Weekend Winners

Best Bet Flemington r3 Jumbo Ozaki ; Was a certainty beaten at first city start last campaign coming from two ultra impressive soft kills. Trial indicated he has stakes class at the very least and if he handles the track conditions will go extremely close.

Flemington r5 Dabiyr; Lightly raced Waller Import who is coming off a solid Midweek win. This is technically harder but handles wet ground and relishes the distance range. Each Way.

Belmont r3 Massimo; One trial for a strong win in quick time then straight to town for leading stable.

Belmont r9 Blackwood River; Value tip of the day but having said that was expecting much bigger odds than the $11 on offer. First up was never a factor after drawing car park on a wet track and getting back to last. Has run it’s best races up on speed and from inside barrier expecting it to settle leaders back and try and pinch it on corner. Small each way, hopefully at much better odds.

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Thursday Tips

Pinjarra r3 Belle of Liberty; On debut from WA’s leading yard and won it’s only trial by a space on the bit which is rare for this camp, usually keeping them under wraps. Straight to the races and drawn the right side in a very winnable maiden.

Pinjarra r5 Indian Chant; Suprised he is still a maiden but has run places in harder fields than this and gets another chance.

Kembla Grange r1 Run For Glory; Won easily on debut at 100-1 and the place getters have since won.

Kembla Grange r5 Emergent; Never easy coming out of maiden grade but keeps improving as the distances increase and 1600m looks ideal to go on with it.

Kembla Grange r7 Dolly’s Due; In form mare with a very solid record for this.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r1 Too Close The Sun; First up over 1700m on a soft 6 has to be a query but has trialed better than maiden class and is bred to relish even further. Stable is on fire, opposition look limited and has been heavily backed overnight. Thinking we deserve better than current $2 so I’m waiting til jump.

Belmont r3 Sir Mambo; Likes running 2nd but this is very winnable. Claim and good draw means he should get every chance.

Belmont Early Quaddie (r1-4); 2, field, 2, 1 2 3 4 6 9.$48 for 100%. $48 for 100%

Cranbourne r7 Strong Influence; Was hoping for a wetter track than soft 5 as it’s recent wet form is good enough to take this out. Should still be very competitive.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Sandown r9 Smart Elissim; Drop from Saturday grade , claim and soft track all point to him running a big race.

Sandown r4 Pinyin; Has form around good winning horses including this track and distance.

Sandown r8 Helmaz; Racing well without much luck in stronger race latest. Each Way.

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WEEKEND WINNERS

Best Bet Belmont r6 Uni Time; Have a lot of time for this horse. Won with ease first up carrying 61kgs in first gear. Huge respect to Lipstick Flickers who is the obvious danger if your a quinella fan.

Randwick r1 Art Collection; Is the one with solid form in elite 2yo company and coming off impressive trial win. Mcdonald booked, If it wasn’t a heavy track would be my best bet but that’s the unknown.

Ranndwick r8 Cyber Intervention; Looks primed for the 1800m 3rd up after rattling home last 2 over shorter distances and wet track no problem.

Morphetville r5 Autumn Splendour; Was held up and green on debut but still finished off hard in what should be a strong enough form reference for this maiden.

Doomben r8 Handsome Thief; Has a solid record in this distance range where as 1200m stretches most of the other leading chances to their limit.

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Thursday Tips

Best Bet Northam r1 Data Lake; Bit of a gamble on a mare having her 3rd start in a race , 2nd up from a spell, jumping from 1600m to 2200m but… the race record of the others is that bad she only has to get the trip to be winning.

Pakenham r1 Favourite Things ; Synthetic racing not my favourite thing to bet on but your only gambling on her handling the track as her race form is far superior.

Pakenham r4 Love Machine; This time going with the runner that is proven on this surface vs the fav who has slightly stronger form but never been tried on the synthetic.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Morphetville r8 Misscino; Dropping from a close 4th in a bm 70 when caught wide to a 56. record indicates it likes to run 2nd (10 2nds and only 2 wins) but this is her chance. Stable like to have a bet so watch market for further confidence.

