Weekend Winners

Best Bet Royal Ascot r4 Redkirk Warrior; Dry Track, 1200m testing straight, first up and Frankie Dettori are all big ticks.

Belmont r6 Mizlecki; Filly with a big motor who has been up a while but hopefully seasoned after a couple of big runs against talented older horses. Was dominant in 3yo company before that.

Flemington r7 Ozi Choice; Smashed the clock after working hard last start. Generally holds form like all Weir runners when finds it.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Canterbury r4 Bringagem; Won last two very impressively, latest at same track and distance on heavy in very similar field.

Belmont r5 Bonny Be Good; Track and distance stats indicates she has found the perfect race to bounce back into form. Backing in her class more than her current form.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ipswich r7 Tradesman; Is classes above this field. $1.80 is fair but I have a hunch they will take him on closer to jump. How Egg Tart got out to 2.20 defies belief and I can see something similar happening with Tradesman with many analysts potting the price already.

Moonee Valley r2 Linguist; The 3kg claim combined with the likely run from ideal barrier make her hardest to beat.

Moonee Valley r8 Self Sense; When jumpers mix in flat runs it's hard to gauge how hard they are trying on the flat. The fact he has already nearly halved his price into $9.50 suggests they mean business and his flat runs have been more than up to this level. Each Way going heavy place looks a sound bet.

Morphetville r4 Big Hammer; Has been trialling well over the jumps in between runs which is a little concerning today's not his main aim but doubt they would cross the border for just a run. Has the flat ability to dominate.

Belmont r2 Pearl Trade; Great 2nd behind Fabergino first up and there is no better 3yo sprinting form reference in the country. Staying at 1000m is a big concern but I'm banking on a hot speed from the likes of Another Demon and Dynamite Dream to enable her to swoop late. Respect and market watch on Danny George. Worth a saver if supported.

Belmont Early Quaddie (r1-4) ; 2, 2 5, field, 1. $20 for 100%

Belmont r7 Come Play With Me; We got our revenge last start with Pike giving it every chance and was never in doubt. Concede won't get it as easy this time and have to take "Pike Odds" but still hardest to beat.

Belmont Quaddie (r5-8) 6, 1 2 3, 6 , field $48 for 100%

Rosehill r2 Gresham; Starting to get up to the weights that hurt but won too easily last start in arguably tougher race not to tip again.


Belmont r1 Special Reward

Belmont r4 Enticing Star

Belmont r5 Red Army

with Tradesman $6.80 (tabtouch) * If you have top fluc available I think you will get better odds on the day.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r8 Nordic King; Keen to give last weeks multi killer another go. Winkers go on and I feel his inexperience cost him last start as he didn't want to fully extend with horses tight on either side. Still ran 2nd and with clear running from good barrier should make amends.

Belmont Quaddie (r5-8); 6, 1 2 3 4 7 8  9 10 12 13, 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 13, 1. $110 for 100%

Sandown r4 Hang Man; Very progressive young stayer who handles all conditions and has a lethal turn of foot. Horse who beat him two starts ago is smart and won again Sunday.

Warwick Farm r5 Chalmers; Very consistent and last two efforts strong for this. Barrier 1 and James Mcdonald so should get every chance.


Belmont r5 Sophia's Choice

with Nordic King & Hang Man $9.35 (tabtouch)

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Monday Money

Best Bet Randwick r2 Wide Spread Panic; Natural improvement from very good first up run takes care of these.

Randwick r5 Revolver; Maps to get world perfect run and has won on heavy before.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Kalgoorlie r4 Swift Sis; If 2nd to Dainty Tess at Ascot is not the right form here then you might aswell flush all form down the toilet. Big weight the only concern.

Kalgoorlie r6 Rojo Calor; Has raced against better opposition and first time here was a soft win.

Kalgoorlie Quaddie (r4-7) 4, 1, 1, fld $11 for 100%

Swan Hill r8 Silentz; Going for 4 on the bounce and while this is biggest test so far it is well within his reach.

Swan Hill Quaddie (r7-10) 4, 14, fld, 2 3 4 6 7 9 11 12 13 $81 for 100%


Swan hill r7 Thunder Cloud

Kalgoorlie r1 The Cruel Sea

Kalgoorlie r5 Little Fish

$4.66 (tabtouch)

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Belmont r7 Rock Mylady; On a ridiculously tough day Australia wide to find a winner this one was very "quietly" ridden til very late last start after upsetting the hot fav Vital Silver the start prior. With the barrier advantage and luxury of each way odds, I'm happy to go with the  Paul Harvey ridden runner for  bout 3 between the two.

Belmont r2 Quinella No's 1 & 4; With topweight Galaxy Star dominating the market at $1.50, backing the class of Missile Launch to fill the Quinella. The others in the market are solid winter stayers but nowhere near the class of the other two.

