Thursday's Tips

Best Bet Flemington 5 Ball Of Muscle; A brave 2nd to Trekking who then placed in the Everest is brilliant form for this. Only knows one way and that’s flat out , has won this track and distance. A heavy track would dent my confidence significantly.

Flemington r7 Pancho; Find it hard to justify a horse who won a maiden on debut being favourite . Running 2nd to Kubrick in a $1 million dollar race last start and proven on wet , he looks the safer option. Have to be vary wary of Russian Camelot as the maiden win was full of merit and he’s been smashed pre post.

Betfair/Multi; * There are a lot of short priced favourites today who look very hard to beat. At the time of writing the track is expected to be deep in the soft range., as well as starting to wear from all the traffic . I personally am hesitant to take the current odds on offer.

R1 Impi; Best horse in this with stacks of upside to come. Likes wet tracks.

R9 California Zimbol ; After thrashing Loving Gaby who then won a group 1 , the short quote is understandable. Will be the 29th race of the carnival however and straight races can throw funny results at best of times. Quaddie Anchor.

Quaddie (r6-9); 1 4 , 1 3 10, 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 12 14 , 2 . $66 for 100%

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Tuesday's Tips

Best Bet Ascot r9 Not To Be Mist; Race wasn’t run to suit first up and still nearly won it. 2nd up out to a more suitable trip. There has been good form from the race already .I’m sure we wont be alone putting all our faith in Pike in the last!

Ascot r4 Rewrite The Stars; Windstorm form is as good as it gets in this grade. Gets similar run and this time wont have a potential group 1 horse chasing it down.

Ascot Race 8 Kay Cee; Ran as good as it could first up against the pattern and off a slow speed. Drawn to settle closer plus more speed on means she will be hard to hold out.

Ascot Quaddie (r6-9); field, 1 2 3 5 7 10 12 12 , 4 7 , 7. $160 for 100%

Flemington r2 Bravo Tango ; Likes a wet track and 1400m.

Flemington r7 Vow and Declare ; See main page for feature post.

Randwick r2 Lewis; It’s form is around horses who have already performed at a higher level.

Randwick r8 Jazzland; He never runs a bad race as record indicates. First up win was dominant.

Randwick r9 Wandabaa; Undefeated in 3 runs to date. Comes to the city first time but wins have been effortless and this isn’t that strong for a city race.

Bunbury r4 Red Warrior; Has brilliant speed and comes from a very hot form race. This one is your “good thing” multi banker.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r5 Massimo; It’s first two runs were very impressive and a sign he was pretty smart. Last time was a complete forgive job where nothing went right and the race as a whole was very messy. Pike goes on today and 1200m looks ideal .

Flemington r1 Zoutori; Put simply if he runs up to his last two efforts at this track & distance he will win.

Flemington r3 Groundswell; A 3rd in both the Guineas and prelude is by far the strongest form for this race. As long as he has a run left in him, he should be winning.

Flemington r5 Melody Belle & Nettoyer; Melody is a multiple group 1 winning NZ mare in peak form. She handles all conditions and has form along side Cox Plate placegetter TE AUKAU SHARK. Nettoyer is in career best form including a win at this distance at group 3 level last start. Good heavy place each way bet.

Flemington Early Quaddie (r2-5); 1 5 , 2 , 1 3 4 6 7 8 12 13 , 2 6 9 10 11 12. $96 for 100 %

Rosehill r7 ; 15 3 5 2 see feature post for full preview.

Rosehill r8 Pierata; When a horse looks head and shoulders above his opposition I’m willing to take a chance on overcoming bad barriers etc. Any luck and he is too good for these.

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Thursday Tips

Best Bet Bunbury r5 Do A Pataky ; As I’m writing this there is heavy hail pelting down. If the show goes on was most impressed with it’s first up run. Forced to try and loop them from last on a leaders day, she only peaked late. The form behind the favourite has since failed. Each way.

Bunbury r2 Under The Arches; Would rather take the $2.30 on a horse that is guaranteed to get the distance over a 3yo two start maiden filly jumping quickly to 2000m at $1.90.

Bunbury r6 Sentimental Gift; Putting last start defeat down to coming back in distance. Still hit the line late and can make amends.

Bunbury r7 Stormy Ruler; Tough effort first up when caught three wide on speed and only faded very late. Back to his home track in an easier race.

