Weekend Winners Updated

Belmont r1 Street Fair ; With the scratching of our original best bet we logically turn to the horse we were most wary of. He is a wet tracker at the top of his game , just has to overcome an awkward gate / speed map .

Belmont r2 Wuhan Warrior ; Sometimes big trial wins can be deceiving but it looked to still have gears left when cruising in by 8 lengths while smashing the clock. Missed out on a run last week and to me that is a blessing , more time to recover from trial effort. Both Canny Jack and Nights Mystery will provide stiff opposition but I can’t let it go around at $5 based on the trial. Going to risk the favourite Beads from the barrier but it’s a nice horse.

Best Bet Belmont r6 Comfort Me ; Some are knocking the price ($2.60) but tell me who’s going to beat it on current form? Wary of Excellent Dream if it can stretch out to 1400m , confident it has the rest covered.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Weekend Winners

Belmont r1 Street Fair ; With the scratching of our original best bet we logically turn to the horse we were most wary of. He is a wet tracker at the top of his game , just has to overcome an awkward gate / speed map .

Belmont r2 Wuhan Warrior ; Sometimes big trial wins can be deceiving but it looked to still have gears left when cruising in by 8 lengths while smashing the clock. Missed out on a run last week and to me that is a blessing , more time to recover from trial effort. Both Canny Jack and Nights Mystery will provide stiff opposition but I can’t let it go around at $5 based on the trial. Going to risk the favourite Beads from the barrier but it’s a nice horse.

Best Bet Belmont r6 Comfort Me ; Some are knocking the price ($2.60) but tell me who’s going to beat it on current form? Wary of Excellent Dream if it can stretch out to 1400m , confident it has the rest covered.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Thursday Tips

Best Bet Northam r8 Vital Flirt ; Had it a race in 2 and the other one was scratched overnight. Ran past our very own Prize Pursuit this distance two back then backed it up with an unlucky 2nd when got out late and just missed. Mare in form who needs luck in her races due to racing pattern however small field with cutaway she is sure to get her chance.

Northam Quaddie (r6-9) ; 2 5 7 , 1 3 4 , 4 , 1 2 4 5 6 7 8 9 11 . $81 for 100%

Please Gamble Responsibly

Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont R3 Bandalera Beau ; 2yo who has had 3 starts , 2 over 1400m in preparation for this. Should have a clear fitness and race experience edge on rivals including a win 2 back then no luck latest.

Best Roughy Belmont r7 Nodustonme ; Won a c1 this track and distance 2 starts back at start number 40. Start number 41 she came 2nd last but only beaten 4.5 lengths in Saturday grade behind Amasenus. That horse is 20 lengths better than these horses. Considering the favourite is $2.30 coming off a win at Kalgoorlie in 58 grade , I’m happy to have a small nibble and I stress small , at the $21 each way.

Belmont r9 Crystal Dane ; 15 starts at Belmont for only 2 2nds is a worrying statistic but it handles the wet and 1400m is it’s pet distance. She has never raced better and is as good a chance as any. All in Red could easily be the best horse going forward however first up no trial in testing conditions has left me scratching my head. Watch the market with her.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Weekend Winners

Belmont r4 Vane Tempest ; Has matured from a flighty speed freak into a powerful short course sprinter who can lead or sit off them just as effectively these days. Went down in a dogfight with another very talented sprinter 7 days ago. Madam Torio and Acromantula could end up in a speed war with Vane Tempest parked right behind ready to strike. Pike will have last shot with Secret Plan who has an unbelievable turn of foot but can get a long way back. Good test for Apprentice Victoria Corver , I will be using the quinella with Secret Plan as a saver.

Best Value Belmont r8 Come Play With Me ; Group 1 winning stayer who was being prepared for the winter carnival in Brisbane before he couldn’t get a flight . Was running well carrying massive weights in a couple of lead up runs. Forget last start over totally unsuitable distance. Only genuine stayer in the race and is heavily advantaged by the wfa conditions. Leading Girl might have too much brilliance for him but at $21s I’m willing to play each way.

Best Bet Belmont r9 Bright Diamond ; Concede she had every chance 2nd up but it turns out the two who beat her home are pretty smart. Should get every chance again and we will jump on the PIKEINTHELAST bandwagon. Unfortunately that means taking a skinny price however this looks the perfect race for her.No Knock on The Spruiker however the draw makes it tougher this time. He goes in the quaddie.

Please Gamble Responsibly

PINJARRA R6 ; PRIZE PURSUIT

Huey has opened favourite for the c1 mile at Pinjarra Thursday as he looks to return to the winners stall. Drawn favorably in 7 , Apprentice Jett Stanley should be able to slide across into a prominent position up on speed. Datalka and Duke of Magnus are the two most likely to keep him company while the two swoopers we will be looking over our shoulder for are Chaluke and Gallant Ranger. Pinjarra can be a hard track to make ground on so hopefully we can give a good kick at the top of the straight and fight them all off.

