Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r9 Guns of Navarone; Has a solid track & distance record and there is no hotter stable in the west presently. Great each way bet on a 30/70 basis at current price . ($13/3.40)

Eagle Farm r5 The Candy Man; Qld cult hero who was desperately unlucky not to win again last week. Bigger track and 1800m will suit, class should prevail.

Randwick r7 Quackerjack; Tough effort to go down fighting this distance last start when trapped wide throughout. Should get it much easier on speed here and take some running down.

Flemington r2 Bam’s on Fire; Clearly the best horse in my opinion. $2.10 for a straight race which are generally raffles is rock bottom, hopefully we get better closer to jump.

Flemington r5 Halvorsan; Dropping 7kgs off a top win and excels at distance.

Flemington r7 Defibrillate; Has a habit of hanging in which cost him his first loss in Australia last start. Has way more upside than his rivals and should be winning .

Flemington r9 Bag Raider; Bit of guess work here but first start in Australia was a strong winner with 60kg over 1300m before failing on a wet track. Resumes in a harder race over 1400m with 55.5kks and D.Lane booked. Currently paying $23 each way and worth a nibble.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r4 Baffling; I don’t have much between it and the favourite Winifer. The form around Winifer is a lot stronger but she is still an eight start maiden and goes from 52kgs to 58kgs. Baffling has only had 5 starts and destroyed a weak field last start. Plenty of room for improvement and drops from 56kgs to 55kgs after the use of claim. $7 / $3 each way (pay 1 & 2 ) looks much better value than $1.90 for fav.

Ascot r7 Akvavit; Is taking on better credentialed runners first up but I’m attracted by the low draw and light weight for the dynamite Durrant/Mcnaught combo. Each way.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Pinjarra R2 Too Fat Too Slow; Looks primed for 1600m 3rd up after two satisfactory runs this time in.

Pinjarra Early Quaddie (r1-4) ; 1 4 , 3 , 1 2 6 8 9 , 1 2 4 6 7 8 9 12 13 $90 for 100 %

Pinjarra r7 STARTHEFRIAR; More a call to arms again than a tip but he should run another bold race at each way prices. GO DONALD! First 4 tipped on home page.

SHA TIN r7 Indy Champ; While the Hong Kong champ Beauty Generation has fallen off the wagon he is still a cult hero so we get a great price on the Japanese runner. Has won 6 from 9 at the distance and Damian Lane to steer.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r7 Flirtini; Huge run against a very unsuitable slow tempo in the Winterbottom. That form always dominates this race and she’s already proven herself in this longer distance range. No big price for our best bet this time but as the saying goes ; Any price a winner!

Ascot r6 Electric Light; Stamped her dominance in a similar field last start. The extra 200m and terrible gate are the queries but backing the Wizard to use her class to find a way.

Ascot Quaddie (r6-9); 2 10, 12, 1 2 4 5 7 8 11 15 16 , 8 11. $36 for 100%

Pakenham r3 Jentico; Two strong wins in SA then only beaten 1 1/2 lengths in a group 3. Drawn to lead and 3kg claim makes her very hard to run down.

Pakenham r5 Odeon; Beaten less than a length alongside Hey Doc first up. Has won 2nd up and at distance previously. Good use of 3kg claim.

Pakenham r9 Propelle; Classy filly who looks perfectly placed 2nd up at the bottom of the weights at pet distance.

Doomben r8 The Candy Man; Returned home from a poor spring campaign as if he never left with a dominant victory. Has a cult following hence was heavily supported to do so and it’s hard to see a repeat not happening here against the same horses.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Bunbury r3 Ice Trade; Can be risky at the start but when it balances up can really get home hard. Home track , lethal trainer / jockey combo. Each way .

Sandown r1 Beau Mec ; Expecting track to favor on pace runners which suits him. Last start 2nd where winner has since franked form.

Sandown r2 Busby; Another on pace runner who lost at a short quote first up but was only run down late. Oliver jumps on .

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r4 Prince Turbo; Has grown wings once Paul Harvey has jumped on. Extreme outside barrier not ideal but the speed is mostly drawn wide so hoping it can go with them and slot in. Making the place my best bet of day , win best value.

