Midweek Marvels

Best Bet: Ascot r3 Chin Strap; Giving this maiden one more chance.  Dissapointing first up but ran an encouraging 2nd behind the flying Sweet Ora 2nd up.  Scratching of I am Incredible has made it pretty short so hoping for better before jump.  There is always Superpick and other boost products to help.

r5 Tomohawk: Another runner for the father and son Casey combo, slightly up in class but won with ease first up and can repeat.

r6 River Dance: Down in class on recent encouraging efforts, ready to win.

r7 Dolusky; Been racing very well in slightly easier.  Good each way value in a wide open race.

Sunshine Coast r13 Toni May; Race 13! don't see that too often at a thoroughbred meeting, big fields due to Saturday losing half their card to the weather.  If we're cashed up then Toni May was beaten in town at a short quote last start but it was on a soft track.  Back to dry and Sunshine Coast where it was flying before that race.

Sunday Session Cash

Best Bet: Mount Barker race 7 Miss Somebody, The king of The Great Southern Steve Wolfe looks to have the last at his mercy with this galloper.

race 4 Dream Merger : if he brings his A game he should prove too classy.

Quaddie ( r4-7)

1, field,field,11@ $154 for 100%

Short but Sweet Saturday

Todays racing looks light on specials, especially at a backable price so we will stick to our absolute best.

Best Bet; Ascot Race 8 Chocolate Holic, thinking they were heading to next weeks Railway Stakes I was expecting to see this untapped son of Blackfriars in the Peters (r6).  With stablemates in that race at least he looks a moral in this field.

Sandown r9 : Cool Chap;  Should be at peak fitness, hopefully rated a little better in front and can go one better.

Multi punters can consider Mr6 Mortons Fork and Pr3 State Solicitor, should win but too short to tip.

Share your best bets with other ducks in the comments and get involved with our own son of Blackfriars in our inaugral racing partnership, details on the racing page of our website.

Have a bet n frothy friday

Best Bet Moonee Valley r6 Black Sheep; When Darren Weir has a horse in the zone they usually stay there for a long tome.  This galloper fits the bill with a career best performance at it's most recent run at the same track and distance in the same grade.

Moonee Valley r5 Gun Case; Darren Weir trained sprinter who is always competitive in these 955m races.  Tricky barrier but horses often sit 3 wide and swoop on the bend over this distance.

Hopefully a race to race double for the master trainer and gun apprentice.

Win Big At Bunbury

Best Bet R3 Slick Mover , Has run two 2nds at it's two starts.  I don't rate the fav especially at even money so I'm happy to tip Slick Mover.

R1 Grindabella, Following up our tip from cup day when it tried valiantly with a big weight and was run down late by a horse who won it's next start on Saturday.  Very competitive race but with Randy Tan giving some weight relief happy to stick at around $4.40.

R7 Black Freda, Unbeaten Blackfriar's mare in another very winnable race.  Go the Blackfriars!!!!

want more winners wednesday

Best Bet Bendigo r6 Ceylon, Had time for a nice cup of tea when bolting in a maiden last start.  2nd horse has well and truly franked the form since.

Ascot r4 Rising Sea, Best horse in race, Best Jockey in race.

Final Day Blast Out

After the first two tips of the carnival saluting, it has been too light on winners for our liking so we are going to end with a bang and blast out to glory.

Best Bet Flemington r3 Francis of Assisi ; Godolphin travelling companion for it's cup team that bolted in the Bendigo cup at it's Aussie debut. Fav Tom Melbourne has had a tough campaign trying to qualify for the cup and when it gets tired late the lightly raced 7yo will be swallowing him up.

r8 The Quarterback; $6.50 for the reigning Newmarket handicap winner (same track and distance).  Each way all day.

There is another huge quaddie jackpot so here we go (r6-9)

field, 3 5, 3 6, 3 8 10

Ascot

Quaddie (r5-8) 1 2 4 6 8,  3 7, 5 7, 6 8.

