Best Bet Canterbury r2 Koonunga; Solid record, last start winner and drawn 1 with brilliant apprentice on so bonus 2kg allowance.
Canterbury r3 Judge Judi; Trainer and jockey both in fine form and although up in grade maps to get a nice run up on speed.
Moonee Valley r4 Senrima Tide; Tough to tip the 2nd fav when the fav is a stablemate but I just feel this horse is on a more upward trend this prep.
Multi
Canterbury r6 Safado
w The other 2 Canterbury tips $8.66
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Best Bet Ascot r6 Adornment; Getting better with each run and this field is very limited in ability.
Ascot Quaddie (r5-8) field, 12, 4 8, 4 8 11. $60 for 100%
Multi
Mornington r8 Clarice Cliffs
w Adornment $3.99
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Best Bet Sandown r2 Victory Kingdom; Did things wrong on debut but still ran 2nd to a horse that would start very short here with a big gap to 3rd.
Sandown r7 Peko; Never finished worse than 2nd and maps to get every chance.
Warwick Farm r3 Lady Cuvee; Beat Waller Stablemate on it’s merits first up so can’t work out why same horse is favourite here.
Warwick Farm r6 Etymology; Concede this is much harder than last two wins but the ease of his victories can’t be ignored. Seems as though the penny has dropped and he will be hard to beat in any staying event he contests.
Bunbury r4 New Age; There is two of her but the fresh version is very good and coming off a lovely trial.
Bunbury r6 She’s A Galah; Barrier beat her first up but she made very good ground late. Has performed well in better races and very keen she breaks through here.
Bunbury r7; 2 & 3 Quinella. Can’t split them so looks obvious quinella in a race of few chances.
Bunbury Quaddie (r5-8) 5, 10, 2 3, 1 2 3 4 5 8 10. $14 for 100%
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Best Bet Wyong r8 Nindamos; Looked the goods on debut before having no luck up in grade. Perfectly placed.
Geelong r7 Blue Hope; Dominant winner this track last start and has competed against some very nice types.
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Best Bet Sunshine Coast r1 Le Juge; Gets back in his races but that should be ok here and looks to have a clear class advantage. Very suprised its not favourite.
Randwick r3 Star Fall; Couldn’t have done anything more this prep and winners continue to come from his form lines. Sylvia’s Mother is a nice horse buts odds on with his presence astounds me.
Morphetville r1 Wasabi Bob; The main danger meets him worst off at the weights so really should be winning.
Ascot r6 Beat The Devil; Keeps raising the bar and although up in grade again, simply gets too good a run on pace to tip against.
Caulfield r8 Silentz; This horse is really in the zone and although it’s short in the market, having tipped it last start we have to stick fat and collect again.
Caulfield Quaddie (r6-9); 1 , 1 2 3 4 5 6 8, 5, field. $77 for 100%
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Best Bet Narrogin r8 Bergio; Always about the place and this race is easiest it has contested for a while.
Narrogin r6 Famous Romance; Record doesn’t inspire much confidence but i just have a gut feeling the 1190m might suit based on hard finishing third over 1000m 2 starts ago. $18 each way in such a weak race looks ok.
Moonee Valley r3 Columbus Circle; Put them away quickly on debut when the gap arrived. Looks a very promising type.
Moonee Valley r8 Greyworm; Has been supported at all 3 starts winning two of them. Already into odds on so must be going well for first up assignment.
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Best Bet Canterbury r4 You Make Me Smile; Led all the way and was untroubled here last start. Drawn the rail and very hard to run down again.
Doomben r7 Sienna Rose; Gets back and finishes like a bullet just like last win at this track and distance in a stronger field. Barrier 1 could be tricky but small field helps.
Sandown r4 Hang Man; Brilliant last to first winner first up from spell and won 2nd up last prep. Nice horse going places.
Sandown r7 Mystyko; 2nd to Star Fall up in grade before thrashing rivals in this grade latest.
