Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Carnarvon r4 Angel Jupiter; Big question about the strength of opposition she demolished this track and distance last start. No question on her liking for dirt tracks based on both efforts here.

Carnarvon r5 Glen Albyn; Comfortable he has good enough form for the race. The gamble is unlike the previous race it’s not dirt form. Trainer having a purple patch. Small play for me.

Betfair/Multi ;

Carnarvon r7 Danefin; Has won it’s last two starts by a combined 15 lengths , both here on the dirt. The 1 failure at distance wasn’t on dirt so not a concern for me. Don’t like taking odds on but deserves it.

Carnarvon Quaddie r4-7 ; 5 , 1 3 5 6 8 9 , field , 5. $66 for 100%

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Belmont r6 Flower of Scotland ; Rising 7yo mare who has never raced better , going for 4 in a row this time in. All 3 wins have been similar , getting back and sitting wide out of trouble before thundering home to breathtaking victories. Suprised it handled the step back to 1000m latest win and now steps up to 1400m first time this prep. Has won twice over the 1400m and definitely will be fit enough. Very strong opposition expected from Inspirational Girl who has a brilliant record of 5 starts for 4 wins and 1 2nd. Banking on the race fitness edge giving us a chance for the minor upset. If you like saving on a runner then she is the obvious.

Best Value Belmont r8 Mervyn ; Races best when allowed to bully it’s way to the front and try and run them into the ground. Is fighting out of it’s weight division here but has red hot Yuill in the saddle who is a great front running jockey. Hoping it can establish a big lead and at least hang on for a place at juicy odds.

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Thursday Tips

Best Bet Pinjarra r5 Great Heist; Won a trial in really slick time , beating Misty Metal. That horse opened favourite in Saturday’s Beaufine Stakes , run at listed level. Yes it’s only trial form but $3.20 in a provincial c1 could turn out to be a great heist! Sea Waif looks the clear danger. Gets 4kg after the claim and most likely leads. That can be advantageous at Pinjarra and local trainer Pope’s horses grow a leg here. Good Quinella.

Best Value Pinjarra r4 Superlove; Showed glimpses in debut campaign , running places albeit at Narrogin . The form of those maidens easily stacks up here and won a trial in preparation for this, albeit ridden out to do so. If she has improved during her spell then she can run a cheeky race around the $10 each way mark.

Pinjarra r2 Tunis ; Had shown absolutely nothing in first 4 starts until making up a stack of ground late over 1600m. Stable breeds stayers and this one looks like it would run 4000m! Suprised it took this long to get out to a trip but confident it gets it. Will get a long way back off the draw.

Pinjarra r9 Rewrite The Stars ; With placings behind Showmanship & Bright Diamond its not hard to find here. Although margin wasn’t big last time, it still had to overcome difficulty in running to score. Down in weight and perfectly drawn for the harder assignment.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r7 Hoolahoops; Well bred filly who is putting it all together this prep. Both trainer and jockey are on fire . There are other chances but I feel her form is from slightly better races , even though they were maidens.

Belmont r1 Quinella 1 & 2 ; La Vina looks extremely well placed in a 3yo mid weeker. Beat the Bro however beat a smart one first up and is well related. I would rather take the obvious quinella then odds on about the fav.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Kalgoorlie r3 Miss Maranta; Brings superior metro/provincial form to the region first time. Small field suits it’s racing pattern of getting back and swooping hard late. Any rail bias would be a serious concern.

Kalgoorlie r7 Amillionite; I am usually against this horse and for good reason with only 1 win from 20 starts. Last start was a good effort and I’m tipping Yuill getting on can improve her again. Each Way.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Belmont r7 Indian Pacific; Holding Windstorm at bay is as strong as recent WA form gets. Third that day has also won impressively in top 3yo company since. Has only been beaten once in 5 starts . Bounces straight to the front and very hard to see him getting run down here.

Best Value Belmont r10 Fred Dag ; If Showmanship is a legitimate $1.20 pop in r4 (hard to argue against) , then the horse that finished off hard behind him last start looks crazy value at $9.50 each way in an easier race. $2.50 a place a much better bet vs Serenity Bay $1.70 win Excellent track and distance stats back this up.

r10 Novelties

1st / 2nd 3 5 14

3rd 1 3 5 14

4th field.

Belmont Quaddie (r7-10); 4 , 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 , 2 4 , 3 5 14 . $60 for 100%

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Thursday Tips

Best Bet Northam r7 Amelia Bedelia ; Beaten under a length first up in a much stronger race. The market loves The Singing Tiger . Jumping from a narrow maiden victory to a c3 is a big ask. I have tipped Alexis Olympia numerous times this prep at big prices, racing wayward and finishing at the rear every time. Missed its last start win, still crying about that one but this is much harder.

Northam r6 Pearls From Heaven ; Ready to win a weak staying race and this is most suitable.