Doomben r5 Better Land ; Ex Moody Galloper who was once tipped as a future group one winner but never gone on with it.  First run in it's new home in Qld was a easy kill and can definitely repeat the dose here.

Oaks Day Selections

Best Bet R6 Clearly Innocent ; Have been waiting for this horse to appear at the carnival.  Richly talented and has been tuned up with two runs in unsuitable races.

R3 Murt the Flirt; Always good to have an omen bet on ladies day and this horse has the form on the board to back it up.

R5 Exocet ; Huge run last start in worst part of track, finishing next to group one winner.

Early Quaddie (r2-5)  3 16, 4, fld, 13 @ $22 for 100%

Main Quaddie (r6-9) 11, 4, 1, field @$18 for 100%

Gawler r2 Hidden Fortune: brings city maiden form to the provincials for leading trainer.

Hawkesbury r5 Circular; very strong formlines for this race

r6 The Gavel; races on speed which gives it advantage over main rival Pursuit of Honour who gets back.

Quaddie (r5-8) 2, 3, 1 4, field @$16 for 100%

Really looks a good day to make some coin.  Good Luck.

Champagne Frothies and Winners

Best Bet Mr10 Silent Sedition, hopefully we have money left by the last and are sober enough to put it on .  This mare can really ping home and is on track to have a crack at Perth's Railway Stakes.

Ascot Bets:

r3 Grindabella , tough ask for a mare to lump 59kgs but the opposition is very ordinary.

r8 Royal Missile, stablemate to fav but number one jockey rides and proven at the distance.

Bunbury Bets

r5 Mica Lil, has much more upside than the other runners and won brilliantly last start.

r6 All settled, ready to break through against a talentless field

r7 Big Caroline, big weight again but carried it before and been racing against better opposition than meets today.

Cup preview on seperate post earlier, party on Ducks.

The race that stops the nation and gives them a reason to get sloshed on a Tuesday

The Melbourne Cup is one of the hardest races in Australia to make money off excluding the Makybe Diva era.  24 runners, huge international contingent, many unseen until the big day.  It would be unaustralian to not have a crack however so here we go.

No6 Hartnell; The Fav is the best horse in this race no doubt.  The worry is the very end of the 3200m especially if it pulls in running.  If it settles I can't get the Turnball stakes run out of my head when it destroyed them including Jameka still under a hold. 

No 20 Oceanographer: The second fav has been heavily supported as predicted by yours truly after two ultra impressive efforts in Australia.  Will relish the extra distance and be the one storming over the top of them. 

No13 Heartbreak City my value choice is an out and out stayer with a good turn of foot, perfect for a Melbourne cup.

There is a massive jackpot on the first four which will take some getting but with flexi betting you can get a small percentage of a massive dividend for a smallish outlay.

1st 6 20

2nd 6 12 13 17 20

3rd 6 8 12 13 17 19 20

4th 1 6 8 9 12 13 17 18 19 20 23

A $1 unit would cost $320 , $50 would get you 15%

Good Luck Punters, enjoy the day and back winners.

Day 1 Flemington Carnival

Best Bet : Mr4 Oceanographer: Import trying to force his way into the Cup Tuesday.  The tempo and track bias were against him in the Geelong cup but his effort to steam home said be on me next start.

Other Bets : Mr3 Sheidel: WA mare who is airborne, suited at the weight scale and one of the world's best J Morreira to ride.

Mr 7: Sacred Elixir; Derby Fav who to my eye is the best stayer in the race.  Respect to Swear but winning a gruelling 2500m race at start 5 looks a tough ask.

Quaddie (r6-9) field, 1 , 1 2 4 7 11 16 , 5 8 9 11. (obv flexi betting required)

Ascot Tips

Pr1 Golden Trigger: If it can get over from outside gate it will take some catching.

Pr4 Forever Diamonds : Looks the best bet of the program, one of several big chances for the wizard Willy Pike.

Pr8 Brackets : Pike again from barrier 1 in a pretty moderate bunch.

