Perth Inter Dominion Preview

Tonight Gloucester Park comes alive when the best pacers from Australasia contest the first round of Inters heats.  Tonight's heats look tricky with the big guns drawn awkwardly so I will concentrate on the series overall.

Two Victorian stablemates dominate the betting, Hectorjayjay and Lennytheshark.  I am tipping reigning champion Lennytheshark to go back to back at the slightly better odds. (3.50 v 2.70).  He has already proven he can handle a tough inters series comprising of three rounds of heats and a final, has the services of champion reinsman Chris Alford and handles Gloucester Park.  He is also very versatile in that he can do plenty of work at both ends of the race if required.  Hector is the new star, yet to race at Gloucester Park and more suited to sit and sprinting which is difficult to do at Gloucester Park. 

Roughies with a slim chance look to be;

Restrepo; If drawn to lead is hard to run down.

Our Jimmy Johnstone; In great form and has the local experience, very versatile racing pattern. Great place chance at odds.

Tonights Heats

R4 Guaranteed either leads or takes a sit on Lennytheshark.  Our Jimmy Johnstone gets a great run behind them.  Bet First Four   8, 1 2 , 1 2 3 5 10, field. $56 for 100%

 

R6 Weakest of the heats with Bettors Fire drawn to lead all the way. Bet Bettors Fire WIN

R8 Bling It On or Restrepo to lead, Hectorjayjay to try and swamp them. No Bets.

Race 7 is the 4yo classic and the NZ visitor has drawn horribly inside the back line. Kiwi horses generally race on huge tracks with plenty of room and Gloucester Park is the complete opposite.  Also a big trip to overcome first up in a top quality field.  Impossible to knock his form and the stable is full of genuine superstars.  Worth watching just for the spectacle.  There are horses in this race with picket fence form lines starting at massive prices.  Picking the right one is impossible but at $41 I'll give Harry Hoo a slim chance of causing the upset.

Best Bet is R1 Johnny Disco.  $3.50 for a richly talented pacer drawn to lead with champion driver A.C. Lewis in the bike.  The NZ all star stable start the hot favourite Piccadilly Princess from 4 but I'm happy to take it on, 4yo mare welcomed to Perth with 37 degree heat over 2536m.

If your new to Harness Racing tonight is a great time to check it out.

 

 

All Aboard the Lucky Duck Train

Best Bet Eagle Farm race 8 Better Land; Certainty beaten (like every loser I Tip!) last start, Jim Byrne owes followers a winner.  Drawn and weighted perfectly.

Ballarat race 1 Cheeky Babe; Melbourne leading trainer Darren Weir's home track should kick off with a win, progressing nicely and placed to perfection.

race 5 Galaxy Raider; Always shown above average ability, finally put it together last start braining an easier race with the handbrake on so hopefully goes on with it.

race 7 Speedeor; Another Weir runner who has won both starts this prep jumping from a maiden to a stakes race which takes a smart horse.  One of the bets of the day.

Ascot race 2 Secret Assault; One at massive odds on a really tough program.  Will go hammer and tongs the whole way, hopefully all the way. Small each way the go.

race 4 Sasso Circus; Damian Oliver rides for LDR trainer Jason Miller.  Track record reads 4 starts for 3 wins and a second including 1 at distance.  $8 currently while fav Cronkite 2 starts for zippo and never tried at distance.  Good each way value.

race 9 Jestajingle; Bred in the purple and lightly raced, big step up in grade but covered them with a couple of strides last start.  Best bet on card.

Ascot Early Quaddie (r2-5) 2 4 12, 1 4 5 6, 7 8, 2($24)

Main Quaddie (r6-9) 3 5 11, field, 6 7 , 15. ($96)

Railway Stakes; SEE HOMEPAGE

Guineas; Throw a dart at the form guide. Impossible race.

Thursday Bookie Bashers

Best Bet; Northam race 4 Amaliemoo ; 3rd on debut following two trial wins and finds a weak maiden to notch up a victory for Lucky Duck Trainer Jason Miller.

race 1 Floyd; Trialing like a winner, already backed like it's a good thing.  Option for multi players or early quaddie standout.

race 6 Dark Mahal; Blackfriar's4yo Gelding again for Jason Miller who was crying out for the trip when smashing a maiden field including most of today's main rivals.

race 7 Macavity; Showed promise for Godolphin in NSW before winning with ease first up at York.  Tougher here but has upside.

Early Quaddie ( r1-4)  4, field, field, 11.

