Best Bet Kalgoorlie r7 Ihtsahymn ; Best horse in this by the length of the straight. Proven weight carrier . If this was on dirt I would put the house caravan and boat on. Back to turf is a leveler however he will still be right there in the finish . He is a cult figure of WA racing and happy to be part of the roar as he thunders home . Each way to be safe.
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Best Bet Belmont r5 Approach ; It’s last win might of only been a c3 but it was from last and went past them like they were glued to the fence. The 2nd horse Annhilator bolted in Wednesday with 61.5kgs. Last of the Line is most likely the best horse in the race and comes from a trial that we have already made money from . 1st up over 1400m , is he forward enough to hold Approach’s finishing burst should he replicate it ? At $4.80 I’m willing to back in the race fitness.
Belmont r6 Inspirational Girl / Western Pride ; Inspirational Girl should be undefeated and raced past Massimo last start , proving she is still on an upward spiral. Western Pride’s only defeat was when she clearly had an issue , tailing off by 17 lengths. Her recent trial indicates she is over her issue. I can’t split them , especially with the 4.5kgs pull in the weights. I’m going to back Western Pride at the better odds and also have the quinella .
Belmont r8 Reaction (Place) ; One of those horses that when he gets a soft run , he catches the eye flashing home , sometimes into a place at big odds no matter the class. Does the same in weak races as his 44:2,9,5 career record indicates . Always have $1 on the win in case but drawn 1 he can sneak into the placings with luck in running.
R8 Box Trifecta/First 4 ; 2 4 7 9.
Belmont Quaddie (r6-9) ; 1 7 , 2 6 7 8 , 2 4 7 9 , 6 11 13 . $96 for 100%
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Best Bet Northam r5 Oristano ; Ran 2nd all 3 starts last prep , all as an odds on favourite . First up from the wide barrier over 1000m doesn’t inspire confidence but I can’t ignore the trial where it split two Saturday class sprinters in Celebrity Queen and State Attorney in a 3 way finish. Celebrity Queen has opened $2.45 fav in a stakes race Belmont Saturday. Fair to say the race conditions don’t suit at all , just hoping class prevails late.
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Best Bet Belmont r6 Uncanny Timing ; Took 8 starts to break his maiden tag with a strong all the way win over 1100m. 2nd in that race won it’s maiden Sunday. Had been competitive in nearly all runs prior and hoping the confidence boost helps him go back to back. Casino War will most likely lead for a long way , always seems to let one pass late but is always in the finish. Choice Command has raced against harder opposition. A race in 3 for mine .
Belmont r8 Bollinger Boy; . Midweek stayers are impossible to trust and track record of 6 starts for donuts hardly inspires confidence however , 3rd up for WA’s best trainer of stayers , overall record good compared to most of the others and 2nd up run was full of merit.
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Best Bet York r1 Lies ‘N’ Deception ; Front runners are genuinely suited at York, jockey known for her ability to rate them in front and his current form is strong enough.
York r6 Frosty Heart; If it can repeat it’s last start demolition of a c3 field then it is clearly the one to beat.
York Early Quaddie (r1-4); 6 , 3, 1 2 4 5 7 , 1 3 4 5 6 7 8 . $35 for 100%
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Best Bet Belmont r5 Madam Torio ; In a race where 3/7 runners are virtually equal favourites, I’m siding with the race fit 1000m specialist. Brooklyn Pier trialing the house down but will cop more pressure race day. Friday Knight unbeaten at trials but will have to give the other two a head start on debut which wont be easy over 1000m.
Big Watch on the Cerise and White army at Flemington . I believe all 3 (Windstorm , Arcardia Queen and Perfect Jewel ) will run big races. but also believe they are currently under the odds . Expecting better closer to jump .
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Best Bet Belmont r7 Ration Aly ; Was first up off 400 days when sensationally backed and getting the job done from well back in a midweek c3 to make it 2/3 career starts. Her other win as a 2yo was over 1400m so only issue would be 2nd up off such a long break but she clearly has the most upside in the field.
R7 Novelties 1st ; 4 7 8 2nd 3 4 7 8 3rd 3 4 7 8 4th field $18 trifecta $108 first 4.