Early Quaddie (r1-4) 1 9, 1 , 1 3 4 5, 3. $8 for 100%

Main Quaddie (r5-8) 8, 1 2 5 7 9 10, 3 4 7, 3   $18 for 100%

Winning Wings For Wednesday

 Best Bet: Ascot r5 Lusaha; Was hoping for a better price but with all the boost options around I'll stick.  Smashed the field and clock first up at Northam first up, previously running competitively in 2yo carnival races last season.  Too speedy again.

Other Bets

Mr3 Magnarock; Don't usually tip horses with 61kgs but has form around listed and Saturday winners.  Most of the field carry 58.5-60kg anyway.

Mr8 Our Century; Bendigo Cup and while this import hasn't set the world on fire in Australia it drops in weight and in the Uk has a 2nd to Hartnell who would win this by a massive space. 

Sr8 Cannot Be Serios; I can with this galloper who admittedly jumps a fair bit in class but was super impressive first up and backed accordingly in the ring. Watch market again.

Br1 High Specs; Third up, run down late 2nd up and Lloyd to ride.

Br7 Wicked Trilogy; Looks the best horse in race just needs some J Byrne help to overcome wide gate.

Ascot Quaddie (r4-7) 1 2 3 4 5 6, 2, 1 2 8, 1 5 7. @$54 for 100%

COX PLATE DAY BEST BETS

Best Bet Mr8 Gallante: Sydney cup winner on the way to Melbourne Cup who first up finished 2nd to Jameka with huge weight. Wary of import second wave but backing the proven form in.

Other bets

Mr5 Lady Le Fay : Superior form and ability looks a weight certainty.

Pr5 Final Salute: Respect to Sandalwood but backing race fitness and Pike to hold the edge.

Pr6 Agachar Cruz : They will go like scalded cats in this and banking on Cruz sitting right on their hammer from barrier two.

Pr8 Scales Of Justice: raced too fresh first up, perfect distance should redeem himself.

People are dropping off Hartnell in the cox plate like it's not breathing.  I agree Winx is the hot favourite but stick firm with it's the only danger.  It thrashed Jameka hard held.  Hopefully the quinella will pay overs due to the strange knock on Hartnell.

Cox Plate First 4 : 3 8, 3 8, 2 4 9 6 , 2 4 9 6. @ $24 for 100%

Mr quaddie (r7-10)  1 3 5 7 8, 1 9, 3 8, 1 2 3 6 11 @$100 for 100%

Pr quaddie (r5-8) 7 11, 2 6, 1 2 3 4 12 13, 5 7. @ $48 for 100%

Friday night fish and tips

Best Bet Mooney Valley r3 Tarquin : Team Hartnell get a cox plate warm up with Tarquin running over the cox plate trip tonight.  Last start third to Real Love who ran a good race in the Caulfield Cup should have him cherry ripe for this assignment.  With plenty of rain around maybe wait til just before jump in case the track deteriorates into the really soft range which dampens my confidence.  Mad Bookie has a promo offer on the race.

Tonights Group 1 Manikato is the highlight , I am of the opinion that Chautauqua is too inconsistent to follow, on his day he blows them away but his first up run was flat as which he has done before.  Buffering looks to get a picnic out in front.  LDR will concentrate on the quaddie to have an interest in the race.

Quaddie r5-8

Field, 3, 1 2, 7 11.  $36 for 100%

Whoop Here's a Winner Wednesday

Best Bet Mr6 Theanswermyfriend: The Geelong classic is a traditional derby/oaks lead up usually for horses that don't get a start in the bigger Saturday lead ups.  This years edition is quite strong but I'll take a last start winner at Caulfield with that man Dwayne Dunn onboard. Crownbet and Mad Bookie are running specials on the race.

For those that like adding favs to a multi Mr5 demonstrate and Pr1 Settlers Creek look very hard to beat but are rock bottom prices.

Super Excited Saturday Tips

Best Bet : Caufield Cup The 3.60 Fav Jameeka is my best bet of the day.  Two runs ago she demolished the other local hopes and last start she thrashed everything bar Hartnell who along with Winx are the two geniune superstars of Australian racing.  52.5 kgs and trained to the minute will take a stack of beating. 