Main Quaddie (r5-8) 1 2 7 9 10 11 , 1, 3, field.

Midweek Marvels

Best Bet: Ascot r3 Chin Strap; Giving this maiden one more chance.  Dissapointing first up but ran an encouraging 2nd behind the flying Sweet Ora 2nd up.  Scratching of I am Incredible has made it pretty short so hoping for better before jump.  There is always Superpick and other boost products to help.

r5 Tomohawk: Another runner for the father and son Casey combo, slightly up in class but won with ease first up and can repeat.

r6 River Dance: Down in class on recent encouraging efforts, ready to win.

r7 Dolusky; Been racing very well in slightly easier.  Good each way value in a wide open race.

Sunshine Coast r13 Toni May; Race 13! don't see that too often at a thoroughbred meeting, big fields due to Saturday losing half their card to the weather.  If we're cashed up then Toni May was beaten in town at a short quote last start but it was on a soft track.  Back to dry and Sunshine Coast where it was flying before that race.

Sunday Session Cash

Best Bet: Mount Barker race 7 Miss Somebody, The king of The Great Southern Steve Wolfe looks to have the last at his mercy with this galloper.

race 4 Dream Merger : if he brings his A game he should prove too classy.

Quaddie ( r4-7)

1, field,field,11@ $154 for 100%

Short but Sweet Saturday

Todays racing looks light on specials, especially at a backable price so we will stick to our absolute best.

Best Bet; Ascot Race 8 Chocolate Holic, thinking they were heading to next weeks Railway Stakes I was expecting to see this untapped son of Blackfriars in the Peters (r6).  With stablemates in that race at least he looks a moral in this field.

Sandown r9 : Cool Chap;  Should be at peak fitness, hopefully rated a little better in front and can go one better.

Multi punters can consider Mr6 Mortons Fork and Pr3 State Solicitor, should win but too short to tip.

Share your best bets with other ducks in the comments and get involved with our own son of Blackfriars in our inaugral racing partnership, details on the racing page of our website.

Have a bet n frothy friday

Best Bet Moonee Valley r6 Black Sheep; When Darren Weir has a horse in the zone they usually stay there for a long tome.  This galloper fits the bill with a career best performance at it's most recent run at the same track and distance in the same grade.

Moonee Valley r5 Gun Case; Darren Weir trained sprinter who is always competitive in these 955m races.  Tricky barrier but horses often sit 3 wide and swoop on the bend over this distance.

Hopefully a race to race double for the master trainer and gun apprentice.

Win Big At Bunbury

Best Bet R3 Slick Mover , Has run two 2nds at it's two starts.  I don't rate the fav especially at even money so I'm happy to tip Slick Mover.

R1 Grindabella, Following up our tip from cup day when it tried valiantly with a big weight and was run down late by a horse who won it's next start on Saturday.  Very competitive race but with Randy Tan giving some weight relief happy to stick at around $4.40.

R7 Black Freda, Unbeaten Blackfriar's mare in another very winnable race.  Go the Blackfriars!!!!

want more winners wednesday

Best Bet Bendigo r6 Ceylon, Had time for a nice cup of tea when bolting in a maiden last start.  2nd horse has well and truly franked the form since.

Ascot r4 Rising Sea, Best horse in race, Best Jockey in race.

Final Day Blast Out

After the first two tips of the carnival saluting, it has been too light on winners for our liking so we are going to end with a bang and blast out to glory.

Best Bet Flemington r3 Francis of Assisi ; Godolphin travelling companion for it's cup team that bolted in the Bendigo cup at it's Aussie debut. Fav Tom Melbourne has had a tough campaign trying to qualify for the cup and when it gets tired late the lightly raced 7yo will be swallowing him up.

r8 The Quarterback; $6.50 for the reigning Newmarket handicap winner (same track and distance).  Each way all day.

There is another huge quaddie jackpot so here we go (r6-9)

field, 3 5, 3 6, 3 8 10

Ascot

Quaddie (r5-8) 1 2 4 6 8,  3 7, 5 7, 6 8.

Doomben r5 Better Land ; Ex Moody Galloper who was once tipped as a future group one winner but never gone on with it.  First run in it's new home in Qld was a easy kill and can definitely repeat the dose here.

 

Oaks Day Selections

Best Bet R6 Clearly Innocent ; Have been waiting for this horse to appear at the carnival.  Richly talented and has been tuned up with two runs in unsuitable races.

