Best Bet Ascot r5 San Crispino; Only 3 wins from 41 starts but when she gets the right run on speed she generally has a good kick and is hard to run down. Drawn perfectly with jockey Azzopardi very much in form.
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Best Bet Ascot r7 Serenity Bay; Has a record of 5 starts for 3 wins and 2 seconds and first up beat half of these on their merits. Add Pike from a suitable barrier and your bound to be the one to beat.
Ascot r9 Over There & Arnie’s Boy; They are both in form and drawn to get perfect runs. At current prices you can back both each way and make a decent profit if one wins or both place.
Ascot Quaddie (r6-9); 2, 7, 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 10 11 12, 1 5 6 11 12. $55 for 100%
AROUND THE GROUNDS * My eastern states form is terrible at present so proceed with caution
Caulfield r5 Shush; Debuted in a group 3, was competitive and spelled. Bolted in on resumption with an electric turn of foot. If it gets a split late will be very dangerous.
Caulfield r7 Our Campana; A mare in hot form and should get every chance from draw. $3,80 looks overs to me.
Randwick r6 Helga; If it gets over from wide draw without busting a gut then should have too much firepower for these. Missybeel most likely tries to run them into ground like last time but that tactic rarely works twice in a row. Hopefully she burns early to allow Helga to slot in.
Sunshine Coast r2 Tunero; Has a racing pattern of getting back and running on late which requires tempo and luck, hence the poor strike rate . However this is a massive drop in class and it just has to go close in a Brisbane class 3 .
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Best Bet Moonee Valley r2 Baaqyah ; Big fan of 2yo’s with race experience over debutantes and this one has very strong form.
Moonee Valley r7 Hey Doc; Bit worried about the pressure he is likely to cop , kicking up from barrier 1. Was allowed to dictate in Winterbottom . Keep coming back to his record here at track though and at WFA is the one to beat.
Moonee Valley Quaddie (r5-8); 8 , field, 1 , field. $96 for 100%
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Best Bet Pinjarra r3 Expressionist; Was held up for a run but flashed home late to only be beaten a length on debut. Extra 200m looks ideal.
Pinjarra r4 Western Chant; Tycoon Storm form is good enough for this. Will be up in the firing lane and has 3.5kgs off big danger Goku. Good quinella.
Pinjarra Early Quaddie (r1-4); 1 3 4 5 7 8 10 11 , 1 3 4 6 8 9 10 11 12 , 6 , 1 7. $144 for 100%
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Best Bet Canterbury r5 Twentyfour Carat; Won in a canter last start this grade. Tricky draw and soft track are the obstacles but I’m banking on the 3kg claim offsetting these and making him the one to beat.
Betfair / Multi (short priced fav’s who should win but look for better odds.)
Ascot r6 Sweet Strawberry; It’s first two starts have indicated above average ability . The horror draw and apprentice booked make the odds on quote hard to accept.
Canterbury Quaddie (r4-7); 1 3 5 6 7 , 4 , 7, field $40 for 100%
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After pouring over the form for all major state meetings we have failed to find anything today. Better to have a day off than throw some random dart !
Good luck with your own selections if having a punt. Hopefully we can find some Sunday Prayers for tomorrow!
Best Bet Bunbury r7 He’s a Gunslinger; Ready for this distance after being held up and flashing home late over 1400m last start. Main danger is San Crispino who doesn’t win often but is always thereabouts and actually finished a nose in front of Gunslinger last start after working on speed.
Bunbury r1 Brave Contender; Was only run down late first go in this distance range when going for home a long way out. Should be at peak fitness and this is a weak race.
Bunbury Quaddie (r4-7); 3 4 5 6 7 ; 1 2 3 4 , 5 , 3 6. $40 for 100%
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Best Bet Randwick r3 Special Reward; Things just didn’t work out in the spring for this exciting ex-WA sprinter. Trial indicated he is back to his brilliant best and maps to dominate this race from the front.
Pinjarra r6 Maschino Miss; Has a very solid record overall , especially this track & distance. Putting faith in a young apprentice on a Saturday is tricky but if she can find a spot on pace from the good draw then will take some catching. Each way.
