Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r7 Rock Magic; With two of WA's best sprinters chasing group one glory in SA today, Rock Magic is left as the clear class runner.  Initially concerned with the toll of It's own Interstate campaign thwarted by a heavy track in NSW, trainer Gangemi has declared publicly that the horse is spot on for today's Roma Cup.  Not concerned by the gate as it will get back and steam home anyway.

Flemington r2 Divine Quality; If you missed yesterday's post I suggested backing this one yesterday.  It looks a clear standout, hopefully you can still get black figures otherwise bank on it in multi's.

Flemington r5 Charmed Harmony; I actually like the wide draw today, forces the jockeys hand on a horse that clearly races best with the foot to the floor from jump to finish.  3kg claim sees it thrown in at weights and will fight it out to the line. Each way all day. (has been crunched in overnight hopefully gets out a bit)

Rosehill r6 My Psychiatrist; Have been watching this one getting fitter and closer to winning in harder races.  4th up in a winnable race $8.50 looks overs, each way again.

Morphettville r5 Exocet;  Carried 59.5kgs in the guineas at Wagga and still finished over the top of them. Races like the trip will suit, big drop in weight and Williams to ride.  You guessed it, Each Way!

Suggested Multi;  Divine Quality (win)

                              My Psychiatrist (place)

                              Rock Magic (place)  @ approx $10.66 (tabtouch)

Thursday Tips

Best Bet Northam r4 Shouhou; Won it's debut impressive enough suggesting the 1300m will not be an issue while the others in the market might be stretched or caught short.

Northam r7 Paris Texas; Looks the best horse in the race in the best form.  If it wasn't for the horror draw I would declare it but to counter that we probably get slightly better odds.

Hawkesbury r8 Pygmy; Just missed then bolted in at last two starts over today's distance.  Beadman has started his new role on fire and can continue here.

Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r 3 Perfect Dream; Perfect race ie very limited talent among the opposition.  Ran on well enough on debut to suggest the 1400m will be suitable.  Is well bred and from WA's power stable.  Doubt the $3.70 currently on offer will last to jump.

Kalgoorlie Gold

Best Bet R3 Mica Lil ; Has taken a while to find form this prep but has run well in much stronger and ready to win.

r2 Prince Weston; Has gone close in 5 starts without winning where as most of these haven't.  Today or never.

r6 Pegatego; Track and distance specialist who has run two 2nds this prep and I'm tipping 3rd time lucky.

Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r4 Cappo D'oro; Has run 2nd at it's last two starts behind Couleur Bizarre who has since won a third race against better horses.  Runs up to those performances and it beats these.

Ascot r5 Touch of Silver; Has a touch of gold about him winning 5 of 6.  He has been scratched a few times lately hence been a month between runs but we can only presume he is right to go, doubt they would risk such a talented horse otherwise.

Caulfield r5 Kenjorwood;  Has run two bottlers over 1400m at group 3/ listed level, now drops to a handicap and gets to very suitable 1600m.

Scone r5 Mr Sneaky; The Freedman stable have been placing their horses to perfection lately.  Mr Sneaky comes from Melbourne in red hot form.

Morphetville r7 Waging War; Going for value in a very open SA Derby.  Big respect to the stable / jockey combination who won a Victorian and SA Derby with his sire Rebel Raider who was one of my favourites. Although it had all the breaks last start it was strong on the line and should run a big race at around $15 each way.

Doomben r6 Redzel; Stablemate to the fav, Redzel races on speed, handles all conditions and never gives up without a hell of a fight.  Great each way value at $6.50 each way in the group one 10 000.

Fill The Pockets Friday

Best Bet Cranbourne r2 She's A Pluck; Back 100m and fitter, won't get an easier maiden to breakthrough.

Scone r7 Moher; Darley sponser the cup and I'm tipping they can get their money back quickly.  Pretty much a re run of the Hawkesbury Cup and I think the Weight swing against Fabrizio is enough to turn the tables.

Thursday Tips

Best Bet Pinjarra r6 Harry Thomas; The extra fitness, inside barrier and weight advantage should help Harry go one better than it's last start 2nd.

Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r2 Karlakee Miss; In form filly who has dropped slightly in class and distance to find a very suitable race.

Sandown r5 Chateau Cheval ; Already had seven runs this prep for 1w 5 2nds 1 3rd, so consistency is not a problem but winning maybe.  The drying ground and barrier draw/ speed map point to it getting every chance for another well deserved breakthrough.

Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Northam r6 Prince Turbo; Won't find an easier race to break it's maiden tag.  Been running on over 1400m in slightly tougher maidens.  Good Luck LDR Trainer Sarah Miller!!!!

Northam r8 Madassa; It's last run was in the 2015 Winterbottom stakes where it ran 4th to Buffering.  This is a cracking edition of the Northam Stakes, not that far off Winterbottom quality. It has 3 recent trials to prepare, winning all 3.  I am very confident it will be in front at the 100m but very concerned about the last 100m due to the long lay off and quality swoopers in race.  Stable is going well.  I suggest waiting to see if we can get a bit better place price to stack bet 40/60 for security.

Pakenham r8 Data Point; Overnight scratchings have left it pretty short but it is classes above this field and the 1400m first up looks perfect to swoop from midfield providing the track allows this.  Being the last we will know any patterns.

Weekend Winners

Best Bet Gold Coast r5 Religify; Rarely tip a horse first up but doubt Waller sends one here not ready and will prove extremely hard to run down.