Northam r8 Speedy Miss ; Won this track and distance last start in a canter. Pike sticks and this is no harder yet somehow it’s paying better odds. Very wary Pearls and Prawns who is very talented if ready. Stormy Ruler has lengths to make up on the fav but might settle in front of her this time from the good gate.

Northam Quaddie ; (r5-8); field, 6, 5, 1 2 . $28 for 100%

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r7 Mirror Moon ; Might not of beat much first up but it was the way it did it that caught the eye. Repeats that effort and it will win better races than this. Inside barrier doesn’t really suit it’s get back and run on pattern but if your going to pay Pike tax on your bet then you have to trust him to find a way.

Belmont r6 Roses Are Red ; Put them away easily at Northam on debut. Northam form doesn’t always stack up here but it was wet that day at least. Should get to the outside and finish off hard and there is a lot of speed in this to facilitate that pattern.

Belmont Quaddie (r5-8) ; 2 3 , 1 9 10 , 5 9 18 , 7 8 13 . $54 for 100%

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Kalgoorlie r3 Galahs Do Roar; Basing this tip on her first up run at the track and distance first time. She ran on well out wide to just miss. Returned to the provincials 2nd up and raced with little luck but wasn’t beaten far. The fav Revel has to give her 5.5kgs and steps up to 1300m first time .

Kalgoorlie r4 Magic Will Reign; Really caught the eye late last start , rushing home from well back in a similar field. Pateman going on a big plus for a horse that seems to need strong encouragement to produce his best.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Belmont r5 Perfect Jewel; Has beaten the same horses over 1400m and 1600m with a big finishing burst. Those wins were at $31 and $11. I am naturally wary of piling into $3 but she is the best wet tracker in the race and undefeated at Belmont.

Belmont Early Quaddie (r2-5) ; 8, 2 3 6 7 10 , 2 5 7 , 7 8 . $30 for 100%

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Thursday Tips

Best Bet Pinjarra r9 Victoriuschino ; She was eye catching late 1st up over 1300m. 2nd up over 1600m she was again strong late, this time winning her maiden running away from them. Staying at 1600m might be some query but she has a race fitness edge over the two at the top of betting. $8 each way looks a good bet.

Pinjarra r10 Wee Ripper ; Doesn’t win out of turn but went close in a stronger race latest run.. Drawn to get every chance . $6.50 each way all day.

Place Multi; $6 for both to place

Pinjarra Quaddie (r7-10); 2 3 6 8 , 3 5 9 10 11 , 5 7 8 , 6 7 8 . $180 for 100%

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r7 Marxian ; A progressive stayer who won over 2100m 3rd up should be very hard to beat here. The others have very poor strike rates. Controls it from the front.

Belmont r3 Femme Pussaint; Chesnut mares have a reputation for being crazy and this one does nothing to lessen the theory. She is generally hopeless out of the barriers . She ran a great 2nd despite a tardy start 2nd up in the state behind a short priced favourite who led all the way. If she can jump with them to settle closer then she would be extremely hard to beat. It’s a massive if though!

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Belmont r8 Western Pride; Has been touted as a future star since the day she hit the track. Won all three starts in first campaign very easily then disappeared for over a year. Resumed 2 weeks ago and made it 4/4 with an effortless victory. She was pulling away late so the rise in distance should only suit better and I’m very surprised she is not odds on. ($2.10 currently)

Best Value Belmont r6 Reaction; Only tipping this as a very rough, mainly place chance as it’s one of those horses who waits till it’s big odds then flashes home late into a place from nowhere. The fav in this Son of a God would win this on his ear if you can ignore how bad he was last time but I can’t so I’m going to spec the roughie.

Belmont Quaddie (r6-9); 1 2 3 4 6 10 12 , 1 2 3 4 6 12 , 8 , 3 10 12 . $126 for 100%

Thursday Tips

Best Bet Northam r5 Speedy Miss ; The small field and booking of Pike suits as she is one of those horses who’s run has to be timed to perfection. The race sets up nice for her if your willing to pay Pike tax . $2.40 is rock bottom .

Best Value Northam r7 Megadon ; A horse with a short sharp turn of foot that needs everything to go right and is very hard to catch. $13 is worth a small each way play for mine.

Northam Quaddie (r5-8); 2 3 9 11 , 1 2 3 6 , 4 5 6 8 9 12 , 5 7 . $192 for 100%

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Wednesday Winners (Copy)

Best Bet Belmont r7 Celtic Diva ; This mare is well and truly in the zone . Gets back and steams home over the top. Weight and wide draw no issue. Granted the fav has been racing in slightly better form races however is jumping up 500m for her first attempt at a trip. $5 with $2 place insurance is great shopping.

Belmont r6 Turbo Power; Is racing very consistently this prep. If you can forgive Beat the Bell’s last run then she is the danger. Turbo is more trustworthy and has a very good jockey on.Tonkatuff is a good roughie for novelties.

