Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r2 Becalotti ; Debut run was full of merit , making good ground from the back into 2nd behind a winner who won again Sunday. Drawn to get a better run than the favourite .

Belmont r6 Maktastic ; Two runs in WA indicate he can win a few staying races over here . Has done a power of work in both and fought on strongly. Step up in trip suits , hopefully can get a more economical run . Apprentice only races can get messy , having one of the leading locals on is an advantage.

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Adelaide Ace

Best Bet Morphettville r9 Taunting ; WA’s Chris Parnham heads over with veteran stayer Stafford’s Lad in the cup and we wish connections the best of luck but it’s his pick up ride in the last that we’re keen to follow. Has a great track & distance record , drawn to get a great run on pace and has won a trial to show he is ready for this first up assignment. Just has to tick the good track box to be beating these.

Quaddie (r6-9) ; 11 , 1 2 3 4 8 9 11 13 , 1 2 10 11 , 2 $32 for 100%

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Sunday Prayers

Ascot r2 Beach West ; Trusting the young apprentice to jump straight to the front and rate it at a tempo it can run out the 1400m. With the likes of Harvey and Pike stalking her on the main dangers , I’m thinking we will have the rosary beads out last 150m but it is a Sunday Prayer ! Saving on Guard The Safe .

Best Bet Ascot r6 Spirit Man ; Dropping in grade and drawn to get a lovely run on the back of the speed. If blinkers on first time even finds an extra length then he is clearly the one to beat. Kings Flirt run her race before the start last time . If she jumps cleanly and crosses she is the quinella / back up horse.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r5 Let’s Deal ; Was going nowhere until stepped up in trip , then smacked a weak country field and backed it up by running past Casino Seventeen . If that horse is a legitimate $2.10 hope in today’s Bunbury Cup then you would think the same price here is generous.

Ascot r7 Creator ; Great win first up , should of won second up , coming from last on an on speed dominated day through traffic to run 2nd. Draw , weight and distance give him a great chance at redemption. If Burnya to Survive runs up to his best level he probably wins. Nothing wrong with his last run under the circumstances but a bar plate remains on , too good to leave out of the quaddie.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Pinjarra r1 Laquetta’s Gift ; The narrow 2nd to Feel’s Playful is far superior form to what she meets here. The 3kg claim allows her to carry less weight than her lesser performed rivals. Very hard to beat under those circumstances.

Pinjarra r2 Frantic War ; Knocking the door down to win a race , finds a very winnable race. Replicates any of his 3 runs this campaign and he simply beats these. Fingers crossed he sits just off them and powers away the last 100m and Lucky Ducks are back in the winners circle.

Early Quaddie (r2-5) ; 2, 3 9 10 , 1 4 5 6 7 8 , 1 3 4 . $54 for 100%

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Monday Money Maker

Best Bet York r1 Tahitian Pearl ; A 2nd to Supersession , beaten under 2 lengths is ridiculous form for a York maiden. That horse has won 2 graduation Saturday races since and would start 1.01 in this field. She was 100s that day herself due to uninspiring trials and debut but if she can reproduce the Belmont run then she goes very close to winning. Hard to invest heavily but $4.60 (365) is juicy enough to have a bet.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Esperance r3 My Boy Chris ; Classic case of a horse showing a bit in the provincial area , struggling to go on with it and then loving the move to the country. If he can find a spot close to the speed from the tricky barrier then he is bound to be in the finish at an each way price.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r2 Prawns Eleven ; The speed in this looks hectic so Pike can smoke the pipe in behind them and then unleash his electric turn of foot. Normally I’d be concerned with the drop back to 1000m however the speed and small field look like an ideal set up.

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Albany Analysis

Best Bet Albany r4 Brave Contender ; In a rich vein of form , winning the Mt Barker cup effortlessly last start. Roch Legacy is coming from metro racing and has a winnable weight after the claim but he has been up a long time and most metro staying races aren’t that strong form references so I can’t justify the short odds.

Quaddie (r4-7) ; 3 , 1 , 1 2 3 4 6 7 9 10 , 2 3 4 5 6 . $40 for 100%

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r4 Major Max ; It’s not the form behind his two wins , it’s the ease in how he’s done it with the look of a horse that has plenty more to give. Destined for Saturday racing. Trevern is trialing the house down and is proven in this grade . Excelestial is racing out of it’s skin . Hoping they race each other early to set it up for Max to swoop over the top.