Bunbury Quaddie (r4-7) ; 1 2 4 5 7 10 , 1 6 8 , 8 , 5. $18 for 100%

Seymour r6 Maserartie Bay ; Debuted in a hot 2yo race then resumed with a soft maiden win. Should go through the grades quickly.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r5 Oreo; Is getting better with each run. Won convincingly last start. The quick back up and 5th run in her debut prep is some concern but if she turns up at her best she wins. Staggering she isn’t favourite.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r9 Black Ducati; Lightly raced mare who went back in grade for a soft kill last start and it was soft! Likely to control the tempo again from ideal barrier and prove toughest to beat.

Randwick r6 Master of Wine; Yes the race was run to suit last start, yes the conditions of this race have it harshly weighted but it looks as though it is still on an upward spiral where as the better performed horses have already had a grand final run . Very hard to hold out.

Moonee Valley r6 Soul Patch; Lost it’s chance in the Caulfield Guineas at the barrier draw . Was still very strong to the line and has the blinkers on first time.

Moonee Valley r9 Lys Gracieux ; On world ratings alone she is a class above this field. Still has to perform first up in a foreign country and overcome tricky gate but if she performs to her best good luck catching her. Full preview on homepage.

Eagle Farm r8 Tambo’s Mate; Building an imposing record and maps to get perfect run behind expected solid speed. Needs a late split and will be powering through.

Morphetville r6 Exalted Trail ; Ran 2nd last start in a stronger race. Top jockey booked and a good each way price.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Geelong r8 Southern Moon; Shows serious staying potential which is a huge plus with 3yo’s stretching out to a distance for the first time. Having already won convincingly over 2000m , the other main chances in the betting are jumping sharply in trip.

Geelong r7 Supernova; Cracking edition of this years cup see’s a field of quality imports . Some on debut in Australia , some have been here for a season or two and most if not all are chasing a Melbourne Cup start. Last start 2nd to one of the Melbourne Cup favourites . Light weight and the ability to show a sharp turn of foot at the end of a staying trip make him extremely dangerous here at surprisingly good each way odds.

Geelong Quaddie (r6-9); 2 8, 3 11, 4 , 1 2 3 4 5 7 11 $28 for 100%

Ascot r2 The Full Quid ; The Boomtastic form is red hot and backed up 3 days later to run 3rd in A Saturday maiden. If it’s got any petrol left then it should run a big race. Oreo was unlucky in the same Boomtastic race , could easily back both and still make a profit.

Ascot r5 Hail Da Hinchi; Beat a subsequent winner on debut and comes from states leading yard with white hot jockey to ride.

Ascot Quaddie (r4-7) ; 2 7 11, field, 4 , 4 6 9 11 12 16 $198 for 100%

Betfair/Multi

Ascot r7 Sentimental Gift; First try at a trip was a cakewalk in quick time. Saturday grade horse at the very least.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Bunbury r7 Twentythree Red; Runs its best races on speed and in this distance range. Conditions likely to really suit today.

Bunbury Quaddie (r5-8); 1 2 3, 1 4 , 2 , 6 . $6 for 100%

Multi/Betfair

Seymour r7 Admiral’s Joker; Lightly raced 7 year old who just keeps winning. $1.90 actually looks acceptable.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r1 Boomtastic; Beat all bar Windstorm who is touted as the next cerise n white superstar after it’s win on Wednesday. Resumed with a win in a maiden that rated through the roof , beating a very smart one in the process. Should lead on it’s ear and be very hard to run down at a crazy $7.

Ascot r9 Dance Music ; It’s record of 6 wins from 7 starts , most of them soft with plenty in hand says it all. Has the pace to lead or sit just off them and will win better races than this .

Ascot Quaddie (r6-9); 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 12 , 3 9 , 1 4 7 12 , 3. $88 for 100%

Caulfield r3 Hilo; Ridden against his usual on pace pattern from a tricky gate last start. Ran well considering and the form out of the race is top shelf.

Caulfield r9 Vow & Declare; Each way , see feature post for full preview.

Randwick r7 ; Alizee Each Way, Arcadia Queen win, Sunlight place ; see feature post for full preview.

Randwick r9 Come Play With Me; Has to carry the 59.5kgs this time but it is a compressed weight scale and will stay all day.