Belmont r8 Avalon Bay; Easy win latest in similar race. Hard to see it missing top 3 here.

Belmont Quaddie ; field, 8 10 13 , 2 , 6 13 . $96 for 100%

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r7 Celtic Diva ; This mare is well and truly in the zone . Gets back and steams home over the top. Weight and wide draw no issue. Granted the fav has been racing in slightly better form races however is jumping up 500m for her first attempt at a trip. $5 with $2 place insurance is great shopping.

Belmont r6 Turbo Power; Is racing very consistently this prep. If you can forgive Beat the Bell’s last run then she is the danger. Turbo is more trustworthy and has a very good jockey on.Tonkatuff is a good roughie for novelties.

Belmont r8 Avalon Bay; Easy win latest in similar race. Hard to see it missing top 3 here.

Belmont Quaddie ; field, 8 10 13 , 2 , 6 13 . $96 for 100%

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Belmont r3 She’s Enchanted; Nearly beat a $1.30 pop on debut despite jumping awkwardly and getting back early. She came out next start and won with the handbrake on in a weak maiden. The fav Bright Diamond has since won very impressively again and 3rd won it’s maiden very easily at short odds. If she can jump cleanly and make use of barrier 1 , she should take some running down.

Best Value Belmont r9 Multiverse; Has a sensational track and distance record (10 starts for 7,1,1) and likes wet ground. Trial was good. No knock on fav except price as untried on wet and prefer over slightly further. $7.50 looks great each way value.

Belmont Early Quaddie (r2-5) 1 4 , 5 12 , 1 2 3 4 , 3 4 10 . $48 for 100%

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Thursday Tips

Best Bet Pinjarra r3 Darcelle ; Improved out of sight lately and a repeat of last two runs from the soft draw is good enough to beat these providing the inside is ok.

Pinjarra r8 Daisho ; Pint sized mare who ran well under 60kgs last time. The 3kg claim and good barrier are vital to her chances. Has won twice on soft.

Pinjarra r9 Roman Flirt ; In form mare who has been winning similar races comfortably as late. I see no reason to jump off here.

Pinjarra Quaddie (r7-10) ; 2 5 6 8 9 12 , 1 5 6 10 , 6 , 1 2 7 . $72 for 100%

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r4 Wanna Be Good; This runner could be Tom Melbourne’s brother the way he looms into his races then turns it up last 50m. He has backed up off 4 days twice before for a win and a 2nd and this is considerably easier than Saturday so it’s with great trepidation that I make him my best bet on a tough day .

Best Value Belmont r3 Alexis Olympia; Seems to be one of those horses who can run a cheeky race if finds the front on her own terms. Otherwise she punctures quite badly like last time. From barrier 3 she should have a better run and as trialed well since. At $23 it’s just a little spec each way for me.

Belmont r8 San Crispino (PLACE) ; Very rarely wins however nor do the others and is also very rarely far away. With only 51.5kgs on her back she can race near the speed and whack away into the placings at least, small win bet just in case!

Belmont Early Quaddie (r1-4); 2 , field , 1 5 6 7 10 , 1 4 10 . $165 for 100%

Betfair/Multi

Belmont r1 Big Man In The Sky; The good thing of the day based on brave 3rd on debut in a race where the form has been well and truly franked.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Belmont r5 Laverod ; With the race fitness edge and barrier advantage over logical danger Kay Cee, It’s hard to see him being beaten. The presence of the group 1 winning filly in the field has seen black figures available. Expect it to start odds on by race time .

Belmont r1 Freeze em Off ; The battle with Utgard Loki continues with the scores tied at 1 all. While Utgard is better off at the weights this time I’m banking on Freeze being the stronger 2200m horse. She will come from last again but in a field of 6 won’t have as much ground to make up.

Belmont r7 Son Of a God; Has been freshened for a drop back to 1000m . Although unbeaten over the distance I do prefer him over slightly longer. However fresh and with two speedsters engaged I think he can still finish over the top of him. I suggest waiting for a better price unless he completely blows out.

Belmont r8 Resortman ; Race of the day with the clash of two very promising horses. Hoping the white hot Yuill takes the unbeaten 3yo forward in a race devoid of speed. From there Showanship will have to sustain a very big run to get over the top of him. The market has them locked at $2.10 each. Hopefully the Pike factor see’s our price get out a little.

Belmont Quaddie (r6-9); 1 2 4 6 7 8 , 4 , 7 10 , 2 10 ( 7 11 13 15 16 ) * $24 or $84 for 100%. Looks a very skinny quaddie so wouldn’t spend too much. If you include the value legs in the last leg then I suggest a smaller percentage on the bracketed numbers. If the 10 is right it should win but it is over 12 months since it raced.

No Bravery awards from me today , just looks like a favourites day. If your a multi player I suggest backing them as singles too because 1 always loses!

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