Other Bets

Mr2 Morton's Fork- Sydney Form dominant this spring.

Pr7 Neverland Stablemate to both favs but absolutely flies first up and at the value around $12 great eway bet.

Sr4 Pumpkin Pie unbeaten winning easily at first two starts and from powerful provincial stable.

Sr5 Bullrush Looks ready 3rd up to prove too classy for this field.

Sr9 Spieth Very exciting horse, one knock is yet to win first up but has had excuses.

Ar5 Kifaah Right trainer, right form very confident.

Ar7 Benz won 5 out of 6 and beat a promising type last start.

Hope to see as many sandgropers at our Meet & Greet at Ascot today, surely the weather will clear in time but rain hail or shine it will be raining winners for Lucky Ducks.

Thursday Tip Time

Moe Cup On at 1.00pm WA Time and the fav Raw Impulse should be shouting us Moet well beer at least at around $2.30.  Was disappointing in Group 1 Turnball at Flemington but this is much more suitable and a wet track also helps.  Really looks classes above for mine.  Sorry for the late notice Daylight saving really catches us Sandgropers out!

Welcome Sunshine with Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Bunbury race 4 Big Caroline.  When a mare hit's form they generally stay there and Caroline is flying.  Three wide without cover last start lumping a big weight was still too good.  Drawn for a much softer run in slightly stronger grade the $6 eway on offer looks great value.

Mr8 Euro Angel Caufield has a strong pre cup meeting today with wide open fields.  Euro Angel looks the best bet in the last.  Has a big booming finish on her, jockey of the moment Dwayne Dunn to steer home another winner.

Bunbury Quaddie (r5-8)

3 4 5 8 11 12, 4 14, 2 4 5 11, 4 7 11 14.  @$192 for 100%  Suggested stake 25%

Caufield Cup Saturday where early fav Jameeka looks toughest to beat.  Come and join the team for a punters club and drink at the Opening Ascot Meeting.  Details on our social events page or facebook page.

Sunday Prayers

Best Bet: Mr9 Ruettiger in the Apache Cat Classic.  $4 for a horse that has beaten Voodoo Lad and run 4th to Sooboog at Flemington at it's last two starts will do me nicely.  Voodoo Lad would thrash this field.  The one Query is the 1000m as it's better over 1200m but from the ideal barrier should park close enough.  Omen punters be wary of Bullpit withRoss Higgins, who played awesome character Ted Bullpit in 80's classic Kingswood Country passing away on Friday.

Other Bet: Ar6 Time Walker is from Adelaide's leading yard with top hoop Dom Tourneur to ride.  Dropping from a 2nd in Saturday grade to a Gawler c2 and you can still get $2.50.  Suggest you take it early and even boost it at Ladbrokes, Sportsbet or Tabtouch as doubt that price will last.

Good Luck Ducks and remember to keep next Saturday free for the Perth Meet n Greet at Racecourse where you can help rob the bookies blind.

Super Confident Saturday

Best Bet: Mr9 He's Our Rokkii, $3 fav in the group one Toorak Handicap.  Being a handicap and carrying 55kgs makes me even more confident. Ladbrokes has best tote +20%, Palmerbet and The Betting Club bonus bet for 2nd, 3rd.

OtherBest Bets

Mr2 Assign ,2nd to stablemate who has franked the form, gap to third, should win today. Luxbet, Sportsbet and Crownbet have bonus bets for 2nd 3rd this race.

Ar2 Pepper the Pin, Flying this campaign meets similar field.

Sr6 Handfast Running good races in top company, looks ready

mr10 Star Turn Very talented 3yo with strong formlines and weight advantage.

Crownbet Multi (2 out of 3 bonus bet)

Assign,Handfast,Star turn

Quaddies

Mr EARLY (R3-6) FLD,3 5 10, 2 4 14, 3   @ $117 for 100%

Mr Main (r7-10) 2 3 4 6 8 10 12, 1 2 5, 4, 12 @ $21 for 100%