Sale r9 Think Wer’e Due; Really hit his straps last two with a 5 length romp at this track indicating he can handle the slight rise in class and work his way through the grades.

Warwick Farm r4 The Party Girl; Has been racing very competitively in much stronger races than this. Will need a little luck as generally gets back but with the right run will be hard to hold out. Each Way.

Warwick Farm Early Quaddie (r1-4); 9, 2 3 4 5 6 , field , 1 2 3 . $165 for 100%

Sunshine Coast r4 Paper Trade; Should settle closer from barrier 1 and prove hardest to beat on recent city form. The Tenor is new to Qld and opened up short off back of easy trial win so wary.

Belmont r6 Make Mine Champers; Doesn’t win out of turn but neither does anything else in this race. If the tempo is on then she has the best turn of foot and this is easiest race she has contested for a while.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Kalgoorlie r6 Nemiroff; Has always had ability but failed to deliver in town. Hit his straps in the goldfields and although facing a huge jump in class has pace to burn and Pike is making the trip to ride.

Bendigo r4 Tigre Royale; Improved out of sight over a trip on heavy last start. Soft seven track and better barrier to hopefully settle closer in the run help it’s chances.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Rosehill r5 Ilwendo; Lightly raced stayer who has more upside than these. Looks ready for the 2400m and will appreciate the good track rating.

Rosehill r3 Jardin Rogue; Going for 6 straight. Yes wins have been in easier Qld races but first up win was arrogant and a sign she has plenty more gears to use. Scratched from a race in Qld for this.

Rosehill r9 Greyworm; Convinced he is the best horse in the race and is primed for first up win. Does have a tricky gate and speed map for an apprentice to overcome but I’m happy to take my chances.

Rosehill Early Quaddie (r2-5); 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 11 12 13 15 , 2 3, 1 2 3 5 7, 6. $110 for 100%

Eagle Farm r3 Tardis ; Speedy mare who is in career best form and dropping in class. Jockey has options from perfect draw.

Eagle Farm r8 Freddie Fox Trot; Overall record is very good and should appreciate getting back on to dry ground. A repeat of last start effort would go very close to winning this.

Morphettville r4 Beautiful Flyer; Really hit her straps lately and a nose 2nd at Caulfield looks the right form reference. 1200m is her pet distance.

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Thursday Tips

Best Bet Pinjarra r7 Stormy Ruler; Thin race and should get run of race for a top trainer/jockey combination.

Pinjarra Quaddie (r6-9); 1 2 3, 2 , 1 2 3 4 7 8 11 12 , 2. $24 for 100%.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r6 Delta Belle; Try not to tip Odds on Favs as best bets but willing to suggest $1.95 is good value. Showed last start it just needed a middle distance to show it’s true potential. Concede that was a weak maiden and this is much stronger. Also concede 2nd fav’s Magic Las Vegas form lines and weight after claim would have it start favourite without “Pike Tax” but I’m willing to pay the taxman today.

Belmont r4 Black Russian; Full brother to exciting stayer Come Play With Me who also showed a liking for this distance range. Now he has hit his straps expect him to go much further than this level.

Belmont Quaddie (r4-7) ; 4, field, 7, field . $99 for 100%

Doomben r6 Winter Passage; Big drop in class on latest efforts. Would prefer a slightly softer track but should go very close.

Doomben r7 Char Char; Recent efforts have been very good in stronger races.

Multi / Betfair * Short price favs that should win for multi’s or shop for beeter odds.

Belmont r2 Western Queen; Shown enough at trials to beat these.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Flemington r4 Lord Belvedere; Imported stayer who has shown a turn of foot, winning first up over 1600m and running on well over 1800m in a stronger field. Has won over 2400m in England so should be ready for this 3rd up.

Flemington r9 Usain Bowler; Has finished within 5 lengths of Sunlight in the group 1 Newmarket handicap down the Flemington straight. Also bolted in first up down the straight last prep. With 54kgs today looks set to give it an almighty shake. Never been tried over 1000m so hopefully doesn’t leave it too late!