Belmont Early Quaddie (r1-4); 2, 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8, 1, 5 7 12. $24 for 100%

Belmont Main Quaddie (r5-8); 2 3 4 7 8 12, 1 2 3 4 5 6, 1 2 9 10, 13. $144 for 100%

Flemington r2 Lycurgus; Very much inform stayer in a thin race.

Randwick r8 I Thought So; Becoming a frustrating horse for fans who he has a lot of but another suitable assignment to repay the faith.

Doomben r8 Pecans; Forget last start when distance was totally unsuitable. Before that was in a real purple patch and drawing out should be ok by this time. Small each way spec at good odds.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r3 Montagna; Proven at the trip and in good form.

Belmont Early Quaddie (r1-4) 5, 1 2, 3, 3. $2 per 100%

Canterbury r7 Bringagem; With half of the good speed scratched, now gets a good run up on pace and a head start on main rivals


Belmont r4 Nordic King

with Montagna $4.49 Bringagem $4.65 both $14.38

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Ballarat r6 Rat With Goldtooth; Don't like the name but the form lines are irresistible here and ready to peak 3rd up.

Ballarat r9 Skelton ; Heavily supported on debut and those supporters were never concerned with a very soft kill. Wet track the unknown.

Ballarat Quaddie (r6-9) ; 1 , 1 3 4 5 6 7 9 11 12, 1 3 6 8 9 13 14 15 , 6 $72 for 100%

Pinjarra r5 Misty Lad; Has looked good this campaign and can go back to back, each way.

Pinjarra r8 Chin Strap; Very hard horse to catch but first up over 1000m is a suitable assignment.

Pinjarra Quaddie (r5-8); 1 5, 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 10, 2 4, 5. $32 for 100%

Sha Tin r8 Superich; Comes out of a solid form race into an easier assignment.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Rosehill r2 Gresham; Was only midweek but absolutely thrashed them last start and gets gun run behind speed.

Moonee Valley r2 William Thomas; Clearly the best horse in race, can do things wrong but has Damian Lane to sort that out.

Moonee Valley r7 My Nordic Hero; Good Distance stats and 2nd to Boom Time reads well.

Belmont r3 Come Play With Me; The Pike factor has it at odds on ($1.90) but you can't stop him at the moment and should make amends for last start's horror show when strung up in traffic.

Belmont Early Quaddie (r1-4)

3 , field, 4, 1 2 3 4 5 8 10 12. $88 for 100%

Belmont Quaddie (r5-8)

field, 8, 2 3 4, 1 4 13. $99 for 100%


Moonee Valley r1 Anjana

Sunshine Coast R5 Egg Tart

Moonee Valley r5 Jamaican Rain

with Come Play With Me $11.05 (tabtouch)

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Warwick Farm r3 Mazaz; Was soft in the market when had no luck/ poorly ridden (take your pick) in a much stronger race over the Scone carnival. Hard to beat back in this company.

Ipswich r4 Natch; Handles all conditions and 3kg claim from good draw makes his winning prospects appear bright.

Balaklava r6 Lynch Mob; All of 6 Jamie Kah's mounts are pre post fav's and at $2.10 this is one of the longest priced ones!! If she can do a Pike it has the form to take this out.

Belmont r1 Nemiroff; Very impressive trial under a hold before pushing a $1.20 boom horse right to the end. Obviously very talented and only has to back up after 10 days to win here but at $1.95 it is a risk with 2yo's. Hoping for slightly longer odds before diving in.

Multi **

Warwick Farm r2 Seasons

Belmont r7 State Prosecuter

w Nemiroff $5.41 (tabtouch)

** I suggest most of these may drift slightly hence wait til closer to start time or go top tote if available.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Randwick r4 Falerina; Looks the likely leader and is very speedy. With the fav to carry 62kgs will take some catching.

Belmont r5 Arcadia Prince; Went down as a long odds on fav when resuming but just run out of ground. Hopefully settles just behind them from barrier 1 and arrives in time.

Belmont Quaddie (r5-8); 3, 1 5 6 8 11, 1 2 6 8 12 $25 for 100%

Sandown r9 Fifty Stars; Plenty are taking him on this time but I envision they will take a sit and he can be even more impressive despite the weight swing against.

Sandown Quaddie r6-9 ; 1, 2 5 8 9 10 11, field, 1. $60 for 100%


Belmont r4 Galaxy Star

Belmont r8 Enticing Star

Sandown r5 Self Sense

Sandown r6 Lucky For All

$7.36 for all 4 (tabtouch), Add tips above for more value

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Pinjarra r5 Enchanted Dream; Is 3/3 at this track and seems to be finally getting back to it's best form which is good enough here.

Pinjarra r7 Sariska; Never easy winning coming from maiden grade but has a boom on him and didn't dissapoint at $1.50 in maiden victory.

Ballarat r8 Captain Harry; Progressing quickly this campaign and last start was on a bog which will be similar to today once the last comes round.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Doomben r9 Anatola; Not very brave at $2 but is flying and in a different class to it's rivals.