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Best Bet Bunbury r2 War Anthem; Has had plenty of chances but the form out of his first up 3rd is too strong to not give him one last chance to breakthrough.
Sandown r7 Grand Crown ; After falling first up he has raced extremely well next two with big weights. 2kg claim means he gets in lighter in easier race. Each Way.
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Best Bet Bunbury r4 Indigo Wild.; Drawn to get a soft run and his first up run indicated a win was close. Pike is on 4 odds on favs to start the program so if the first three lob our price might drift even more from the already tempting $4.40. Trutiara will be hard to beat but can’t justify the price. Carmurlea looks a massive price as she has plenty of speed and a light weight.
Boxed Quinella ; 7 11 12 .
Multi/Betfair
Bunbury r2 Sweet Strawberry ; As mentioned above Pike is expected to dominate early. This is the one that is most backable for your multi’s etc in my opinion.
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Best Bet Ascot r7 Fabergino ; Is a speed freak fresh over 1000m. Lands on the bunny from good barrier and most rival jockeys will need binoculars to see her half way up the straight if she’s on song. The amount of money that has already seen her price plummet suggests she will be.
Exacta 5 / 6. Essential Spice looks the logical choice for 2nd. From barrier 1 I’m guessing they will try and hold on to the fav’s back and peel off halfway down straight to have a crack.
Quaddie (r6-9) 1 2 3 4 5 , 5 , 1 7 , 1 2 3 4 5 7 10 11 12 14 15 . $110 for 100%
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Best Bet Pinjarra r7 Angry Annie; Has had 2 starts at this track and distance for 2 demolition jobs. Concede last start was a very weak race but with the 3kg claim and low draw she gets a great opportunity to keep the streak going.
Pinjarra r8 Melrose Beach; Race record of 1 from 25 hardly inspires confidence but it’s current form reads well for this . It’s 1 win was at this track so gets his chance for long overdue win.
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Best Bet Ascot r5 Mankind; Stable were confident last week and he raced without luck, held up at a crucial stage. The favourite there is very smart and this looks easier. $7 looks a great each way price.
Ascot r7 Prince Turbo; Went awfully close first go in this distance range last start and this race looks easier.
Ascot r5 Quaddie (r5-8) ; 3 7, field , 7 , 2 6 7 . $84 for 100%
Randwick r5 Bandersnatch ; Weighted and drawn to control the race from the front as he has in dominating easier opposition lately.
Randwick r6 Superium; Has run big races in much higher grade than he meets here and has the services of a very strong rider.
Randwick r8 Something Fast ; First go at 1600m but map suggests he gets it all his own way in front. Bolted in over 1400m last start in similar conditions.
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Best Bet Flemington r1 Defibrilate; Couldn’t of won any easier last week and the rise in class is offset by a drop of 6kgs.
Flemington r5 Thousand Wishes ; Spacing her runs this time in seems to have her back to her best. She ran 4th in a group 2 this track and distance as a 3yo. Each Way.
Ascot r2 STARTTHEFRIAR & ARNIE’S BOY ; Arnie’s boy was enormous last start , we were in the same race and went ok without much luck. The market allows you to back them both as long as you cheer for STARTHEFRIAR!
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Pinjarra r7 Guns Of Navarone; Sticking with my guns with the best bet from Saturday’s transferred race. Conditions have changed with the favourite now set to get a more favourable run from closer in however I don’t think it should be odds on. Guns is also now set for a better run and looks the clear danger and better value. A 20/80 staking plan too maximise a place profit is the go.
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Best Bet Ascot r5 City Circle ; Did a good job to tough it out behind a potential superstar and run 2nd first up albeit by 6 lengths. No superstars in this, has won 2nd up previously and has a solid track & distance record.
Ascot r11 Inspirational Girl; Will be a long wait for some to back Pike in the last with 11 races! Two effortless wins before put away and resumes here off 2 trials. Didn’t show much in trials but wasn’t asked to so hard to judge how forward she is. She will need to be ready as it’s her toughest test and first up over 1400m but on raw ability is the one to beat.
