Putting a fair bit of faith in the apprentice from a sticky gate but each way odds are worth the risk.

SRM Ascot r8 Jazz Session (10) Top 2 Sky Duke (8) Top 4 ; Out of the three at the top of the market , Jazz Session is the one I trust most over 1200m , backed up by her record at the distance. Sky Duke is racing out of his skin as a 6yo and is a 5 time winner at 1200m.

Best Bet Ascot r9 Triple The Chant ; Her first two runs this prep were complete forgives where nothing went right and she now steps up to 1600m where she is 3/3 . If this was Belmont I would upgrade her to MEGABET status however her racing pattern means she will always need luck at Ascot. Hopefully she jumps and settles a touch closer with blinkers first time and if she’s presented in clear air within striking distance at the top of the straight she will mow them down. By the last race we will be well and truly aware of any on pace bias which obviously would be a major negative.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Gero Gambles

Best Bet r2 Satin Bow : Her two runs this preparation have been from the breeze over 1200m at Pinjarra., beaten 1 & 1.5 lengths to show considerable improvement from previous campaigns. A repeat of those efforts in this weaker lineup sees her going very close to breaking through.

Race 5 Boussack ; Has teased punters his entire career before moving to Geraldton where he has put two strong wins together on the bounce. The horses he has beat have strong enough form to suggest a hat-trick is within his reach.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Bunbury r5 Ripper Rupert ; The 3yo’s dropping in class are always competitive in these midweek all age class races and Rupert has barrier 1 and Pike.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Sunday Prayers

Best Each Way Mt Barker r7 Bonny Rock ; I map her to get the best run in an even race and she is racing with great enthusiasm at the moment , going a whisker from winning 3 in a row last start.

Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r5 Desert Dancing ; The first time she tried 1400m , she was a month between runs and wide all the way but still managed to run 2nd , beaten under a length. Today she returns to 1400m off another fast finishing run from last over 1200m against some of the same horses. Hoping she can settle a touch closer from the better barrier and is the one to hold out from that position.

Best Each Way Ascot r7 Camera Action ; This mare is flying and is ready to win , she just can’t draw a gate. Decent draw and senior rider I’d declare her as a top 3 moral . Tough steer for apprentice ZJP but I don’t want to miss out after backing her last two starts. Heavy place each way .

SRM Soldanelle (3) Top 3 , Camera Action Top 4 ; Soldanelle is a Pike horse, yes most are but when he’s not on his form is much poorer.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Pinny Punts

Best Value Pinjarra r4 Jobeth’s Prayer ; At start 2 this big 5yo Playing God mare went into the black book with the notes , 1600m plus. Well here she is at start 4 in a weak 1600m maiden , coming off a 5.6 length 4th to yesterdays best bet winner Poblano . Considering the fav won by 3.5 that day and both her and Sunday’s best bet winner Autumn Gem franked the form , $20 just has to be worth an each way bet.

Best SRM Pinjarra r6 Magical Sequence (n6) Top 2 , Superfluos (n2) Top 3 ; Magical Sequence looks set to continue the golden run fro trainer Jason Miller and Pike. Sat deep no cover last start and still proved too good , with the 2nd horse heavily backed and winning yesterday. Because of the golden run I just feel the $2.05 is a little short hence am including Superfluos in a SRM. He should of finished a lot closer last start if not for blowing the start . CJP takes over from the apprentice and if he jumps better he looks a danger.

Best Multi ; Jobeths Place , Magical Sequence Win ;

Please Gamble Responsibly

Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r4 Poblano ; Looks a race in two between Poblano & The Nun . Think Pike has more options from barrier 6 and she is versatile enough to lead or sit while barrier 1 could be tricky for O donnell , especially with the rail out.

Best Quinella No’s 5 & 6 ; Obvious when you think they are the only two winning chances.

Best SRM N 5 Top 2 N 6 Top 3 ; If you shop around you can get over $2. Insurance if there is an upset or The Nun gets held up .

Going chips in on it being a two horse race. Two of the three bets come in will be profit , all 3 should be a handy day.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Bunbury r4 Autumn Gem ; Ran 2nd first up to a short priced fav who dominated from the front . Looks like her best racing will be over further ground in time but this is a skinny race and Lane horses can grow a leg at their home track.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r3 Amaroo Star ; His track & distance record is 5 starts for 4 wins and 1 3rd. I have him mapped perfectly just off the speed and he has Pike to make it happen wherever he settles. Pin Deep is drawn immediately inside Tycoon Harry (6 & 7) He has the speed to keep him out or at least make Harry really earn it. If this happens , Pike will be giggling and so will punters on the favourite. If Harry crosses easily then he will be extremely tough to run down.

Best Each Way Ascot r9 Triple The Chant : Was flattened first up over 1200m in a good form race for this but still managed to come late and be only beaten 3.5 . Much better suited to 1400m and drawn to swoop down outside which is her preferred pattern.

SRM No’s 8 & 12 Top 3 ; Return Of The Mach looks very hard to beat and is clearly the danger. She also likes to hit the line and barrier 1 looks a little awkward.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Albany r4 Why Me ; Last start track & distance winner who has won 5 /33 including 3/5 at Albany. The fav Mr Popcorn has only won 2/28 , the last one over 3100m 9 months ago. Both have raced against Deadly and Fast last start , Why Me held a 7.5 length margin , Mr Popcorn went down by 0.2 . Holly Nottle continues to rack up the winners and while no moral , he clearly should be favourite.