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Sunday Prayers

Pinjarra r1 Frantic War ; Most of these are racing down the unique straight 1000m for the first time which makes any predictions of speed maps and tactics next to impossible. Further complicating things is the natural speed horses are spread out from the inside to the outside. Generally speaking the outside is considered the better going. We are drawn right next to the hot favourite Rupert’s Empire close to the inside (4/3) . He races on speed and looks very hard to beat on his recent trial. In an ideal world we can find his back , peel off at the 200m and let rip down the middle . If the blinkers help him finish off even a fraction better then he has to be hard to hold out . The rest of the field is just guesswork with the other one in the market , Psyschic Session first up no trial but drawn the right side if he’s good enough.

Betting Strategy : 100% wins . Don’t really like backing him straight out against a hot favourite but the odds dictate we back him in and take the obvious quinella as back up.

Best Value Pinjarra r8 Creator ; Great win first up and that’s the first time he’s done much at all first up in nine attempts. That says to me he’s feeling good and he’s won 2nd up on 2 other occasions. Hoping Halatorian and Sniparoochy dual from a fair way out and then we will be right in the mix at each way prices.

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Weekend Winners

Best Value Ascot r6 Sizzle Me Patrick ; Made up a stack of ground on debut over 1200m then destroyed a maiden field over 1400m 2nd up. Steps straight into listed level which admittedly is a huge task however the distance increase looks right up his alley. and if your going to make the leap , these derby lead ups are the best time to try. The strong easterlies forecast are tipped to heavily favour those on pace , if that’s the case then his chances diminish so watch a few before investing each way.

Best Bet Ascot r7 Admiration Express , The girls turn on the way to the Oaks which our favourite is the $2.50 All In favourite . She also holds favouritism in the WA Derby All In market. She was brave first up doing all the work outside the race fit Feels Playful , still coming on the line. With a little cover she should be too strong late over the 1800m .

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Gero Gambles

Geraldton r1 Bidaya ; Ex Godolphin galloper who has a 3rd in a Geelong 3yo maiden in only 4 starts. Trialed really well for the new connections recently and this is weak . Queen Tiffany the obvious danger , thought she ran 2nd by default the other day , wasn’t going anywhere but nor were the others besides the winner.

Best Bet Geraldton r6 Let Them All Talk ; Brought provincial / metro maiden / c1 form to a weak country maiden last start , was backed as if unbeatable and didn’t let supporters down . Looks like a horse that can race through the lower classes in the region. Think those who backed it last time will re load and it jumps favourite so I’m taking $4 now.

Geraldton r7 The Singing Tiger ; Dropping considerably in class , drawn for the right run and the claim brings the big weight down to a manageable 60kgs. We have cashed in on Jeanella’s 2 wins in the region. $1.90 from the carpark looks pretty skinny.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r1 King’s Flirt ; Won by almost 7 on debut over today’s 1200m. Big question mark on the form behind her but she can find the front again and from there it will take a pretty big sustained run to gun her down.

Ascot r7 Maktastic ; Only won 1 from 21 but has placed in much stronger grade in Victoria including 2/3 2nd up . Horror gate but wide with cover most likely a good spot to be in a field like this. Drops in weight and class thanks to the claim and looks hard to beat.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Pinjarra r6 Supersession ; Stepping up from maiden company to 1mw Graduation company at career start 3 is a task but obviously this 3yo has shown gun trainer Adam Durrant enough to warrant having a crack . Both runs showed a lethal turn of foot , from way back over 1000m on debut then a soft kill over 1200m. The fact all the key chances are lightly raced 3yo’s helps and he should get a gun run midfield .

Flemington r2 Nunthorpe ; WA owned & bred Playing God filly who is 2/2 . Despite coming from a c1 (2nd is a smart horse ) to a group 3 she has serious ability and can acquit herself well for the Moody / Kah combo who are on fire .

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r3 Frantic War ; Frantic War heads to a 1100m all aged maiden 2nd up in top order . After going desperately close 1st up , he gets barrier 1 and a wonderful opportunity to break his maiden tag.

Race Analysis; Typically he is not an ideal barrier 1 horse but being Ascot it’s definitely better than drawing the river. The perfect situation would be the fav Fluro Neuro finding the top and lobbing on his back. With the advantage of having a run under his belt , we must be hard to hold out late. The combination of Williams / Pike and the two 2nds in debut prep has seen the favourite extremely popular with early players. ($3.20 to $2.05) . Frantic is rock steady and clear 2nd pick at $4.60 . Amber Glide is well bred and trialing well , if either of the two are paddling late she is the most likely to be running on.

Betting Strategy ; I agree with the market in that it’s a race with 2 1/2 main chances. Might be biased but not sure the gap between the two should be that big. BET 365 currently offering $5 / $1.95 and on that basis I will be playing on a 20 / 80 % split stake basis.