R3 Murt the Flirt; Always good to have an omen bet on ladies day and this horse has the form on the board to back it up.

R5 Exocet ; Huge run last start in worst part of track, finishing next to group one winner.

Early Quaddie (r2-5)  3 16, 4, fld, 13 @ $22 for 100%

Main Quaddie (r6-9) 11, 4, 1, field @$18 for 100%

Gawler r2 Hidden Fortune: brings city maiden form to the provincials for leading trainer.

Hawkesbury r5 Circular; very strong formlines for this race

r6 The Gavel; races on speed which gives it advantage over main rival Pursuit of Honour who gets back.

Quaddie (r5-8) 2, 3, 1 4, field @$16 for 100%

Really looks a good day to make some coin.  Good Luck.

Champagne Frothies and Winners

Best Bet Mr10 Silent Sedition, hopefully we have money left by the last and are sober enough to put it on .  This mare can really ping home and is on track to have a crack at Perth's Railway Stakes.

Ascot Bets:

r3 Grindabella , tough ask for a mare to lump 59kgs but the opposition is very ordinary.

r8 Royal Missile, stablemate to fav but number one jockey rides and proven at the distance.

Bunbury Bets

r5 Mica Lil, has much more upside than the other runners and won brilliantly last start.

r6 All settled, ready to break through against a talentless field

r7 Big Caroline, big weight again but carried it before and been racing against better opposition than meets today.

Cup preview on seperate post earlier, party on Ducks.

The race that stops the nation and gives them a reason to get sloshed on a Tuesday

The Melbourne Cup is one of the hardest races in Australia to make money off excluding the Makybe Diva era.  24 runners, huge international contingent, many unseen until the big day.  It would be unaustralian to not have a crack however so here we go.

No6 Hartnell; The Fav is the best horse in this race no doubt.  The worry is the very end of the 3200m especially if it pulls in running.  If it settles I can't get the Turnball stakes run out of my head when it destroyed them including Jameka still under a hold. 

No 20 Oceanographer: The second fav has been heavily supported as predicted by yours truly after two ultra impressive efforts in Australia.  Will relish the extra distance and be the one storming over the top of them. 

No13 Heartbreak City my value choice is an out and out stayer with a good turn of foot, perfect for a Melbourne cup.

There is a massive jackpot on the first four which will take some getting but with flexi betting you can get a small percentage of a massive dividend for a smallish outlay.

1st 6 20

2nd 6 12 13 17 20

3rd 6 8 12 13 17 19 20

4th 1 6 8 9 12 13 17 18 19 20 23

A $1 unit would cost $320 , $50 would get you 15%

Good Luck Punters, enjoy the day and back winners.

Day 1 Flemington Carnival

Best Bet : Mr4 Oceanographer: Import trying to force his way into the Cup Tuesday.  The tempo and track bias were against him in the Geelong cup but his effort to steam home said be on me next start.

Other Bets : Mr3 Sheidel: WA mare who is airborne, suited at the weight scale and one of the world's best J Morreira to ride.

Mr 7: Sacred Elixir; Derby Fav who to my eye is the best stayer in the race.  Respect to Swear but winning a gruelling 2500m race at start 5 looks a tough ask.

Quaddie (r6-9) field, 1 , 1 2 4 7 11 16 , 5 8 9 11. (obv flexi betting required)

Ascot Tips

Pr1 Golden Trigger: If it can get over from outside gate it will take some catching.

Pr4 Forever Diamonds : Looks the best bet of the program, one of several big chances for the wizard Willy Pike.

Pr8 Brackets : Pike again from barrier 1 in a pretty moderate bunch.

Early Quaddie (r1-4) 1 9, 1 , 1 3 4 5, 3. $8 for 100%

Main Quaddie (r5-8) 8, 1 2 5 7 9 10, 3 4 7, 3   $18 for 100%

Winning Wings For Wednesday

 Best Bet: Ascot r5 Lusaha; Was hoping for a better price but with all the boost options around I'll stick.  Smashed the field and clock first up at Northam first up, previously running competitively in 2yo carnival races last season.  Too speedy again.

Other Bets

Mr3 Magnarock; Don't usually tip horses with 61kgs but has form around listed and Saturday winners.  Most of the field carry 58.5-60kg anyway.

Mr8 Our Century; Bendigo Cup and while this import hasn't set the world on fire in Australia it drops in weight and in the Uk has a 2nd to Hartnell who would win this by a massive space. 

