Best Bet Pinjarra r7 Papavero Princess ; She’s 2/2 this campaign and she’s won them easily. This is a harder race but the other nice types can mix their form whereas this mare is in the zone.
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Best Bet Geraldton r 7 Starring Knight ; First start in the region he beat a similar field convincingly over 1200m. Considering he was pulling away from them late , the extra 200m shouldn’t be a problem .
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Pinjarra r4 The Boss Lady ; The drop back 100m in distance, map and weights favour Rockin Rupert however I think the small field and long Pinjarra straight will allow her to go on her winning ways.
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2/3 of Today’s BEST BETS have been backed into odds on so I’m suggesting a Trixie . Basically taking all doubles and the treble combinations , ie 2/3 win is a collect , all 3 is a decent win.
Bunbury r2 De Grandhome ; Dropping in grade and weight from a very encouraging debut. The shortest of the 3 , hopefully the “good thing” banker to get us off to a flyer.
Bunbury r4 Coondle ; The form around he’s last 3 starts has really stood up for a c1. Nonesospicy & Rissoles are now both Saturday winners . Think it can take a sit on the fav and use the extra 200m to get the upper hand . The 3kg claim really helps. This one is the value @ $3.80 for those who want to just back a single horse.
Bunbury r6 Go Go Grommet ; Can be tricky trusting straight track form back around a bend however they were stronger races , he’s flying , drawn well and is 1/1 at Bunbury. Hopefully were going for 3/3 , if not I think $1,90 is actually the Best Bet of the meeting.
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Best Bet Ascot r3 Kisses From Kelly ; Was only 2nd up last start and he beat a very similar field. The only thing that could stop him is the extra 2kg pushing him over the 60kg mark to 60.5 but I’m counting on the extra fitness and CJP who is riding as good as anyone in the state at the moment to give him a soft run from the ideal gate.
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Best Bet Bunbury r8 Dreamtime Jean ; A repeat of last start 4th , beaten less than a length in the Grandstand Cup over 1500m wins this easier race. Drawn to lead or sit close and back 100m helps.
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Best Bet Ascot r6 Sentimental Hero ; Tried as a stayer for the first time as a 7yo , this horse has excelled at the caper and now heads towards the Perth Cup as one of the favourites. The 4kg rise in the weights is an ask but he won so easily and has the barrier / map advantage over key rival Diamond Scene.
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Best Bet Geraldton r3 Special Plan ; Hoping the win at start 12 gives her the confidence to go on with it and progress through the grades. This is a thin c2 and her win was dominant. She is versatile enough to lead or take a sit pace and pattern pending. Maximum Impact’s current form is good enough to win this , 1 from 47 makes me confident the fav can go back to back.
Best Value Geraldton r5 Prince Ragnar ; Speedster who seems to run for Cooper and all 3 runs at Gero this prep have been top class for a $8 chance. The extra 113m is the query but dry Geraldton usually plays quick from the front and it looks great each way value.
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Ascot r4 The Boss Lady ; Has a lethal turn of foot and superior form . Rockin Rupert’s recent form lines are ridiculous for this however I have doubts over him getting 1400m.
Best Value Ascot r6 El Patron ; Considering he has only won 2 / 27 , his 2nd up record of 3 starts for 1 win and 2 seconds indicates today’s he’s a reasonable chance to show his best at big odds. First up run was good , will need a peach from the bad gate.
Best Bet Ascot r7 Bonjoy ; Remarkable run first up off a barrier mishap , flashing home along the rails from near last . Drawn to settle closer and out to the mile , she deserves to win this feature race.
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Best Value Pinjarra r8 Magnasonic ; He was drawn the “wrong side” first up down the 1000m straight and it turned into a pleasing “barrier trial “ for this race , hitting the line full of running without any room to move until it was too late. He is 2/2 2nd up and we believe 1200m will be his pet distance. Drawn to camp just behind the speed , we are confident he will be in the finish at nice each way odds. 10/90 % split reccomended
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Best Bet Albany r3 My Idol ; Beaten under a length in a provincial 1300m maiden on debut , now drops to country level and gets out to 1600m . Parc It In Here could improve significantly out to the mile ,very thin race after that hence the skinny qoute.
SRM 6 win , 4 top 3 .
Albany r6 Frantic War ; We present him 3rd up in fine fettle and ready to run a big race. Nearly pinched it same track , distance , class and weight last time and is now at peak fitness. This is a stronger line up however and there is speed drawn inside him. He will try his best as always with a 10/90 % split the safest option if wanting to bet.
SRM ; 1 & 8 to finish top 4.
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Bunbury r1 Santanova ; Michael Lane at his home track , barrier 1 , 2 nice trials , good a chance as any on debut.
Best Bet Bunbury r5 Lipstick Jungle; Might of only won a Narrogin maiden on debut but she did it from last after being slow out and she won by an extending 1 3/4 lengths. That’s impressive anywhere and even more so on a tight , short straight track like Narrogin. With Universal Hotness dominating the market we can make money on a 25/75 % basis.
Best Each Way Bunbury r7 Blaizen Cazah ; Another last start Narrogin winner , 2 starts ago he finished 0.2 lengths behind today’s favourite Candelight Sherif . We are getting $8 each way odds compared to $3.20 despite being drawn for a far better run .
