Best Bet Ascot r3 No Apology ; Dropping in class and gets a claim for a talented apprentice. Only won 2/18 but this is not strong and should settle behind the speed and get every chance from barrier 2.
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Best Bet Mount Barker r7 Classic Jack ; Granted it’s a rapid step up in class for a $2.50 favourite however it simply gets too good a run not to tip. Will be tucked in right on top of the speed set by Corporate Larrikin and Deel Red. One will tire late and I prefer red when he gets his own way in front. Mr Pago has the senior rider back on and looks the value in the race. With Chris Parnham coming down for the ride and Roy Rogers dominating the great southern season , I’m willing to pay the tax on the odds . 100% wins with a 10/90 % small saver on Mr Pago.
R7 Novelties
1st ; 2 6 ,
2nd ; 2 5 6 ,
3rd ; 1 2 4 5 6 8
4th ; field
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Best Bet Ascot r6 Miss Marietta ; Last two starts over the mile have resulted in a 2nd in this grade followed by an effortless win in a c5 back at the midweeks. The trainer is in form , so is the jockey and most importantly so is the mare.
Ascot Quaddie (r6-9) ; 7 , 1 , 2 4 5 6 10 , 1 2 11. $15 for 100%
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Best Bet Bunbury r6 Kia Ora Star ; This is the easiest race he has contested for some time. Has finished close up last couple in much stronger . While he doesn’t win out of turn nor do the others engaged here. 40/60 % split of your stake recommended.
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Best Bet Ascot r4 Nobel Laurence ; First up ran on into 2nd behind all the way winner Hot Zed who is airborne . Won 2nd up last time in over this distance. I have finally sacked Mystery Man, that usually means they win !
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Ascot r3 Vane Tempest ; Took a sit last start and it worked a treat , she settled and sprinted brilliantly at the finish. After scratchings Mcnaught has options. The 2nd to Kissonallforcheeks is brilliant form for this. Only has to settle to get 1200m. The current $1.95 on offer is the only thing stopping me declare it as the best bet.
Ascot r4 Hell’s Belles; Dropping from a .75 length 3rd in a Saturday 62+ to a c1 . Just needs to slot in from tricky draw to go close.
Best Bet Ascot r8 Tinsnip ; Has only won the 1 race but that was the sires produce at this track and distance hence has almost 250k in the bank. There is a stack of speed in this and I can see him getting the right run to finish over the top. Each Way
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Best Bet Bunbury r3 Vadette De Star ; Debuted in Saturday grade , was plunged and didn’t let supporters down with an easy win . Bookies haven’t forgotten, $2.30 is short enough in a slightly harder race but should be very hard to beat.
Bunbury Quaddie (r7 -10); Field , 2 3 4 5 8 14 , 7 , 1 2 5 11 . $288 for 100%
Flemington r8 Fifty Stars ; Won this race last year , ran 2nd in the group 1 Mackinnon behind Arcadia Queen which is also this track and distance and ran a close 2nd last week over 1600m in the Blamey 2nd up. Conditions suit.
Randwick r8 Bivouack; Is the class sprinter of the field most suited by the wfa conditions. 1000m was too short first up and 2nd up record is superior.
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Best Bet Pinjarra r7 Billy Aint Silly ; Confident it’s the best horse at the meeting let alone race. $2.10 first up, it’s a question of what price is acceptable. Has trialed satisfactorily for it’s return.
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Best Bet York r6 Warm N Fuzzy ; York suits front runners and this horse only knows one way. Last start wasn’t suitable due to the intense speed engaged. Should lead these and with Chris Parnham making the trip to ride will take catching.
York r7 Admiral Promo ; Coming from stronger races and is 1/1 at York. That stat is important as it’s a quirky track that many horses don’t handle. Each Way.
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Best Bet Esperance r6 Arsinoe; Track specialist (4/7) who has had excuses last two narrow defeats. Has the draw and weight to turn the tables today.
Esperance r7 Push to Pass ; Won last years cup and has raced competitively since in stronger races including winning the York Cup. Looks a huge chance to go back to back at each way odds. 40/60 % split off stake.