Ascot r6 Not To Be Mist; Clearly the best horse in the race to my eye. Had no right to win last start but it’s turn of foot got him home. The map today looks horrible from the wide gate. If it wasn’t Pike on board I wouldn’t be tipping because it is going to take some sort of ride. It is Pike and at $4.20 I’m willing to take the gamble of getting some Wizardry.

Ascot r8 Trekking; Have been caught out a few times simply relying on Everest form to be too good. The main issue is keeping them going all spring. I also don’t have a good punter’s relationship with Kerrin Mcevoy on favourites. Head and shoulders above them ability wise and drawn to perfection. Novelties posted on main page feature post.

Ascot r9 Stormy Ruler; Is having a fantastic prep. Will get a gun run for champion hoop Damian Lane , trained by his Dad . $14 each way looks a great each way bet around the 30/70 percentage.

Ascot Quaddie (r6-9); 1 3 8 , 1 2 3 8 , 1 , 1 2 4 16 . $48 for 100%

Rosehill r6 Alward; Comes back to NSW in good form albeit Qld staying form. Should get gun run but the track remaining dry is a must.

Rosehill r8 Bon Amis ; Track and distance specialist who is racing in peak form.

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Thursday Tips

Best Bet Bunbury r2 Tradensia ; Did plenty of work on debut apprentice ridden and was only “Piked” late. Michael Lane horses excel on their home track and No1 stable jockey goes on.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Northam r5 Notorious One; 4yo son of Animal Kingdom on debut. The sire has produced some very nice types lately and his recent trial was impressive. Followers of this stable like a bet so monitor market for further support.

Northam r7 Startthefriar; Not really a tip just drumming up support for our own runner. Mt two top rated runners have been scratched so the race is wide open. At his best he would beat these but we haven’t seen it this prep so far. Fingers crossed !!

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Bunbury r6 Chatter Session; Looks very progressive on the back of her soft trial and even softer first up victory. Holds all the aces from the barrier.

Bunbury r5 Do A Pataky; Cost itself by getting stirred up behind the barriers last start. Also looked in need of longer, only winding up late. Sublime Image form looks strong against these and out to 2000m.

Seymour r8 A Shin Rook; Has the strongest recent form , especially at 1600m which is a query for some of the others. Jockey is on fire.

Betfair/Multi

Bunbury r1 This’ll Testya; They don’t trial any better than she did for a Bunbury maiden.

Bunbury r8 Silkinize; Has form around yesterdays Placid Ark and Guineas winners, turns up in a weak c3!

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r1 Brothers Keeper ; Was ridden like the best horse in the York Cup and tactics paid off , sustaining a long run to win. Never runs a bad race , especially in this distance range and the trainer is on fire.

Ascot r4 Boomtastic; Beat key guineas runners at this track and distance two back by controlling the speed and dashing away. Overdid it in front over 1400m last time. Back to 1200m and from barrier 1 , I can see her being in it for a long way at good odds. The stablemate and favourite has to return from a Victorian spring campaign , not easy for a 3yo filly. Each Way.

Ascot r6 Electric Light; Has won 6/8 over 1200m and 2/3 2nd up. Was very good late first up in a much stronger race over 1000m. Pike jumping on helps too!

Ascot r8 Tellem Were Comin 100% wins & Reykjavik 20/80 ; See feature post for full preview.

Ballarat r3 Defibrillate; Unbeaten in Australia and only defeat was over 1200m on debut. Has won from 1600m to 2500m. Toughest test but there are no stars here and looks like he can progress even further than this level.

Ballarat r6 O’Tauto; Made a potential star really earn it first up before not getting any room in a race over the Flemington carnival.

Ballarat Early Quaddie (r3-6); 4, field , field , 4 $99 for 100%

Doomben r5 Ashman; Has been flying through the grades, going for 5 in a row here. The ease of his wins suggest he is up to the challenge.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r8 Bee Quick ; Has been finishing with a wet sail in stronger races. Extra 200m 4th up should be ideal .