Caulfield r2 Mrs Beckham; Got back from wide draw and was eye catching late into 3rd first up. Was tried at a higher level as a 2yo and wasn’t disgraced. Finds a suitable race from a better barrier.
Caulfield r7 Mr Stylish; Misbehaved on debut then two big runs since including effortless 7 length maiden victory when stepping up to 1600m. Looks very promising and still on the up.
Doomben r10 Ingear; Form numerically doesn’t look great but it’s been close enough in listed and open grade to give this c2 a solid shake.
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Best Bet Ascot r5 City Circle ; Did a good job to tough it out behind a potential superstar and run 2nd first up albeit by 6 lengths. No superstars in this, has won 2nd up previously and has a solid track & distance record.
Ascot r11 Inspirational Girl; Will be a long wait for some to back Pike in the last with 11 races! Two effortless wins before put away and resumes here off 2 trials. Didn’t show much in trials but wasn’t asked to so hard to judge how forward she is. She will need to be ready as it’s her toughest test and first up over 1400m but on raw ability is the one to beat.
Caulfield r2 Mrs Beckham; Got back from wide draw and was eye catching late into 3rd first up. Was tried at a higher level as a 2yo and wasn’t disgraced. Finds a suitable race from a better barrier.
Caulfield r7 Mr Stylish; Misbehaved on debut then two big runs since including effortless 7 length maiden victory when stepping up to 1600m. Looks very promising and still on the up.
Doomben r10 Ingear; Form numerically doesn’t look great but it’s been close enough in listed and open grade to give this c2 a solid shake.
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Best Bet Ascot r9 Guns of Navarone; Has a solid track & distance record and there is no hotter stable in the west presently. Great each way bet on a 30/70 basis at current price . ($13/3.40)
Eagle Farm r5 The Candy Man; Qld cult hero who was desperately unlucky not to win again last week. Bigger track and 1800m will suit, class should prevail.
Randwick r7 Quackerjack; Tough effort to go down fighting this distance last start when trapped wide throughout. Should get it much easier on speed here and take some running down.
Flemington r2 Bam’s on Fire; Clearly the best horse in my opinion. $2.10 for a straight race which are generally raffles is rock bottom, hopefully we get better closer to jump.
Flemington r5 Halvorsan; Dropping 7kgs off a top win and excels at distance.
Flemington r7 Defibrillate; Has a habit of hanging in which cost him his first loss in Australia last start. Has way more upside than his rivals and should be winning .
Flemington r9 Bag Raider; Bit of guess work here but first start in Australia was a strong winner with 60kg over 1300m before failing on a wet track. Resumes in a harder race over 1400m with 55.5kks and D.Lane booked. Currently paying $23 each way and worth a nibble.
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Best Bet Ascot r4 Baffling; I don’t have much between it and the favourite Winifer. The form around Winifer is a lot stronger but she is still an eight start maiden and goes from 52kgs to 58kgs. Baffling has only had 5 starts and destroyed a weak field last start. Plenty of room for improvement and drops from 56kgs to 55kgs after the use of claim. $7 / $3 each way (pay 1 & 2 ) looks much better value than $1.90 for fav.
Ascot r7 Akvavit; Is taking on better credentialed runners first up but I’m attracted by the low draw and light weight for the dynamite Durrant/Mcnaught combo. Each way.
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Best Bet Pinjarra R2 Too Fat Too Slow; Looks primed for 1600m 3rd up after two satisfactory runs this time in.
Pinjarra Early Quaddie (r1-4) ; 1 4 , 3 , 1 2 6 8 9 , 1 2 4 6 7 8 9 12 13 $90 for 100 %
Pinjarra r7 STARTHEFRIAR; More a call to arms again than a tip but he should run another bold race at each way prices. GO DONALD! First 4 tipped on home page.
SHA TIN r7 Indy Champ; While the Hong Kong champ Beauty Generation has fallen off the wagon he is still a cult hero so we get a great price on the Japanese runner. Has won 6 from 9 at the distance and Damian Lane to steer.
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