Flemington r2 Grey Shadow; Getting better with every run and Weir is unstoppable at moment.

Flemington r9 Iconoclasm; Another Weir runner that just keeps raising the bar

* at time of writing it was very hard to get an accurate track rating for Flemington as it's very wet in Melbourne but the track dries remarkably fast. Both tips don't have any wet form so a soft 5 is as wet as I would play.

Morphetville r5 Lite'n in my Veins; Hasn't this horse appreciated the move to SA! Track and distance stats combined with compressed weights make it the one to beat.

Ascot r2 Come Play With Me; Dominant win 3rd up after 2nd up was in WA Derby so should have more upside.

Ascot r4 New Age; Hate the barrier 2nd up but it's first up win with the hand brake on carrying 60kg indicates she has come back a serious racehorse.

Ascot r5 Missile Launch ; Very Awkward barrier but if can get across has far more upside than the rest of them.

Ascot Early Quaddie (r1-4) 1, 3 8, 1 2 3 4 5 7 9 10, 8. $16 for 100%

Ascot Main Quaddie (r5-8) 2, 5, 1 2 3, fld $48 for 100%


Ascot r6 Galaxy Star

with Anatola $3.20 Suggest bank a profit here and maybe add a few of the other tips in separate versions.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Sandown r8 Heavenly Thought; By now we will already have an idea on  how the Weir/Warnambool form is holding up. However 2nd to Lucky For All has already been well and truly franked. Lucky would be dripping in red here.

Sandown r4 Creedence; Performed satisfactory over 2800m in much tougher. Obviously 2400m no problem.

Sandown r7 Goethe; Anyone who followed last start has to back up. With no room to go up the straight it was in front and full of running 50m past the post. It wasn't missed however $18 - $5 already. $5 is a massive overreaction , really should get close to $10 late.

Ascot r1 Lipstick Flickers; Saw the trial first hand as it was against our very own ATOMIZE. Fastest of the 2yo's by some margin and straight in the black book. Barrier  is awful and will be going small just in case it's extra special.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Scone r1 Mazaz; 2nd to boom horse Roman Son last start and is always in the finish at this distance range.

Ascot r4 Middle Earth; Has a finishing burst the others can't match so if he can produce it at the end of 2100m first time he will have them covered.

Doomben r9 Higher Ground; Sydney form always stands up at this carnival and this one has it in spades.

Morphetville r7 Tangled; Brings A Grade Sydney staying form so if it has anything left will be right in the finish. Have to back trainer that it does and your getting each way insurance.


Ascot r1 Enticing Star

Scone r2 Cradle Mountain

Caulfield r8 Furrion

Morphetville r5 Peaceful State

$6.94 (tabtouch) with Mazaz $23.61

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Warwick Farm r2 Galina; Only has to match last start effort when nosed out by stablemate to win here.

Sandown r8 Goethe; Only beaten by huge weight last start. Is flying for new stable and is a great each way price in an open race.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Flemington r9 Iconoclasm; Weir runner at the top of his game and is adaptable to any conditions.

Rosehill r4 She Knows; Backing up from soft kill last week and to mine is a better horse than the fav.

Rosehill r6 Nettoyer; Concede she will get a long way back and prefers a wet track but she is racing too well against some horses that look past their prime.

Ascot r4 Rose's Shadow; Likes the track and distance and Pike rides from good gate.

Ascot r5 Finally French; Should be unbeaten but got way too far back last start before thundering home. Should settle closer from the good draw.

Ascot Quaddie (r5-8); 5, 6, 8 ,  1 2 4 5 7 11 $6 for 100%

Gold Coast r8 Comin Through; Not usually one of mine but beaten two lengths in a Doncaster and 5th behind Winx stands out like a beacon!!!

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Thursday Tips

Best Bet Wagga r7 Ashlor; 5 from 7 at distance and beaten half a length behind Rich Charm last start!

Wagga r2 Laughing or Crying; Ran on hard in harder race last start.

Wagga r5 Bennelong Dancer ; 4th in the country championship final looks fantastic form for this.

Warrnambool r4 Hang Man; It was only a maiden field it demolished last start but it was also only start 3.

Pinjarra r6 Touched; Race wasn't run to suit last start. Pike goes on and you can find Friar Fox form last prep.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r2 She's a Galah; Ran a very encouraging 2nd outside the leader on a Saturday first up. Pike sticks and drawn for easier run.

Warrnambool r4 Bold Bandit; One start over the jumps was 2nd over 4800m in Ireland. Won on Australian debut on the flat and no doubt will be strong at the end.

Warrnambool r9 Lucky For All; Great win first up against the pattern of the day. Looks destined for better.

Canterbury r3 Oria; Looks a Saturday horse in the making and was very strong through the line when winning with authority first up.

Canterbury r7 Molten; Looks likely leader and hardest to beat in current form.

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