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Sandown r6 Home Of The Brave; Has been setting the pace in some hot races and not been beaten far. With today’s rivals either first up or unsuited by wfa conditions, I’m backing Damian Lane to rate him out in front and take some serious catching.

With the spring coming to a close and Ascot a week out from the Masters that’s all I could find today.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Bunbury r8 Prince Turbo; Went enormous first up off a long injury enforced spell. Had a minor setback before bouncing back with a dominant win this track last week. If it handles the quick back up and extra 300m then it is clearly the one to beat.

Bunbury Quaddie (r5-8); 6 , 1 2 , 5 6 , 3 5 11 . $12 for 100%

Hawkesbury r8 Balmaceda; Both his 2nd up and distance record indicate a peak performance. Doesn’t need to find much from it’s first up run in the same class.

Bendigo r6 Living The Dream ; Finds the right class, just needs to run out the mile at first attempt.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Rosehill r6 Tanker; You just can’t put enough value on race experience in 2yo’s. Impressive winner at Caulfield on debut and great trial at Randwick in preparation for this. Needs to jump better from barrier 1 .

* Put off the preview as long as possible. Track rated good 4 , was predicted to be around a soft 6 with showers still a strong possibility.

Flemington r3 Knickpoint; Undefeated in two starts , one on heavy and one on good which is handy to know ! First go in the city but looks very smart and form has stood up.

Flemington r4 True Self; Unlucky 2nd to Prince of Arran in the Geelong cup says it all. Having a small saver on Top of The Range; Ran 2nd to Surprise Baby in last years Adelaide Cup so distance no problem and another very strong form reference.

Flemington r5 Santa Ana Lane; The world’s best rated sprinter has been huge in defeat this prep. Won this race last year and looks a moral on a soft 5 or better. Any wetter and Nature Strip is a danger.

Flemington r8 Melody Belle; This one will be wanting the rain to justify her short qoute. Was awesome last week in suitable conditions, silencing her knockers who doubted the strength of the NZ form. I’m also backing Kings Will Dream; Cox plate runners always run well in this race. Also won this track and distance start prior.

Ascot r5 Driftstar; This tip is fraught with danger. He was a karrakatta fav after 1 dominant 2yo win on debut. Then he just lost the plot. Has found his 3rd home and trial was enormous. He is that type of horse that could bounce on the bunny and trounce them or turn his toes up and tail off last. I’m giving him one chance .

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Thursday's Tips

Best Bet Flemington 5 Ball Of Muscle; A brave 2nd to Trekking who then placed in the Everest is brilliant form for this. Only knows one way and that’s flat out , has won this track and distance. A heavy track would dent my confidence significantly.

Flemington r7 Pancho; Find it hard to justify a horse who won a maiden on debut being favourite . Running 2nd to Kubrick in a $1 million dollar race last start and proven on wet , he looks the safer option. Have to be vary wary of Russian Camelot as the maiden win was full of merit and he’s been smashed pre post.

Betfair/Multi; * There are a lot of short priced favourites today who look very hard to beat. At the time of writing the track is expected to be deep in the soft range., as well as starting to wear from all the traffic . I personally am hesitant to take the current odds on offer.

R1 Impi; Best horse in this with stacks of upside to come. Likes wet tracks.

R9 California Zimbol ; After thrashing Loving Gaby who then won a group 1 , the short quote is understandable. Will be the 29th race of the carnival however and straight races can throw funny results at best of times. Quaddie Anchor.

Quaddie (r6-9); 1 4 , 1 3 10, 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 12 14 , 2 . $66 for 100%

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Tuesday's Tips

Best Bet Ascot r9 Not To Be Mist; Race wasn’t run to suit first up and still nearly won it. 2nd up out to a more suitable trip. There has been good form from the race already .I’m sure we wont be alone putting all our faith in Pike in the last!

Ascot r4 Rewrite The Stars; Windstorm form is as good as it gets in this grade. Gets similar run and this time wont have a potential group 1 horse chasing it down.

Ascot Race 8 Kay Cee; Ran as good as it could first up against the pattern and off a slow speed. Drawn to settle closer plus more speed on means she will be hard to hold out.