Eagle Farm r8 Better Reflection ; Was a top class 2yo who showed she still had it winning first up since January. 3kg claim see’s her ideally placed.

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Thursday Tips

Best Bet Northam r6 Heart of Coeur; Overall (15-3,1,4 ) , Trk Distance (1/1) and 2nd up records (2/2) all indicate he is the one to beat here. His first up 3rd was good in a better race .

Northam r7 Obstination; A run on 2nd to Miss West Coast should be very good form for this. Only has to handle the 300m rise in distance to salute.

Northam Quaddie (r4-7) ; field, 4 7 10, 1 , 10. $24 for 100%

Moe r3 Ears The Barman; Race fit and proven on soft .

Moe r8 La Tigeresa ; Can get home like a train and is coming out of strong races.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Caulfield r5 Bravo Tango; When on song he can really motor home. Has a big weight and awkward barrier but if track is playing fair and gets any luck will be powering over the top.

Caulfield r6 Zoustyle; Was disappointed it got run down last time but looks to get it easier on speed today and gets another chance.

Betfair/Multi

Ascot r6 Windstorm; It’s debut win got tongues wagging, running down another talented 3yo with a blistering turn of foot. Will be a major player in the summer features so should win here but priced accordingly.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r2 Sublime Image; Split two runners who both won very easily on Wednesday last start. Regally bred and will only need clear air and a fair track to run over these.

Ascot r4 Bunker Buster; Knows where the line is , winning it’s last 3 by narrow margins. Has however ran down some handy types and the likely genuine speed will set it up perfectly for a repeat performance.

Ascot r6 Cup Night; With two of the better credentialed chances likely to be dueling up front , I can see Cup Night getting the opportunity to use his turn of foot to chase them down late. Dry Ascot can present a leader bias so assess the earlier races before diving in and go each way.

Caulfield r3 Loving Gaby; One of last seasons best 2yo’s who returned with a strong finishing win . This is no harder if not easier and will take a stack of beating.

Caulfield r8 Soul Patch; Don’t let the barrier turn you off playing each way here. He is very adaptable in that can be ridden forward or back. Wherever he does end up he has untapped ability and $17 is overs in such a wide open race. Has a real sense of timing , coming through the midweeks to peak on the day.

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Wednesday Winners

Bunbury r4 Angelique’s Fame ; Our flying filly finally makes it to her debut race! I don’t have a standout best bet today so thought I would analyze our race instead. She maps to get every chance , her trials have been good enough and we think she can run top three. She is on debut and still learning however so not suggesting a large investment. The favourite Boomtastic will obviously take a stack of beating with the wizard Pike to steer.

1st (7) Boomtastic 2nd (11) Angelique’s Fame. 3rd (8) Red Warrior 4th (9) Oreo

Novelties

1st ; 7 11

2nd ; 7 8 9 11 ($5 Quinella $6 Exacta)

3rd ; 3 7 8 9 11 ($18 trifecta)

4th ; 3 7 8 9 11. ($36 First 4)

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Monday Money Makers

Best Bet Warwick Farm r5 Multaja; Brilliant fresh record in all conditions and although 1000m is slightly short of her best, the small field means she won’t be too far back .

Warwick Farm r4 Tricky Gal; It’s only defeat so far was narrow with excuses on a Heavy track. This is by far her toughest test class wise but she will be closing off fast in another small field . Will have clear air to work with while Angel of Heaven will need some luck from barrier 1.

Warwick Farm r8 So Bizarre; First up for a new stable after a year off. Also short of her best distance but her form is around much better horses than she meets here. At $16 each way it might be worth a ticket in case she is ready. Use the market to judge stable confidence.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Kalgoorlie r8 Spiritual Warrior; Has won three on the bounce in Saturday Metro races. Races on speed which is advantageous here. Very wary of Ihtsahymn but willing to take on dirt form . First Affair grows a leg in Kalgoorlie and has Pike but will get back.

Novelties

1st 1 10 2nd 1 8 10 3rd 1 2 7 8 10 4th field.

Randwick R5 Classique Legend; One of the leading Everest contenders who ran a cracker first up behind current Everest Favourite Pierata. Maps to get better run than main rival Osborne Bull .

Flemington r7 Mr Quickie; 2/2 2nd up and ran fastest closing sectionals of the day first up over 1600m. As long as you can make ground on this track he will be almighty hard to run down. 2 roughies for novelties are Trap for Fools who should lead for fun and doesn’t lie down without a fight and Looks Like Elvis who is airborne in much easier grade.