Randwick r4 Slow Burn; This is a huge drop in class and a smart use of claim to get her into a 78 with 59kgs at each way odds.

Randwick r5 Attorney; French Import this time and unbeaten in two Australian starts. Placed 2nd behind a smart sprinter over 1200m in a trial before winning over 1600 and 1900m. Still on the way up.

Morphetville r3 Counter Drive; Banking on it finding the front unopposed and when that happens is always hard to catch.

Morphetville r6 Fill The Flute; Another speedster who when leads is rarely caught , especially at this level.

Multi/Betfair; The following horses are currently odds on but clearly on top . Use as Multi legs or shop on Betfair for better odds.

Belmont r2 Battle Storm; $1.45 actually looks reasonable , he could be a group 1 sprinter in time.

Belmont r4 Mystery Miss; Class filly facing limited opposition but $1.24 makes options limited.

Morphetville r2 Westport; Had no right to win last start but did it easy. Creeping out towards even money which would be acceptable.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Warwick Farm r1 Splendid Surprise ; 3yo who’s effort on debut rated higher than the 2yo fav over the same track and distance. You would expect the 3yo has more upside and your getting better odds.

Warwick Farm r5 Terwilliker; While most of the chances are stepping up in trip , he is dropping back from very solid efforts over longer on heavy tracks. Hence he has a massive fitness edge and the slightly drier conditions suit. Each way.

Warwick Farm r6 Think Free; There has been a massive push for Handspun but for mine they both came out of the same race and although Handspun didn’t get it run to suit , my pick still finished 2 lengths in front of it.

Sunshine Coast r4 Great Powers; Finds it hard to win but finds an easier race to do so after going close in better races.

Sunshine Coast r8 Full Nelson; Won on debut so might race best first up and it’s best will run a good race here at decent each way prices.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Belmont r8 Lordhelpmerun; Looked set to win last start before peaking late and failing to get past another smart one in The Velvet King. Maps to get every possible chance just behind the leader. My one concern is 1600m might be his limit with 60kgs but class will carry him a long way.

Caulfield r1 Can’t Be Done ; 2yo with strong winning form around him , handles the likely tough conditions.

Caulfield r2 Charlayne; Racing well in pretty strong city NSW races. Drawn to get lovely run and pounce in the straight if rail is ok.

Caulfield r6 Tavirun; The race conditions look almost identical to last start where he ran them into the ground.

Doomben r2 Another Dollar ; It’s form in QLD is strong against better opposition than it meets today.

Doomben r3 Ingear; Has a big wrap on her from 1 trial and one start, showing great speed at both ends in both to win by a space. This is much tougher but they will be giving her a start and will have to sprout wings to catch her.

Betfair/Multi Banker;

Rosehill r5 Spiritual Pursuit; Unbeaten on heavy tracks , drawn to get every chance.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Morphetville r4 Westport; Has to jump from a 2yo provincial maiden to city BM64 but did jump at $1.07 in that maiden and justified the odds. From top stable and only other run was unlucky run in group 3 Blue Diamond Preview.

Morphetville r3 Disco Rebel; Racing pattern and breeding suggest the slight increase in distance will suit. If the track deteriorates further then Sanima Star becomes a big threat. Has stronger form however needs it wetter than a soft 5 to show best.

Morphetville Early Quaddie (r2-5); 1, 2 4 , 9, 1 4 7 8 10 11 12 16 $16 for 100%

Sandown r2 Desert Dreamer; Has ticked the 1400m wet track box and debut in city was very good effort without luck.

Sandown Early Quaddie (r1-4); Field, 1, Field, 6. $54 for 100%

Betfair/Multi; The following horses are tipped to go very close but are currently too short in my opinion. Shop on betfair or use them in multi legs if you agree.

Sandown r4 Mirimar; Finishing in front of and next to Future Score last two starts is the right form. $1.90 for a record of 3 wins from 20 ?

Doomben r2 Removal; Will handle the conditions but $1.80 for a horse that keeps just missing.