Bet 365 opened him at $7 / $2.50. Before I could deposit funds into my account to make the most of this generous offer and others opened their markets he was $3.40 favourite everywhere . At those prices I will concentrate on the novelties .

Boxing numbers (allways) 1 2 6 7 8 will cost $10 for the quinella and $60 for the trifecta.

For the first 4 I will split them up to make it affordable to add other numbers for 4th.

1st 1 2 6 add 7 and 8 for 2nd & 3rd add 9 10 12 for 4th $180 for 100%

* Number 4 Greatness Awaits is a hard horse to judge. His Victorian form is easily good enough , his trials uninspiring. I have left him out from the wide barrier , if there is market support it may be wise to include for 3rd and 4th.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Good Luck Connections and followers , lets do this!

Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Kalgoorlie r2 Big Break; It’s last two 2nds were behind better horses than it meets here and gets the services of Chris Parnham.

Kalgoorlie r4 Jakestar; Has always shown ability / good speed in it’s races but couldn’t hang on for the win. Forced to work wide first run in the region and still proved far too strong. This is much harder but I’m predicting he is going to be a track specialist that can go through the grades .

Please Gamble Responsibly

Weekend Winners

Best Bet Belmont r6 Brooklyn Pier ; So far in it’s short career it has won 3 races first up between 1000-1100m. Yet to win 2nd up and only try 1200m was last however that was in the Karrakatta plate as a 2yo. 2nd up last prep it ran a length 2nd to the very smart Gemma’s Son. Was strong late at the end of the 1000m first up and is drawn to get every opportunity to run it out either leading or leaders back .

Please Gamble Responsibly.

Thursday Tips

Best Bet Northam r1 Material Witness; A short course horse with no early speed always needs luck in running however in a field of 7 with Pike on I’m willing to take the risk. The 2nd to Timely Outburst reads very well for this.

Northam r2 Better in Kit ; Should be fitter for first up 3rd off a years break when peaked last 100m. This is weaker, 100m shorter and Pike retains the ride.

Northam r7 Astro Warrior; Did some work in the run but held out some talented horses last start. (Ginger Baker goes round in previous)This is no harder and the 3kg claim for in form apprentice has him well placed.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Weekend Winners

Belmont r3 The Spruiker; Ran down a smart one first up with a sharp turn of foot. Drawn to get a great run again smothered up behind the pace.

Best Bet Belmont r6 Panzdown; Has an electric turn of foot that his opposition haven’t been able to match in all 4 runs this campaign. The early speed in this will be blinding which suits him perfectly. The two favs most likely make their runs together and with equal luck there won’t be much between them. Nerodio the danger/ quinella horse.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Thursday Tips

Pinjarra r2 Allegiance ; Ran a close 2nd to a promising , in form horse in much higher grade at start 2. Forget debut when featuring heavily in the steward’s report at a track that many don’t handle. Untried on wet so best not invest too heavily.

Best Bet Pinjarra r4 Spiced Delight; The stars have aligned for this filly today in that she has the speed to be right up there and the draw to find the outside fence. It has proven to be the winning formula time and time again. Numbers 1 , 2 & 14 all have enough ability to contend but all draw the wrong side. Untried on wet but at least she will be in the best ground.

Pinjarra r7 Divine Quest ; This is a drop in class on recent assignment’s where she has been competitive and she likes the wet.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r7 Dad’s Bigheaded ; Is 1/1 at the track and distance and his first up run with 60.5kgs was solid. There is a massive push for Enduring Moment so I’m expecting the price to get out closer to jump. Pretty thin race behind these two. Sea Waif only has 51kgs after claim.

First 4 ; 3 4 9 , 3 4 9 , 3 4 9 , field. $30 for 100%.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Monday Money Makers.

Best Bet Northam r7 Deputano ; Peaked on the run first up then put them away very quickly 2nd up. Drawn to get every possible with Pike on. Butterlea Lad is a different horse if able to lead on the fence. Had a wide run last start and toughed it out well. Drawn wide again but not much speed on paper. Worth a saver , If you use betfair you could even wait to see if he crosses to the fence in the run.

Please Gamble Responsibly.

Sunday Prayers

Pinjarra r6 Ginger Baker ; Went round at massive odds first up in a metro 3yo handicap. It’s last 600m was run of the race stuff and was beaten under 2 lengths. Has won at Pinjarra previously . The only thing holding me back from chips in is the big weight. Over 60kgs is a task no matter how weak the field is.

Pinjarra r7 Prize Pursuit; Nervously putting extra pressure on our own runner here. He has run 4 places (3 seconds) from 4 starts this campaign. Is going great guns at home and has had a run at the mile to season him for a peak performance. The 3kg claim for a very talented apprentice , low draw and a track he loves gives him every opportunity to go one better. In a full field of 14 I suggest 25/75 % win/place bet .