Sandown r8 Good Idea; Promising well bred stayer that is ready for tougher assignment after bolting in lesser class last two. This stable very good at crossing the border with the right horse in the right race.
Sandown Quaddie (r5-8); fld, fld, 3, 10 $143 for 100%
Ascot r7 Trakiato; Pearce brothers are on fire and this one maps perfectly for top jockey at suitable distance.
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Best Bet Rosehill r7 All Too Royal; Map says he leads on his own and going well enough to make him extremely hard to get past.
Flemington r7 Champagne Cuddles; It’s fresh form and class makes it the one to beat.
Morphetville r8 Naseeb; In Career best form including a win over a horse that has won since.
ODDS ON PICKS * Today’s meetings are littered with shorties who should win but risk vs reward is up to you. These are ones I expect to win.
Rosehill r2 Ljunberg
Flemington r2 Lycurgus
Morphetville r5 Zalmona
Ascot r3 Royal Statue
11. Saying Grace; Was bolting to the line in Fremantle Cup but couldn’t get out. 2900m marathon suits, drawn to get soft run and has the services of one of the best in AC LEWIS. $18 looks a great each way bet.
Novelties
1st. 2 3 11
2nd. 2 3 7 11 $6 quinella $9 exacta
3rd. 2 3 7 10 11 $36 Trifecta
4th. field $324 first 4
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Best Bet Bunbury r6 Stairwaytothemoon; Been waiting for the blinkers to go on and her 2nd attempt at a trip looks the perfect scenario. Short enough with the Pike/Durrant factor but any price a winner!
Bunbury r5 Media Baron; Confident it’s the best horse in the race. Does it have the sprint in it’s legs to win over 1200m first up? Won a trial over 950m in good time so going to trust it’s class. 30% win 70% place is the safe option but I like going small wins only in that situation.
Bunbury Quaddie (r5-8); 2 4 7, 5, 3 6 8, 1 2 3 6 7 9 11 $63 for 100%
Warwick Farm r4 Prophet’s Thumb; Wins don’t come much softer than it’s first up win over 1000m from the back. 1200m looks ideal and most likely wins better races soon.
Warwick Farm r5 Royal Witness; Like the map (leads in all her races) and jockey (Rachel King) more than the horse but will be hard to run down over 1000m.
Sandown r3 More Sundays; Has a boom on him that is yet to be proven but bred to be group 1 class and have a feeling was a bit rushed last campaign into the big league. Market says he wins, suggest waiting for mounting yard mail/betting moves.
Sandown r4 Jenkins; Looks set for a good 3yo campaign based on it’s win first up. Better suited to 1600m and maps to get every chance close to the speed.
Multi * I Suggest top tote plus or Top fluc if available as think they might get out a little.
Use Stairwaytothemoon & Prophet’s Thumb as the bankers, add other legs for value at your peril !!
Best Bet Bunbury r5 Time To Hunt; Always shown promise but rarely got it done. This prep it has put two wins together and although getting up in the weights, thrashed a similar field last time. Stable is on fire.
Sale r7 Cape Richards; Very competitive race with chances galore but this fellow is in my black book after missing start and making great ground first up. Won first 2 starts including this track and distance 2nd up last time in.
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Best Bet Pinjarra r3 Excise Free; Showed blistering speed to put them away easily twice including this track and distance before being beaten for pace early in Saturday grade and running on into 2nd behind a smart one. Drawn the outside which is perfect for the straight. Rebel Yell did beat her home first up and is $11, worth a little saver.
Gold Coast r1 Terminology; Rich maiden that usually takes a smart one to win. She is coming from 3yo listed racing and deserves her place at top of the market.
Gold Coast r7 Outback Barbie; Forget last start where horror gate then all sorts of trouble saw her go round for practice. Her two starts prior were breathtaking and this was the main target anyway.