Morphetville r2 Blow Torch; Big drop in class should help.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Belmont r8 Great Again; Had to bite my tongue last start when a visiting apprentice decided to take a sit on a horse who first up ran them into the ground in similar conditions. The booking of Noske is a very strong indication of a return to aggressive tactics and the winners stall.

Belmont Early Quaddie (r1-4); 3 8 9 , 5, field, 1. $33 for 100%

Belmont Quaddie (r5-8); 1, 1 2 3 4 5 6 9 10 11 , 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11, 1. $99 for 100%

Flemington r6 Wealthy Wolf; Hasn’t had much luck of late , will run the trip out and handles all conditions . Good each way value.

Flemington r7 Milwaukee; Straight track specialist who just arrived over 1100m last start and is better suited over today’s 1200m.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r3 Arsinoe; Looked in need of the run first up and had to come from well back from bad draws both runs this prep. Should be ready to peak and will be running on hard.

Belmont r5 Apollo; Was badly held up last start and should of gone close. Start prior was a good third against better horses.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Sunshine Coast r3 Savacool; Has the strongest form lines by some distance and expecting her to improve several lengths again on the wet track.

Sunshine Coast r5 Tardis; Last start win at this track and distance was dominant and start before was a win on heavy which he most likely faces today.

Sunshine Coast r8 Jamaican Rain; Won this race last year and is a supreme wet tracker.

Sunshine Coast Early Quaddie (r2-5); 1 2 , 4 ,field, 7. $32 for 100%

Rosehill r4 Itz Lily; Proved it had more to give after it’s QLD oaks campaign with a good win back in Sydney. Loves wet ground and this is no harder.

Rosehill Early Quaddie (r2-5); 2, 1 2 8 11, 7, 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 9 13. $36 for 100%

Belmont r6 Lordhelpmerun; Looks ready for the 1600m , wet or dry no problem and drawn to get soft run.

Belmont r8 Free Trade; Has enough speed to get over comfortably enough and sit just off a likely hot tempo. Is flying and at the weights is the one to catch.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Sandown R2 Spryzen; 2 from 2 solid victories, both on wet tracks. Sandown should suit for metro debut and not much wet track form amongst the others.

Randwick r7 Broom Broom; It’s only win to date was on a heavy track. Has been running ok on unsuitable good 4s and soft 5s so having a stab that $23 / $4.50 is worth a go on a Heavy 10.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Belmont r7 Mystery Miss; Hard meeting to tip with the track rated good 4 in glorious sunshine Friday but with Winter Solstice rains expected to unload overnight and throughout the weekend. However she ran a barnstorming 3rd 2nd up from a long injury enforced spell on a soft 6 this track and distance against the older horses last start. Peaks here and goes very close.

Belmont r3 Festival Miss; First up for the all conquering cerise and white / Pike combo. She needs slightly longer than today’s 1000m to show her best but her class can still get her over the line against this lot.

Belmont r5 Friar Fox; Hasn’t won for a while but her first up run from a failed Melbourne trip was full of merit in a stronger race. Bound to be fitter and this is perfect race to gain some confidence.

Belmont r8 Great Again; Got back to Belmont (6/6) and wet ground (4/4) last start. Provided the rain arrives it’s hard to tip against a record like that!

Belmont Early Quaddie (r1-4); 1 2 5 6 8, 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 , 9 , 13. $50 for 100%

Randwick r7 Monsieur Sisu; Not the best horse in the race but gets conditions to suit. Outstanding heavy track record and ready to win.

Randwick r9 Spiritual Pursuit; 1/1 on heavy and was very brave first up when caught deep. Drawn to lead and has run some cracking races in tougher grade than this.

Randwick Quaddie (r6-9); 1 2 3 8, 5 15, field , 13. $104 for 100%

Flemington r7 Bams on Fire; 3/3 this prep and all wins have been impressive on pace against good horses. 2/2 soft so as long as not bottomless should run another bold race.

Flemington r9 Blazejowski; Real up an comer who is so versatile and loves a wet track. No reason he can’t win again.

Flemington Quaddie(r6-9) ; 1 2 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 , 1 2 4, 2 4 , 4 6. $108 for 100%

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