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Best Bet Ascot r7 Solaia ; Last start she beat Kissonallforcheeks comfortably at listed level.Start before split Cryptic Love ( then won Pinjarra Classic) and Last of the Line (Then won Detonator Stakes) All the Peters horses are coming from weak c1’s and maidens. Chiclett has ability but 2nd up coming from midweeks. Maps to get a picnic in front or take a sit on something ridden against its usual pattern.
Best Value Ascot r6 Interstate; Is racing well and based on last start 3rd this track and distance , $23/4.50 looks generous. Beat home Eurasia who is $4.60. 20/80 % split of stake.
Flemington r5 Fabergino ; Last start’s brilliant 4th in the group 1 Lightning Stakes this track and distance when coming solo down the outside just has to be the right form. She absolutely flies this track and distance on good going. If Jordan Childs was fit to ride her I would put the house on. She will lead for a very long way. Her races are usually spaced , the only possible negative . If she’s 100% on top of her game she wins.
Ascot Quaddie (r6-9); 3 6 9 , 1 , 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 , 3 7 8 9 11 12 13 14 $240 for 100%
Flemington Early Quaddie (r2-5) ; field , 2 , field , 2 . $88 for 100%
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Best Bet Bunbury r6 Axel ‘R’ Eight ; Midweek stayers , most are going to struggle to get to a higher level with our tip and Marrochino perhaps being the exception. Has won 2/3 this distance , the latest by running them into the ground. Drawn wide outside another free running type in Corporate Larrikan could go both ways. I’m hoping Pateman sits off him and when the roughie starts feeling the pinch , go for home and pinch a break on rivals. Otherwise if he manages to cross he can ramp it up further out. Either way he is fit enough to turn it into a real test of stamina whereas the equal favourite is rising from the 1600m.
Bunbury r4 Baybizarre ; Has run two good placings to kick off career , greenness costing it victory at latest. With natural improvement really should be the one to beat. The only time these Peter’s false favourites seem to win is when you pot them so respect Powerful Force . Chris Parnham has been riding them more positively ( 2 won on Wednesday being put into the race earlier than Pike would generally do.) The race is pretty thin behind those two.
Bunbury Quaddie (r4-7) ; 8 , field , 2 5 , 1 2 4 5 7 9 . $132 for 100%
*would struggle to tip a canoe last couple of days , proceed with caution!
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Best Bet Ascot r4 Rosso Tempesta; Was kept honest in front last start by a Peters short priced favourite. Fought it off only to be grabbed late by the fav’s stablemate. On first look at this field he jumps from a c1 to a c3 and only drops 0.5kgs despite being the only c1 in the field. Not ideal conditions but he is big and strong enough to carry the weight. Hopefully he gets it easy out in front and fights them off. Each Way all day. Born to Try has much stronger form lines but untried at 1600m.
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Best Bet Pinjarra r5 Holy Enchantment ; Hit the line hard in the 3yo MM’s first up over the unsuitable 1200m. That has to be the right form for this. 1500m much more suitable and 2nd up record superior to first up.
Pinjarra r6 Outback Jack ; Pretty much copy and paste the same comments from the best bet above. Same trainer who would be stoked he could split them up under the same conditions. Both are likely heading to the derby . Trainer has the hot favourite in race 4 , could be a huge couple of hours.
Pinjarra r8 Samizdat ; Was an expensive yearling who has had huge wraps on him from day 1 . While he hasn’t dominated he has still won 6/14 and over 400k. Providing track is fair / you can swoop then he is the one to beat on his current form in top company.
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Best Bet Ascot r5 All in Red ; We have made a stack off Prize Pursuit’s big sister up in Geraldton and I see no reason why she can’t bring that form to town. She can race on top of the speed unlike her main rival in Pletto who will give her a head start. Hasn’t been beating much but she has been destroying them and there’s no stars here either.
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Best Bet Bunbury r3 Cotchin; Was an impressive trial winner before being held up on debut and running on late to hold 3rd behind a red hot favourite. The big chances according to the market are all get back and run on types. Hoping Heffel can get over from the wide draw and get a decent head start on the chasing pack. Suggest 25/75 split of stake each way.
Best Value Bunbury r7 Big Caroline ; Have it rated 3rd pick behind the two favourites so at $19 I suggest a 10/90 percent split of stake. Has won 4 races at Bunbury and has placed at last two starts here at 30/1 .