Ascot r4 Pushin Shapes; Have liked this horse since it's very impressive debut win at 2.  Things went amiss after a setback in it's first prep but it is finally putting it together now and seems to be relishing the increase in distances.  Steps up another 300m and carries 58kgs but not a strong field.

Morphettville r6 Kenedna; SA oaks and Kenedna put them away in the lead up.  Egg Tart is the new challenger.  I'm sticking with the record breaking Victorian Weir stable vs the Sydney equivalent Waller camp in what should be a great clash.

Gold Coast r2 Irish Constabulary; This horse simply handles all conditions and never runs a bad race.

Flemington r5 Divine Quality; It's debut win was outstanding and although this is a big step up in class, there's nothing spectacular in the opposition.

Flemington r7 Widgee Turf; No luck first up and has placed in far superior form races than this.

Weekend Winners

Best Bet; Caulfield r4 Moonlites Choice; Unbeaten on wet tracks, won 2nd up last prep, 2 from 3 at distance.

Caulfield r8 Charmed Harmony; Favourite track and distance, dropping massively in class where it was just beaten last start.

Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Canterbury r6 Dagny; Wary of recent NSW form that has been almost exclusively on heavy tracks translating to today's improving soft 5 but this runner from the Waller yard has real upside, has won on good ground and has excellent track/distance stats.

Sandown r3 Alamonteel;  Showed it was ready last start and now finds a heavy track that it handles as well as anything else in the race.  3kg claim helps in the conditions.

Sandown r6 Le Boss; Brave effort last start when caught very wide.  Impressive winner before that and handles the wet. Bedford is the progressive horse in the race however no wet track guide, worth a saver.

Lest We Forget To Back A Winner

Best Bet Pinjarra r6 Ambiente; Won It's first start in a breeze, drawn the right side of the track and only has to handle the straight to repeat.

Flemington r5 Single Note; $5 for a mare going for 5 in a row in suitable conditions with a nice claim to counter weight will do me eway all day.

Flemington r7 Milwaukee ; Has lost favouritism to Waller runner Egg Tart overnight most likely due to the track deteriorating.  Both are promising horses and I'm hoping Milwaukee who loves to lead will have too much in hand on the line.  Watch how the track is playing in earlier races.

WEEKEND WINNERS

Best Bet Ascot r6 Variation; Had the race handed to it on a platter last start when the odds on fav overaced badly but put them away easily. Third up and although taking on older horses this time, there are no stars and he is very promosing.

Morphetville r7 Kenedna;A third to I Am A Star in the Kewney at Flemington followed by a victory at this track two weeks ago is very strong form.  Drawn awkwardly but still the one to beat.  $3.60 looks delicious.  Savvy Dreams has Bonneval NZ form which is even stronger but she was a well beaten third and a month between runs today, hopefully waiting for oaks day to peak.

Caulfield r1 Spur on Gold; The 4000m is a bit of a novelty in Australia with this marathon series final the only race on the flat I'm aware of.  Spur on Gold ran past today's fav Bayanova over 3600m in Adelaide last Monday and I can't see why it won't again today.

Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Pinjarra r8 Detango; Ran on hard first up to just miss in what I rate as a stronger form race.  Concede Lorentino will be the one to catch back in class and distance, looks a good quinella.

Pinjarra r6 Caralabek; Going on impressive stats of distance 2 from 3, track 1 from 1 and first up 2 from 3 vs the obvious class in the race Barzinho who is 0 from 4 at distance.

More Chocolate

Best Bet York r7 Slick Mover; Shouldn't take long for this one to break it's maiden tag and finds a very easy race to do so first up.

Oakbank r6 Lord Of The Song; Great Eastern Steeple and the unique track and distance makes it a tough affair over the jumps.  Lord OTS has far superior track and distance stats to any other runner.

Golden Easter Eggs

Best Bet  Ascot r5 Regal Class: In a very average race this 3yo filly at least has some class, going for three in a row and this no harder.  $2.50 seems fair enough with Pike on.

Caulfield r7 Miss Gunpowder: First up for new stable, the powerful and flying Hayes yard, this mare has a class advantage on her rivals if ready to add to her good fresh stats.

Bookie Crucifixion

Forgive we Lord for providing a winner on Good Friday but at least I'm sharing it with good ducks.

Best Bet; Ascot r7 Debellatio; Sires produce fav who ran a slashing third in the 1200m Karrakatta Plate, flying home from well back and just missing.  The winner Lucy Mae was flat out on the corner but lifted to scramble in so the extra 200m should help Debellatio turn the tables.

Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r7 Quilista ; This 3yo is going places, building a picket fence and really can't see it not adding another picket.  Pike on, races on speed and the one danger Variation has to give Quilista 4kgs and make up two lengths from their last clash.  I'm really surprised black figures are available.

Randwick r6 Bonneval ; Hopefully tipping before the first in Sydney today will not be doomed by another track bias like last week.  It definitely proves the difficulty in betting early.  Presuming a fairer track albeit still wet, tipping the two NZ fillies to fight out the Oaks.  Devise ran a close 2nd to Bonneval in the NZ Oaks and you can back both to make a profit.  They streeted the rest and like the males there are no standout Aussie stayers among the 3yo fillies.

Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r3 Remember Berlin; Liking the 2nd to Quilista first up as a form reference.  Races up front and there is no Quilista's in this field.

Warwick Farm r6 Hunter Jack; Inform horse who handles the heavy ten better than most.