Albany r8 Charino ; The speed horses are drawn very wide in this and considering on speed is prime real estate in Albany sprint races , it should be on early. This gives Charino the perfect opportunity to park right behind them and last start showed he is back to his best as well as ticking the 1200m box. Supersession has Pike making the trip to Albany on a Sunday and punters are attached to the hip with him. It’s not like Fiorie is a bush jockey herself and Charino maps much better. Way too much differential in the price not to side with Charino for mine.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Weekend Winners

Best Each Way Pinjarra r8 London’s Rascal ; Race fit and the likely leader which has been the place to be at Pinjarra all season so far. $7 looks good value.

Please Gamble Responsibly

New Years Numbers

Ascot r4 Black Ora ; If given the option to lead , I’m pretty confident numbers 1 ,5 , 6, & 7 would all take it . This is going to be run at warp speed . Black Ora (2) and Immortal Bliss (3) are the two who will sit back and flood home late. Pike choosing Immortal has him favourite ($2.60) vs $4.40 in early betting. I’m going for the better odds and race fitness. From the wide draw expect Lucy to sit out of trouble whereas the fav might need to secure a run through them .

Ascot r5 Playin it Sweet ; IF she doesn’t get buried too far back from barrier 1 and IF she gets out in time , she is too classy for these. At the odds (2.25) it is a BIG IF , I rate her odds on from any other barrier so will take the chance.

Ascot r6 Territory Man ; This is no harder than the last start win , the only difference is the wide barrier. Pike will have him balanced and ready to motor in the straight and he should be winning on a fair track.

Best Bet Ascot r7 Our Paladin Al ; He is still raw but when he gets balanced he can let rip and 1600m 3rd up is absolutely perfect. Barrier 2 might be tricky but any luck and he roars past this lot.

Perth Cup ; All things being equal Apulia wins however these handicaps over a staying trip throw up surprise results and odds on is just not worth the risk. If something does beat him it is likely to be something on the minimum so maybe include 9 10 and 12 in the tifecta.

Best Roughy Ascot r11 Camera Action ; If you followed us in last time I suggest we have to go again. 1200m first up was always going to be questionable and she was never put in a winning position but was beaten under 3 lengths. Both her 1400m and 2nd up stats are better and she is still in the $20 range.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Wednesday Winners

SRM Pinjarra r1 Poblano (6) Top 2 , By The Wood (11) Top 3 ; Poblano finished 2nd on debut to Rock The Market who goes round as favourite in a c1 later today and features in our tips. This looks easier and Pike jumps on so naturally he is the one to beat. $1.65 though ? He was $30s there and is drawn sticky today so that price is ludicrous. By The Wood should settle much closer from the better barrier today and looks the danger. Top 2 and Top 3 give us grace if something else defies the market at around $2 . The quinella will only pay slightly better for greater risk.

Best Bet Pinjarra r4 Rock The Market ; Yet to miss top 2 in 4 starts including last start where she broke through. Was ridden further back from the wide draw than previous runs and she hit the line strongly. She;s short enough up in grade but runners are making ground , she is the one to beat.

SRM RTM (9) Top 2 , Magical Sequence (7) Top 3 Backchatting (3) Top 4 : I think the winner definitely comes from these 3 runners so around $4 for them to run according to the market is a bet.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Sunday Prayers

Best Quinella Bunbury r4 No’s 2 & 4 ; On current form both Hey Pino & Rally The Troops should be fighting out the finish. I have RTT just ahead of HP based on barriers and the surrounding form is a little stronger. Suggest a win bet on Rally The Troops as well.

SRM Bunbury r7 4 & 9 Top 3 , 7 Top 4 ; Basing this multi on the speed map. Think Art Session (4) & On The Full (7) control the speed from the front and as long as they don’t declare war on each other , both should be hard to get past. Lenmor looks to get a great run just off them and if she reproduces last run goes close.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Boxing Day Best Bets

Albany r5 Frantic War ; Tough ask from the draw , first up with a 4kg claimer on however he’s getting out to a silly price to have a small each way play , particularly place in case he does get over cheaply. His best Albany form goes very well against these and he ran 2nd first up here last campaign. Also play the novelties with a couple of the main chances and hope he adds the value .

1 5 6 , 1 5 6 , Field. $60 for 100%

Best Bet Pinjarra r3 Xelcimus ; Should of won last start , 3 and 4 wide without cover the entire and only got out bobbed by a horse who got up on the inside. Barrier 1 this time so this time she either leads or box seats and gets her well deserved win.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Pinjarra r1 Supido Express ; Maps to get every chance either leading or leader’s back for the most exciting apprentice we have had for a long time in Holly Nottle. Coming back 100m and 2kg’s off both help her go one better.

Quinella No’s 2 & 6 ; The Nun won well on debut , she did get every possible but ran right through the line over 1000m so 1200m should be fine and she looks the main danger.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Weekend Winners,

Mad Roughie Ascot r4 Capal Gasta ; This is purely a case of I tipped it as a mad roughie last start so I’m going to go again in case it finds the front with the Blinkers going on . This is such a week race for 125k I’m willing to lose a couple of bucks rather than miss out on a Christmas miracle.

Best Each Way Ascot r9 In Good Order : In the only race on the program with decent form to work with , I have settled with In Good Order at the odds on an each way basis. Finished alongside Admiration Express in the Northerly and won this race last year . . Apulia and Diamond Scene were going great before the Northerly , both were disappointing there but can bounce back . Sentimental Hero was enormous in the Railway , terrible in the Northerly. These are the main 4 chances so hopefully we can make a decent profit at $2.70 top 3.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Bunbury Best Bet

R6 Atlantis Beach Each Way ; 8yo who has only won 3/39 however a lot of those 39 have been in higher grade than this and I’m confident he will be running into the top 3 at each way prices , with as good a chance as any to win.

Please Gamble Responsibly