Early Quaddie (r1-4) ; 1 2 3 , 4 6 8 9 , 3 4 , 1 2 3 4 10 . $60 for 100%

Ascot r5 Alaskalot ; His racing pattern makes him hard to take short odds but he never runs a bad race. The booking of Chris Parnham and the massive drop in class looks great placement. Likely to get back and storm home over the top so any on pace bias would be a concern.

Stable Update

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Sunday Prayers

Geraldton R3 Whole Lotta Tasha; ; Given the visitor’s draw (13) , on a track that plays fast from the front , we have certainly set her a task as the market suggests ($51). You have to start somewhere and win lose or draw the race experience will be invaluable . Hopefully she can find a spot and hit the line full of running . Bold Prophet is a 16 start maiden but he is drawn for the right run , recent best runs have been 1100m. Let Them All Talk has performed ok in metro/provincial maidens. The move to country class helps considerably. Anything from the Durrant yard is going to be hard to beat and Queen Tiffany trialed well before a satisfactory debut at Pinjarra. Tricky draw the concern for her.

Betting Strategy ; Very tricky race to come up with anything . I think Let Them All Talk is the most likely so I will play around with the novelties with that in mind. Use flexi betting for small percentages and see if we can jag a good one.

Trifecta 1 ; 1/2.​3.​5.​7.​9.​10.​12.​13.​14.​15/2.​3.​5.​7.​9.​10.​12.​13.​14.​15 $90 for 100%

Trifecta 2 ; 2.​3.​12.​14.​15/1/2.​3.​5.​7.​9.​10.​12.​13.​14.​15 $45 for 100%

Best Bet Geraldton r7 Beauty In Me ; Metro midweek C3 form should really stack up here. Barrier 1 and a 4kg claim bring her right into contention . If not her it’s a raffle so we will back the team in.

Quaddie (r4-7) ; 1.​4.​5/3.​8/FD/2 $72 for 100%

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Sandown r7 Jacquinot ; Rare tip outside of WA but I’m going with the Lane Train connection with Damien Lane set to add another Group 1 to his outstanding resume. Although the margin was narrow first up it was a herculean effort to sprint off a slow tempo with 59.5kgs and snatch victory from the jaws of defeat. 2nd up last prep he won the Golden Rose , mowing down the very smart In Secret over today’s 1400m. With Gentleman Roy , Tuvulu and Turaath all involved , it will be a genuine tempo and I’m very bullish Jacquinot finishes over the top and becomes one of the most sought after future stallions in the country.

Ascot r1 Auspicious ; Set tongues wagging over 400m in September, winning her trial by 16 lengths. In that trial was the undefeated Brave Halo who is $3.40 in a Blue Diamond Prelude in Victoria today. Returned over 950m 23rd Jan and again they didn’t see which way she went . Yes trials and races are different kettle’s of fish but you don’t see many I Am Invincible 2yo’s kick off in WA and unless something unexpectedly has the early pace to hold her out and she punctures she looks too speedy for them over 1000m. The market moves will be fascinating . Currently $2.20 , I can see her jumping odds on , a big drift would set off alarm bells.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r7 Vonsnip ; Her maiden win really caught the eye and while I expected her to finish off a little better last time she still found the line for 3rd in a race with the strongest form lines for today’s race. Both were at today’s 1300m and with the cutaway in play , barrier 1 means she can do no work early and have a crack at them late. It’s each way the field and I’m confident she runs top 3. Digital Miss & Fortune’s Luck are the key dangers.

Best Value Belmont r8 Fries With That ; Is a big price considering the good run he should get. The 2nd to Gage Roads reads very well . Races somewhere near the top and gives a kick at silly odds. Deetea has been racing well without winning for some time now and gets “Pikeinthelast” . This phenomenon is going for 6 in a row and the form is there to back it up. My problem is the price which is likely to shorten when the bandwagon gets on but she goes close. The La Dette maiden form looks strong with Sizzle Me Patrick bolting in on Monday. Awesome Rival was much better last start ,

Box Trifecta ; 1 7 8 10 .

Quaddie (r5-8) ; 1.​2.​3.​7/1.​2.​3.​4.​5.​6.​7.​8/9.​12/ 1 8.​10 $192 for 100%

Belmont Best

Best Bet Belmont r9 Playthatfunkymusic ; 3rds to REVITUP , Baby Paris and a 2nd to Cut The Talk is superior form to the others. Untried at the distance , if he gets the extra 100m he should go very close.

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