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Best Bet Northam r2 Snip’n’Tuck ; Looks a race in two on paper. Warcidium comes from much stronger form races. The query with him is the 1600m first time. Only battled late over 1400m last time hence I’m going with the 3yo filly. Jumped straight to 1600m at career start two and only peaked very late for 2nd. With the added fitness should go very close.
Northam r6 Secret Statue; Dropping back in class after creating an impression on debut with a sharp turn of foot. Has got back in all it’s races and finished off, indicating it’s looking for further. That is not always the case however the 3kg claim combined with the drop in class give him every opportunity to win.
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Best Bet Kalgoorlie r4 Sluice Box; Was beaten by the barrier last start. Can really rattle home and in the small field wont be far away. Also drops in weight .
Kalgoorlie r7 Staralign ; Proven at the track and distance and gets the best run out of the main chances.
Kalgoorlie Quaddie (r4-7); 7, field , 2 3 5 6 7 10 , 5 6. $120 for 100%
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Best Bet Belmont r6 Aconite; Last two placings were behind the talented and flying Montelena. She would be odds on here and should get every chance from barrier 2.
Belmont r8 Money Matters; Just failed to catch a 1000m speed queen first up. Staying at 1000m is a slight query but he should settle close enough to simply outclass them.
Belmont Quaddie (r6-9); 1 6 9 , 2 3 4 5 10 , 8 , field. $210 for 100%
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Best Bet Pinjarra r3 How’s the Serenity; The two races she has competed in so far rate so much higher than anything else in this race it’s not funny.
Pinjarra Early Quaddie (r1-4); 1 3 6 7 9 , 1 5 8 , 8 , field. $180 for 100%
Pinjarra r5 Ozzy Boy; Recent trial winner in quick time . This is a weak maiden so should be hard to beat on that.
Pinjarra r7 STARTTHEFRIAR (Our Own Horse, Hopeful more than confident!)
Wide open race so going to have a crack at the novelties for small percentages. Also going to have a 10/90 stake on Starthefriar providing he is paying $20 or above.
Boxed Trifecta / First 4. ; 1 2 6 7 9 ; Boxing 5 horses costs $60 for trifecta and $120 for first 4. (100%) STARTHEFRIAR is the one that can spice up the dividends. Flexi betting allows us to spend less for a smaller percentage of the dividend .
Wider Trifecta / First 4 1st ; 1 7 9 ; 2nd 1 7 9 , 3rd 1 2 5 6 7 9 10 , 4th 1 2 5 6 7 9 10 12. Only having my 3 top rated runners for first and 2nd allows us to add most of the other top 4 chances . This version costs $30 for trifecta and $150 for first 4 (100%)
Good luck if you decide to follow and GO STARTHEFRIAR !
Best Value Belmont r4 Bon Odyssey; Terrific win at only start 3 when sitting outside a tearaway leader, putting that runner to bed at the top of the straight and holding the chasing pack at bay easily. That was a weak maiden so granted she steps up in class but if she can cross over from the gate relatively easy then should take some catching. $7 each way on a typical tough winter midweek program is my only play of the day.
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Best Bet Kalgoorlie r5 Manhattan Money ; Has won 3 from her last 4. Cloak & Dagger offers stiffer opposition however is drawn 10 and likely to settle next to last whereas she has drawn 1 and will just need a gap at the top of the straight. She also drops in weight for her rise in class.
Kalgoorlie Quaddie (r4-7); 2 3 6 8 9 10 11 , 9 , field , 1. $63 for 100%
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Best Bet Belmont r7 Free Trade; Went to a new level at the end of last campaign. Trials have indicated he hasn’t gone backwards. He should get a soft lead in a race full of backmarkers which is unusual for a feature 1200m sprint. Not a perfect first up record however it has been reported he is only having the one run before being freshened for some big spring assignments so expect him to beat these.
Best Value Belmont r8 Flower of Scotland; Bounced back into her terrific form at this track and distance last start , demolishing an easier midweeker to make it 4/5 this prep. Her one miss was over 1400m when she was pushed wide off the track . Clearly this is a much tougher assignment but $16/4.25 for a mare in this kind of form looks juicy enough for me.