Best Bet Pinjarra r8 Vane Tempest ; Funnily enough this speedster has never raced over 1000m , let alone the Pinjarra straight. She used her speed to win impressively over 1200m first up . She used to jump and run like a bull out of a gate but she is much more controllable now, the one time she took a sit she blew them away. Should sit outside a frantic pace and pull away late.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Weekend Winners

Best Bet Belmont r3 Ultimate Command ; While 2yo form is not as foolproof as established horses , it’s last 2 2nds to a smart stablemate has it clearly on top . The low draw only enhances it’s chances.

Best Value Belmont r7 Written Matter ; Undefeated in 2 , this beast of a 3yo is trying to jump from a c1 to a listed feature race against seasoned opposition. While it is a hard ask , it looks like a very professional racehorse with a serious tank. Led all the way on debut then put them away out wide 2nd up. Has been openly disclosed that it will be ridden cold and try and storm past them from the outside barrier. If it can get the right tow in it will take some holding out. Each Way at double figures .

Please Gamble Responsibly

Thursday Tips

Carnarvon r5 Casual Trade ; Apprentice Jett Stanley has started his career with a bang. To get 4kgs off in a region such as Carnarvon is a huge advantage . Brings his weight down to 52kgs and he is going for the hatrick at the track and distance. Being an EX Lucky Duck , I will have to save on Starthefriar. $7 is a good price for a horse with his rating here. The negative is he is a very quirky horse to ride so with a young apprentice on first time it won’t be easy for her. Madrid Centro has won 4/5 here and come near enough to last everywhere else. Some of his winning margins when he first arrived last season were mind boggling. Base your novelties around these 3.

Best Bet Carnarvon r6 Shivers of Joy ; It’s 2 wins from 35 starts has come at this track , 1 at this distance. Last start he made a mess of them first up. While the favourite Mordor is a worthy opponent I can’t give up $3.70 with 53.5kgs vs $2.05 with 61.5kgs.

Carnarvon Quaddie (r3-6) :

Field , Field , 9 , 10 $110 for 100%

Field , Field , 6 , 10 $55 for 50%

Please Gamble Responsibly

Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r1 Schuhplatter ; Won softly first up down the Pinjarra straight. It’s hard to line the straight form up with anything else but with natural improvement, this Snitzel 4yo mare is in the right stable to trust she can go through the grades. Playing Red is coming from harder races but is far less effective on good going. Also mixes her form so hard to trust. Enticing’s last two runs were good enough to win this , 1 win , 0 placings from 8 starts means he also hasn’t earnt my trust yet.

Best Value Belmont r5 San Crispino ; Her track and distance stats are nothing flash (6; 0 1 0 ) however she has gone from a non winner to a horse that gives everything with maturity. From the soft draw and with no weight on her back , expect her to settle right behind a genuine tempo and be there when the whips are cracking. Opened double figures , currently $9 ($1.80 tote) so plenty of others like her early on an each way basis.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Kalgoorlie r4 Solarize; All 3 wins have been at 1200m , draws low and has king of Kal Mitch Pateman to ride.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Weekend Winners

Play of the Day; Belmont r8 Massimo & Dance Music ; Two bet strategy for the feature sprint. Massimo was completely luckless in the Roma Cup . Settled midfield the fence and is still looking for a way out. Was such a non event that gun trainer Adam Durrant trialed him on the Monday where he went brilliantly. Trainer Simon Miller was not afraid to tell punters Dance Music was the pick of his multiple runners in the Roma , even at the unsuitable distance of 1200m. He wasn’t wrong with the classy Mare running 0.1 length 3rd. He also stated she was in for a big prep and she is much better suited as the distances get slightly longer. Both horses have great wet track stats and both are each way prices. It’s a great betting race where nothing would shock , I suggest backing both on a 20/80% basis.

Eagle Farm r7 Explosive Jack; This tough as nails 3yo has already won the Tasmanian , Sydney and South Australian derbies. The Sydney derby was naturally stronger than this Queensland event and he made a mess of them in SA. While how much is too much for a young horse is the question on everyone’s lips, I am certain he is going as well as ever or why would such an astute trainer risk him with the future in mind.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Thursday Tips

Best Bet York r8 Friar the Gun; Scratched yesterday from a winnable race in preference for this. Remarkably it’s currently paying better in what looks like an easier race. Will push forward from a widish gate and hopefully slot in off what looks a likely strong tempo. All the other chances in the market are coming from stronger races but none of them win out of turn. Being lightly raced she has the most upside if she can progress in an upward spiral. Confidence is high on this one on a 40/60 % stake to cover risk with place.

Please Gamble Responsibly.