Novelties

1st 3 4, 2nd 2 3 4 9 3rd 1 2 3 4 6 8 10 4th 1 2 3 4 6 8 9 10 12

Flemington r8 Surprise Baby; Won the Adelaide cup at just start 6 over 3200m. 2nd up at 2500m is unusual for Australian horses but he is an out and out stayer looking for a Melbourne Cup start so Trainer will have him ready.

Flemington r9 Subpeonaed; Comes from the stronger form races in Sydney. She raced without luck behind the best 3yo fillies in the country and should be storming home here.

Flemington Quaddie (r6-9); 1 4 7 , 2 3 4 8 9 , 3, 7 11. $30 for 100%

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Thursday Tips

Best Bet Kalgoorlie r7 Pym’s Royale, Locals are always hard to beat at their home track. Especially when they have a 7/7 including 2/2 at the distance record! Dropping a massive 8kgs, happy to be wide with cover from the tricky gate and thundering home in clear air.

Gosford r2 Tisane; While there hasn’t been much between today’s equal favourites , She has beaten Wild Sheila home . Wild sheila has also had twice as many chances to win a maiden.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Toodyay r6 Armed and Ready ; Should sit up on speed which is highly advantageous this track and was unlucky first up over the staying trip. Fitter and this is weaker. No market yet so fingers crossed it’s backable.

Caulfield r7 Gatting; Held Mystic Journey comfortably last start with a gap to 3rd. Was strong to the line and in previous campaigns has beaten/pushed Galaxy Star over this distance range. Ignore the starting price and it’s clearly hard to beat with a repeat performance.

Caulfield r8 Zoustyle ; Previously unbeaten in QLD, prepared to forgive latest when thrown in the absolute deep end against the countries best. Will get a much better run here , most likely lead on his terms and if not physically or psychologically damaged can bounce back.

Caulfield Quaddie (r6-9); 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 , 7 8 , 9, 6 7 11 15 17 $130 for 100%

Weekend Winners

Best Bet Rosehill r5 Enticing Star; This mare has a devastating turn of foot that she has used 8 /10 times with genuine excuses for the two losses. 1 loss was a 2nd in a group 1 where she pulled up with issues. She will come from last but only has to pass 6 rivals. Her 2 trials indicate she is ready to let rip.

Rosehill r4 Gem Song; Track and 2nd up stats read very well for this. If he runs as well as his first up effort behind a budding star in Arcadia Queen then he wins.

Rosehill Early Quaddie (r2-5); field, 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 , 3, 5. $105 for 100%

Rosehill r8 Quick Thinker; First run in Australia was simply outstanding in weaker grade. That was a Heavy 9 and trainer didn’t think he would handle it so if he jumps out of the ground even further on dry then I want to be with him.

Belmont Early Quaddie (r2-5); 1 2 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 13, 1 2 3 5 , 2 , 4. $44 for 100%

Betfair/Multi;

Belmont r4 Bunker Buster; Odds on in staying races is hard to take but the Scr of Too Close The Sun really points to him winning again for Mcnaught/Durrant lethal combo.

Belmont r5 Cockney Crew; Is my best bet confidence wise but the $2.70 opening price disappeared quicker than last weeks pay. Expecting him to play a part in local carnival races .

Doomben r7 Jonker; If running 2nd to Classique Legend by a length isn’t good enough here then don’t bother reading form guides. Absolute moral on ratings, unfortunately it doesn’t always work out that way .

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Friday Fill Up

Best Bet Moonee Valley r2 Power Scheme; Drops in weight after beating one of today’s rivals at this track and has group 3 form around smart types.

Moonee Valley r5 Exhilarates; Bookies are keen to risk due to barrier 1. If that’s the chance we have to take on a classy horse for a decent price then bring it on. Good horses can overcome obstacles and I’m sure Jockey will have a plan from the get go.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Flemington r2 Soul Patch; Outstanding run for 2nd from last on a leader bias track first up. Winner led and ran 2nd on Saturday to frank the form. 1400m and better barrier look ideal.

Canterbury r7 California Zimbol; Won here on debut then went straight to Queensland for feature 2yo races and ran very well. Trial was outstanding and expected to win better races.

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