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Best Bet Belmont r5 Excellent Dream ; Has proven to be too fast and tough over this track and distance on wet tracks at both starts this prep. Exact same condtions today. $2 is rock bottom but on a tough day the best bet on the card.
r5 Novelties 1st 1 2nd 6 7 9 3rd 6 7 9 4th field
Best Value Belmont r7 Great Heist; Won very impressively over 1200m on a soft 6 first up. Ran on well 2nd up in a race that was run on a Wednesday but was easily Saturday quality. Looks suited at 1400m 3rd up. 60kg a test but $7.50 each way looks overs.
Belmont Quaddie (r4-7); 5 , 1 , 2 3 4 5 7 8 9 10 12 , 1 3 11. $27 for 100%
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Best Bet Kalgoorlie r6 Cuban Twist; 3/3 at the track and maps to get another soft run on speed . Sluice Box the clear danger but in contrast has to do plenty of work from the outside gate.
Best Value Kalgoorlie r7 On The Turps; Usually races like it’s on the turps. Missing the start , racing fiercely and finding trouble all very common in it’s stewards reports from previous runs. Last start was given every chance and put them away. The odds might be against him getting the perfect run twice in a row but at $7 each way he is worth the risk.
Kalgoorlie Quaddie (r4-7); field , 1 2 3 5 8 , 5, 7 9. $100 for 100%
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Best Bet Belmont r8 Tiff Has Spoken; Has raced super competitively in strong 3yo company, alongside and in front of numerous winners. Maps to get every chance just behind the speed and this looks easier than recent assignments.
Belmont r2 Pletto; Yet to miss a place in 7 starts. Was backed off the map last start and despite things not going perfectly she still brained them. The only negative would be a strong rail bias from her wide draw otherwise looks too classy.
Belmont r6 Nerodio ; From the better barrier today should settle around 3 back the fence and from their his explosive turn of foot sees him hard to hold out. The reason for 4 weeks between runs the query , market moves will be a telling factor.
Belmont r7 We’ve Got Dreams; Yuill has a history of rating this horse out in front to perfection. The fav looks vulnerable at 1000m.
r7 Novelties 1st, 6 , 2nd 5 7 , 3rd 1 2 3 4 5 7 10 11 12 4th 1 2 3 4 5 7 10 11 12.
Belmont Quaddie (r6-9) ; 2 3 4 9 , 5 6 7 , 5 , 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 11 15. $132 for 100%
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Best Bet Pinjarra r1 Just Under; Beat most of these last start, storming home from the back and just missing a heavily backed all the way winner who was also favourite. The extra 100m suits .
Pinjarra r8 Arties Jewel; 1 win in 24 hardly instills confidence but is going very well. Always looms as the winner but struggles to find the line. Gets another go here. Safety Bay is a good saver.
R8 Novelties
1st 6 10 2nd 4 6 10 11 3rd 4 6 10 11 4th 1 2 3 4 5 6 10 11 12 13
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Best Bet Belmont r8 Weaponson; 2nds to Elite St and Excellent Dream at this track and distance is good enough form to go one better here.
Best Value; Belmont r2 Miss Voodoo; Stable rate this filly very highly and her trials indicate above average ability. 1300m on debut won’t be easy but worth a bet at $7 each way and put her in your blackbook for the future.
Belmont r5 Ohbeeh ; Excels as a front runner and jockey is renowned for rating them out front. Get’s every opportunity to repeat 1st up all the way win.
Belmont Quaddie ; (r5-8); 1, 3 7 8 , field, 4 $30 for 100%
Best Bet Darwin r12 Ihtsahymn; WA warrior looking to go back to back in the cup for cups king Peter Hall. You wont see a better cup trial than it’s first up run over the 1600m when it worked home into 2nd beautifully . From barrier two it should get a world perfect run, doing no work tracking the speed and going bang at the top of the straight. 10 year old marvel who is a group 1 winner that’s career was reinvigorated when his love for dirt tracks was discovered . The whole of WA will be cheering him on!
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