Sr8 Cannot Be Serios; I can with this galloper who admittedly jumps a fair bit in class but was super impressive first up and backed accordingly in the ring. Watch market again.

Br1 High Specs; Third up, run down late 2nd up and Lloyd to ride.

Br7 Wicked Trilogy; Looks the best horse in race just needs some J Byrne help to overcome wide gate.

Ascot Quaddie (r4-7) 1 2 3 4 5 6, 2, 1 2 8, 1 5 7. @$54 for 100%

COX PLATE DAY BEST BETS

Best Bet Mr8 Gallante: Sydney cup winner on the way to Melbourne Cup who first up finished 2nd to Jameka with huge weight. Wary of import second wave but backing the proven form in.

Other bets

Mr5 Lady Le Fay : Superior form and ability looks a weight certainty.

Pr5 Final Salute: Respect to Sandalwood but backing race fitness and Pike to hold the edge.

Pr6 Agachar Cruz : They will go like scalded cats in this and banking on Cruz sitting right on their hammer from barrier two.

Pr8 Scales Of Justice: raced too fresh first up, perfect distance should redeem himself.

People are dropping off Hartnell in the cox plate like it's not breathing.  I agree Winx is the hot favourite but stick firm with it's the only danger.  It thrashed Jameka hard held.  Hopefully the quinella will pay overs due to the strange knock on Hartnell.

Cox Plate First 4 : 3 8, 3 8, 2 4 9 6 , 2 4 9 6. @ $24 for 100%

Mr quaddie (r7-10)  1 3 5 7 8, 1 9, 3 8, 1 2 3 6 11 @$100 for 100%

Pr quaddie (r5-8) 7 11, 2 6, 1 2 3 4 12 13, 5 7. @ $48 for 100%

 

Friday night fish and tips

Best Bet Mooney Valley r3 Tarquin : Team Hartnell get a cox plate warm up with Tarquin running over the cox plate trip tonight.  Last start third to Real Love who ran a good race in the Caulfield Cup should have him cherry ripe for this assignment.  With plenty of rain around maybe wait til just before jump in case the track deteriorates into the really soft range which dampens my confidence.  Mad Bookie has a promo offer on the race.

Tonights Group 1 Manikato is the highlight , I am of the opinion that Chautauqua is too inconsistent to follow, on his day he blows them away but his first up run was flat as which he has done before.  Buffering looks to get a picnic out in front.  LDR will concentrate on the quaddie to have an interest in the race.

Quaddie r5-8

Field, 3, 1 2, 7 11.  $36 for 100%

Whoop Here's a Winner Wednesday

Best Bet Mr6 Theanswermyfriend: The Geelong classic is a traditional derby/oaks lead up usually for horses that don't get a start in the bigger Saturday lead ups.  This years edition is quite strong but I'll take a last start winner at Caulfield with that man Dwayne Dunn onboard. Crownbet and Mad Bookie are running specials on the race.

For those that like adding favs to a multi Mr5 demonstrate and Pr1 Settlers Creek look very hard to beat but are rock bottom prices.

 

Super Excited Saturday Tips

Best Bet : Caufield Cup The 3.60 Fav Jameeka is my best bet of the day.  Two runs ago she demolished the other local hopes and last start she thrashed everything bar Hartnell who along with Winx are the two geniune superstars of Australian racing.  52.5 kgs and trained to the minute will take a stack of beating. 

Other Bets

Mr2 Morton's Fork- Sydney Form dominant this spring.

Pr7 Neverland Stablemate to both favs but absolutely flies first up and at the value around $12 great eway bet.

Sr4 Pumpkin Pie unbeaten winning easily at first two starts and from powerful provincial stable.

Sr5 Bullrush Looks ready 3rd up to prove too classy for this field.

Sr9 Spieth Very exciting horse, one knock is yet to win first up but has had excuses.

Ar5 Kifaah Right trainer, right form very confident.

Ar7 Benz won 5 out of 6 and beat a promising type last start.

Hope to see as many sandgropers at our Meet & Greet at Ascot today, surely the weather will clear in time but rain hail or shine it will be raining winners for Lucky Ducks.

Thursday Tip Time

Moe Cup On at 1.00pm WA Time and the fav Raw Impulse should be shouting us Moet well beer at least at around $2.30.  Was disappointing in Group 1 Turnball at Flemington but this is much more suitable and a wet track also helps.  Really looks classes above for mine.  Sorry for the late notice Daylight saving really catches us Sandgropers out!