Ascot Quaddie (r6-9); field, 1 2 3 5 7 10 12 12 , 4 7 , 7. $160 for 100%

Flemington r2 Bravo Tango ; Likes a wet track and 1400m.

Flemington r7 Vow and Declare ; See main page for feature post.

Randwick r2 Lewis; It’s form is around horses who have already performed at a higher level.

Randwick r8 Jazzland; He never runs a bad race as record indicates. First up win was dominant.

Randwick r9 Wandabaa; Undefeated in 3 runs to date. Comes to the city first time but wins have been effortless and this isn’t that strong for a city race.

Bunbury r4 Red Warrior; Has brilliant speed and comes from a very hot form race. This one is your “good thing” multi banker.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r5 Massimo; It’s first two runs were very impressive and a sign he was pretty smart. Last time was a complete forgive job where nothing went right and the race as a whole was very messy. Pike goes on today and 1200m looks ideal .

Flemington r1 Zoutori; Put simply if he runs up to his last two efforts at this track & distance he will win.

Flemington r3 Groundswell; A 3rd in both the Guineas and prelude is by far the strongest form for this race. As long as he has a run left in him, he should be winning.

Flemington r5 Melody Belle & Nettoyer; Melody is a multiple group 1 winning NZ mare in peak form. She handles all conditions and has form along side Cox Plate placegetter TE AUKAU SHARK. Nettoyer is in career best form including a win at this distance at group 3 level last start. Good heavy place each way bet.

Flemington Early Quaddie (r2-5); 1 5 , 2 , 1 3 4 6 7 8 12 13 , 2 6 9 10 11 12. $96 for 100 %

Rosehill r7 ; 15 3 5 2 see feature post for full preview.

Rosehill r8 Pierata; When a horse looks head and shoulders above his opposition I’m willing to take a chance on overcoming bad barriers etc. Any luck and he is too good for these.

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Thursday Tips

Best Bet Bunbury r5 Do A Pataky ; As I’m writing this there is heavy hail pelting down. If the show goes on was most impressed with it’s first up run. Forced to try and loop them from last on a leaders day, she only peaked late. The form behind the favourite has since failed. Each way.

Bunbury r2 Under The Arches; Would rather take the $2.30 on a horse that is guaranteed to get the distance over a 3yo two start maiden filly jumping quickly to 2000m at $1.90.

Bunbury r6 Sentimental Gift; Putting last start defeat down to coming back in distance. Still hit the line late and can make amends.

Bunbury r7 Stormy Ruler; Tough effort first up when caught three wide on speed and only faded very late. Back to his home track in an easier race.

Bunbury Quaddie (r4-7) ; 1 2 4 5 7 10 , 1 6 8 , 8 , 5. $18 for 100%

Seymour r6 Maserartie Bay ; Debuted in a hot 2yo race then resumed with a soft maiden win. Should go through the grades quickly.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r5 Oreo; Is getting better with each run. Won convincingly last start. The quick back up and 5th run in her debut prep is some concern but if she turns up at her best she wins. Staggering she isn’t favourite.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r9 Black Ducati; Lightly raced mare who went back in grade for a soft kill last start and it was soft! Likely to control the tempo again from ideal barrier and prove toughest to beat.

Randwick r6 Master of Wine; Yes the race was run to suit last start, yes the conditions of this race have it harshly weighted but it looks as though it is still on an upward spiral where as the better performed horses have already had a grand final run . Very hard to hold out.

Moonee Valley r6 Soul Patch; Lost it’s chance in the Caulfield Guineas at the barrier draw . Was still very strong to the line and has the blinkers on first time.

Moonee Valley r9 Lys Gracieux ; On world ratings alone she is a class above this field. Still has to perform first up in a foreign country and overcome tricky gate but if she performs to her best good luck catching her. Full preview on homepage.

Eagle Farm r8 Tambo’s Mate; Building an imposing record and maps to get perfect run behind expected solid speed. Needs a late split and will be powering through.

Morphetville r6 Exalted Trail ; Ran 2nd last start in a stronger race. Top jockey booked and a good each way price.

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