Flemington r3 Silentz; Small field and big track suits. Record indicates like most Weir runners that when he hits form he goes on with it. (15 for 6w 32nds).
Flemington r7 Order of Command; Tougher race but straight racing and D.Oliver is a winning recipe for this one. Down to 54kgs offsets class rise.
Randwick r1 Star Fall; Brings the best form and race fitness to this.
Randwick r8 Turnberry; Maps to get soft lead and jockey is on fire.
Multi
Gold Coast r5 Houtzen
with Excise Free, Order of Command, Star Fall $17.27
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Best Bet Caulfield r7 Rossman; Won first up, suited by step up to 1440m and it’s 3yo form was around some smart types.
Multi
Doomben r3 Neptune’s Spear
Doomben r7 Constant Flight
$2.86 add Rossman $8.88
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Best Bet Randwick r8 Sei Stella; Has to step out of highway company but is better than that grade and one of only two leaders in field.
Multi
Randwick r2 Easy Eddie
Caulfield r8 Mastering
$3.05 add Stella $11.59
Perth Cup ; 13 3 10 8 see feature post for full preview.
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Best Bet Cranbourne r2 Rossa’s Reward; Very nice run first up and much better suited to 1400m. Has the right form lines from last prep to take this out.
Cranbourne r1 Bianco Nuovo; Close 2nd to Declare’s War is great form. Blinkers on and drop back in distance help it’s cause.
Cranbourne early quaddie (r1-4); 1, 4, 3 7 10 11 13 14 , 2 4 8 9 $24 for 100%
Canterbury r6 Savvy Ken; Runs his best races when kept fresh including last start when never going to lose. Was competitive in Packer Plate last Autumn so hard to beat here.
Canterbury Quaddie (r5-8); field, 5, field, 5. $100 for 100%
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Best Bet Pinjarra r9 Fairtrusive; Easy winner this track latest and drawn to get soft run for first go at 1400m.
Sandown r6 Cryptic Jewel; Scratchings have made the price hit rock bottom but put them away easily last start.
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Best Bet Flemington r7 Etymology; Finally got back out to a trip last start and bolted in at this track. Will be very strong to the line.
Randwick r6 Fuchu; Can motor home late and is in the zone this prep.
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With a busy period on and off the track coming up Lucky Duck Racing will not be providing tips on a weekly basis. We will preview the major races coming up at the tabtouch masters Ascot . Good Luck on the punt and rest assured we will be back soon.
Best Bet Moe r6 Haunted ; Has a very solid record, currently airborne and loves wet ground.
Moe r9 Botti; Good win first start since crossing the ditch and looks a promising stayer.
Moe Quaddie (r6-9); 4 , 1 6, 1 2 3 4 6 8 9, 13 $14 for 100%
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Best Bet Northam r7 Cristal Dane; Races like the 1300m will suit and wide barrier offset by racing pattern of getting back and flooding home. Has more upside than these.
Northam r4 Drink The Rainbow; Track and distance stats indicate she is clearly the one to beat. From the right stable and very suprised it’s not favourite.
Caulfield r2 Junipal; Was expecting a wetter track which she ploughed through and won her maiden by ten latest. Her previous efforts were still good behind smart types and remains hardest to beat.
Caulfield Early Quaddie (r1-4) fld, 7, 7, 2 6 $14 for 100%
Caulfield r8 Lucky For All; Happy with the jockey change. He is a very wayward horse and nothing against John Allen just sometimes differen’t riders suit different horses. 2000m 3rd up is perfect, any track downgrades help but more importantly if he puts it together he blows them away.
Caulfield r5 main quaddie (r5-8) 1, 1 2 4 6 7, 3 12, 3. $10 for 100%
Randwick r3 Savacool; The track seems to be drying rapidly which helps and her form says she is ready to peak and win.
Multi
Randwick r6 Girl Tuesday
Caulfield r5 Written by
w Cristal Dane & Lucky For All $20.85
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