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Best Bet Ascot r3 Nonesospicy ; This is more of an expected pattern play rather than a horse rating. Hot with an Easterly , she has very good early speed and landing in front over the Ascot 1000m in those conditions probably justifies the short qoute , she doesn’t then Gold Maker becomes a serious threat. Wrote this last night , $1.95 is almost to short , I’ll be waiting for $2 absolute minimum or leaving.
Best Each Way Ascot r8 Super Smink ; Arguably beaten by the barrier in the Railway where she rattled home from last along the rail to be beaten under a length. When she won the Asian Beau , trainer Dan Morton openly stated that he was most looking forward to the Northerly after the Railway . Here she is from a much better gate and primed for her grand final. She has been heavily supported into favoritism already but we can still make money on a 40/60 % basis to cover stake or heavy place to make money from the place.
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Best Bet Esperence r7 True Chance ; Beat a very similar field convincingly first up over 1300m and won it’s maiden before a break over 1600m so the 1400m 2nd up should suit. Carries a bit of weight but still has upside compared to the rest . Al Tina ran home hard from last first up behind True Chance and might be able to add some value into the novelties.
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Best Bet Albany r4 Becalotti ; Strong winner first crack at this distance last start up in Geraldton. Staying at the same weight , her best is better than these so if she copes with the recent travel back to Perth and down to Albany she should be almighty hard to beat. Perplexing market with Queen Nardi $2.70 fav for finishing 5th behind Becalotti up in Gero.
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Best Each Way Pinjarra r3 Super Snippy ; Although he is a 17 start maiden , he has had 4 starts down the Pinjarra Straight 1000m for 3 2nds and 1 3rd. He has only placed on two other occasions. In a wide open maiden with limited straight track form (only 1 other placegetter ) , he should be a great place chance and some sort of hope to pinch it.
Pinjarra r 7 Magnasonic ; He has the ability , unfortunately he doesn’t have the barrier and carries a bit of weight for his first up assignment. Another straight track raffle , it’s impossible to tip you into him but we will still be trackside cheering him on. GO SONIC!
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Best Bet Ascot r2 Fly With Caution ; Gets a 2kg swing on last start nemesis Royal Toronado and should get a softer time of it up close to the speed. The fav has had an extra run over 2100m last week . Can it back up 1 week later fresh enough to run us down back to the 1800m? I’m tipping and hoping no.
Ascot r7 The Boss Lady ; By the time she got out in the Jungle Mist over 1200m the horse had bolted. That horse was Baby Paris and if she is left alone in front again then she will be almighty hard to run down. Hoping for something to apply pressure and that will give her a chance to turn the tables over the 1400m. Stablemate Rusty Dreams can be forgiven for last start . She raced too fiercely without cover and that’s not her go. Ridden with cover she can improve sharply back to mares company.
SRM The Boss Lady (7) Top 2 , Rusty Dreams (2) Top 4.
Ascot r8 : No firm opinion except that the Eastern States form has been much stronger the entire Spring Carnival over there and here . Overpass has been unbeatable this track & distance in 3 previous attempts. Has had a different prep and drawn poorly this time so no moral but huge respect. Maharba has beaten and placed behind the next best in Melbourne recently . The map looks good and the each way odds make him an attractive each way play if you must pick 1. Lady Laguna has Jmac and barrier 1 to be dangerous enough if the breaks come her way.
Ascot r9 Wubin Gold ; For those who were supremely confident last week , we must simply go again after that train wreck. 1 /1 over 1400m , she is probably better suited to be drawn wide where she can try and find a back to follow and unleash down the middle in the straight. Not as confident but she’s better odds to try and recoup.
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Best Value Ascot r6 All The Kings Men ; 6 starts at the 1400m for 3 wins 3 2nds , 1 from 2 2nd up and ran a blinder first up over 1200m behind one of our top sprinters to indicate he is set for his best campaign yet. $9 each way is good shopping.
Best Bet Ascot r7 September Born ; Have him as WA’s best 3yo by a considerable margin. His first two runs from terrible gates have been first class and he now reaches his big target in tip top shape from a great barrier. Should win this on his way to being a major player in the Northerly.
Ascot r9 Wubin Gold ; Mare who has an explosive turn of foot who maps to get every chance and add to her already impressive strike rate of 4/7. $3 is more than acceptable.
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Best Bet Belmont r3 Hope To Rule ; Beaten 2 lengths in a 3yo 0MWLY behind Magna’s Choice is excellent form for a race of this nature and her trials have also been solid. Goes from a field 0f 6 to a full field of 16 against the older horses but she is drawn to get a sweet run carrying the minimum weight.
Best Each Way Belmont R6 Idyllic Ruler ; Drops a kilo thanks to the 2kg claim being used today for winning in the same grade over the same distance 2nd up. Should be nearing peak fitness and is each way odds.
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Best Value Geraldton r7 Supersession ; His last win was this race last year . Has been racing against much better opposition since and although not winning , hasn’t been beaten big margins. Will sit back and unleash a powerful turn of foot in the straight. Is drifting in the market to what seems a very generous each way price around the $9.50 mark. Drakaina was untested at her WA Debut and is the unknown . She has been heavily backed and is the logical danger.
Best Bet Geraldton r8 Famous Dream ; 3yo filly who found the 1000m a little sharp on debut , then won a 1200m Bunbury maiden with ease. Peters Investments horses dominate these Geraldton meetings and she should continue that trend. On The Mark was heavily fancied first up , I was in his corner and although he ran 2nd I still thought he had every chance. . He is the danger .
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