Bunbury Early Quaddie (r1-4) ; 1 3 5 , 1 2 4 6 8 9 11 12 , 1 4 8 10 11 , 6 . $120 for 100%
Bunbury Quaddie (r5-8) ; 1 2 3 , 1 2 3 , 1 6 7 , 9 10 . $54 for 100%
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Best Bet Ascot r8 Kissonallforcheeks ; Thought she was vulnerable from the wide draw first up however her class shone through. Put the race to bed very quickly. Again drawn poorly in a deeper race , I still think she has the class to round them up in the small field.
Best Value Ascot r9 Guns Of Navarone ; Dropping from a midfield finish at listed level to a 66+. Getting 3kg off for Laqdar Ramoly almost feels like cheating so well is he riding at the moment. Looks amazing each way value at the moment.
Ascot r5 Big Bada Boom ; Has won 4/6 , all in the great southern region. His trainer is on fire all over WA and the ease of his victories suggest he can handle the rise to Metro Saturday racing.
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Today’s theme is trying to find value by taking on the lethal Cerise N White horses with Pike in the saddle. The theory is they start way under the odds , especially at provincial meetings . Yesterday was a prime example , with our Good Thing getting too far back and failing to bridge the gap and our Best Bet ridden upside down to put pressure on our Value bet , only for both to get run down by the stablemate ! Now we are taking them on Murphy’s law says they win everything today. Maybe have a multi on them in case lol.
Bunbury r5 Agent Kensington ; Last two 2nds were behind better horses than it meets here. Banking on 1100m being too short for Real Charisma .
Best Value Bunbury r7 Oceanzara ; Two recent 2nd’s behind our champ Prize Pursuit and yesterday’s value play Rosso Tempesta . Prize would flog these and Rosso ran a close up 2nd in a better race yesterday. Can’t possibly suggest the favourite Antique Jewel is a $1.50 chance. Has had 3 runs in maidens, all as a short priced favourite . At $13 / $3.10 we will play safe and go 10/90 % split of stake.
Good Thing Bunbury r8 Tambora ; If it reproduces it’s ratings from first two runs it bolts in. Prized Miss had every possible in a field of 5 on debut then did nothing 2nd up.
Best Bet Bunbury r9 Castillo Del Lago ; Ran very well first up, running 2nd with a big gap to 3rd. There is already winning form from the well beaten brigade. Should cross over from wide gate and keep running. Testing Love has the right form however first up is the best time to take these Peter’s horses on.
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Best Bet Ascot r5 Spritely Star; Ran 2nd on debut to a speed machine over 1200m who has since run 2nd in Saturday grade. Then got the job done at prohibitive odds over 1413m . Only got going late and she looks to be crying out for the 1600m and further. 100% wins.
Best Value Ascot r5 Rosso Tempesta; Trying something a bit different today by tipping two horses in the same race. This fellow bolted in from the front in his maiden with today’s hoop Paul Harvey in the saddle. Last start was stronger than this race and he battled along ok after doing early work . If he can lead he might be hard to catch. 5 % win 95% Place.
“Good Thing” Ascot r1 Secret Plan ; It’s debut win over 1000m on a soft 6 was breathtaking, swooping past them from near last . Did the same thing in a trial leading into this first up assignment. Tipster’s nightmare tipping losing odds on favs as good things but the current $1.85 looks juicy.
Mad Roughie Ascot r8 Tovarich ; Took 20 starts to win his maiden and now has two wins from 22 starts, both at this track and distance , both at big odds. Has good early pace and apprentice Carleen Heffel is a good front running jockey who has been riding winners galore lately.
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Best Bet Geraldton r7 Mycroft; Started a heavily backed favourite in the Batavia sprint and was only beaten a length , finding the 1200m a touch short at that level. Back into a 70+ over 1400 suits and he is hardest to beat. Proven weight carrier but 61kgs does give lesser class runners a chance . He’s All Mighty seems to grow a leg at Geraldton and Quality Fair has finished close up with Mycroft in the past.
Geraldton Quaddie (r4-7) 2 3 4 ; 1 2 4 5 6 7 8 9 , 5 7 , 2 9 . $96 for 100%
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