Good Friday Gambles

Ascot r2 Haida Gwai ; Trialing the house down , if she’s matured / improved a couple of lengths from her debut campaign she will beat these . Lane / Brad Parnham went 2/2 at Pinjarra Wednesday and this filly can bring up the hatrick. Lucky I Am the danger as the market suggests , looks the Quinella.

Best Bet Ascot r8 Watch Me Rock ; Suggested he was a $1.40 pop last start and although he had to be convinced to stick his head out , he still looked in control and got the job done. Over $2 in another very suitable race looks irresistible, albeit not as confident as last time. Hopefully the gear change brings out the killer Instinct , if not Angel Undercover has the turn of foot to steal it.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Each Way Pinjarra r3 Savvy Ruler : Has hit the line hard in two career starts behind horses who look better than maiden grade. If Redback Flyer is going to jump favourite in a c3 in race 6 , then the each way on offer in this maiden has to be the play , especially with the barrier advantage over the current favourite.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Geraldton r8 Gav Has Spoken ; 3yo filly who kicked off her career with a strong win here . Next three runs in the metro / provincial area were good enough to win this. 5th run in first campaign the query , they can train off at any moment . If she has petrol left she goes very close , enough juice in the $3.10 to find out.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r1 Weerachoux , He destroyed practically the same field with 60kgs last start. The only question is the extra 200m giving the inferior opposition 5.5 kgs . $2.25 from the soft draw looks a bet.

Ascot r7 Luana Miss ; She was supported late in betting first up to trouble the hot pot Yes Queen and she ran her down to remain undefeated. Both fillies draw wide for the rematch and considering the favourite is a jump and run type , I see no reason why she can’t run her down again.

Best Each Way Ascot r8 Rope Them In ; Proved too classy in the Bluff Knoll at Albany and while this is much harder , he was most likely underdone on his way to the Qoukka . He also has a 4th , beaten under two lengths behind Overpass in last years Winterbottom in his cv. Jokers Grin is a serious sprinter , the one time he went beyond 1000m he was outsprinted by Generosity . That was 1200m and he is a massive danger but the each way on offer has Roped me in ! All 3 go in the quaddie.

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Narrogin Numbers

Best Bet Narrogin r4 Favoured Son ; Finds a weak race where he can race on pace from the good draw and Narrogin favours front runners more often than not. The scratching of the equal favourite Gingeriffic has shortened the odds but made the task easier. Fun fact , it was going to be a clash between the 3yo half brother of Frantic War vs the 2yo half sister to Magnasonic . Bit of useless trivia for you!

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Pinjarra r4 Mangifera ; If you ignore her debut where she thought she was at a rodeo , her subsequent runs and trial should see her winning this moderate maiden providing she can run out 1200m first up. Not much juice in the price but it’s the best bet in a very lackluster meeting tbh.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r3 Watch Me Rock ; Two very nice wins this prep with a flop in the Bunbury Stakes in between. Perhaps it was 2nd up syndrome or being in the wrong part of the track , his class stands out in this race regardless. Unless the strong winds forecast dish up a leaders paradise , I can’t see him being beaten which makes the $2.05 more than acceptable . (I rate him a $1.40 chance).

Best Value Kalgoorlie r6 Queen’s Sacrifice ; Made headlines when winning an Ascot c1 over 1400m at 200/1. Only beaten 4 lengths next start in c3 company over 1600m. Drops back to 1400m in a country c2 and goes around at $9 .

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Albany Analysis

Best Bet Albany r6 Warralea Lass ; 6 Days ago went around in a 62+ at Ascot as our best each way tip. That didn’t end well but she only faded late after doing work in the breeze. She now backs up with only 53kgs at her home track in a country 70+ , great race for her. What a Prince is clearly the best horse in this , 61kg (8kgs more than Warralea Lass) over a staying trip is a big ask.

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Pinny Punts

Best Bet Pinjarra r5 Redback Flyer ; Maps to get every possible . (for those who followed yesterday’s tip , a competent jockey this time) and was eating up the ground first up over 1400m. The others in the market are drawn poorly and I genuinely think it’s an odds on chance , so happy to have a decent bet at $2,20.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r8 Camera Action ; Has always trialed like a horse with above average ability . Perhaps hasn’t quiet lived up to it yet however its form is more than good enough to be more than competitive in this. Should lob one or two pairs back and it’s turn of foot can cover them . Not a good thing but I have it marked favourite and see $4 as great value.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Narrogin r2 Endless Joy ; Has the best recent form amongst a pretty limited bunch and has Faithfull who is always one of the leading jockeys at these country meets. Just has to get the extra 100m and it will breakthrough.

Narrogin r6 Platinum Shot ; Narrow 3rd at Ascot c3 level is good form for a Narrogin c5. Race with plenty of chances but she deserves to start favourite . Another solid ride for Faithful.

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Weekend Winners

Best Each Way Ascot r6 Warralea Lass ; Typical wide open stayers race . $8.50 for a 4yo mare who has won 3 of her last 4 including a near identical race last start where she jumped a well supported $4.20 chance. seems good value.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Pinjarra r9 Captain Pluto ; Almost an identical field and speed map to the Bunbury Cup with an extra 300m to run. Considering he was the strongest late and won by over a length , it’s hard to not have him on top.

Best Value Pinjarra r10 Too Much Talk ; The narrow 2nd to Cross Statement 2nd up stands up as a form reference to warrant having an each way bet on a 25/75 % basis in this line up. 3 starts at the distance for 1 win 1 2nd.

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Weekend Winners

Best Each Way Ascot r4 Sure Thing ; Jump N Run horse who thrives on high speed pressure racing . He is undefeated in WA albeit at Esperance . Jumping from a country cl2 to a 60+ graduation is a massive concern however his times have been good and his racing style should suit Ascot . Definitely not a Sure Thing and to be honest the price could be a little longer but I don’t like the meeting as a whole and am left with this bet.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r5 Amaroo Star ; Was too strong for a speedy filly last start and maps to get a similar run in the same grade, track and distance . Improving with race experience and can go on with it here.

Ascot r7 Sixinch Heels ; Won her 1200m maiden at Pinjarra in a romp and although this is stronger , the form from her initial campaign is strong enough to suggest she can handle these and better races in the future.

Ascot r10

Magnasonic comes to a midweek c5 off the back of yet another luckless run in Saturday company In a 1200m race with very little early pace on paper , barrier 2 and Pike , it really should be a great race for him. His profile suggests a peak performance after a luckless run and the stable report say’s his fresh and ready to go. Deferred thoroughly deserves to be favourite and we will need some Wizardry to win but he is a great chance to be in the finish . I map him leaders back and with the cutaway in place there will be no getting held up.

10% Win 90% place . Quinella with Deferred.

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Weekend Winners

Best Each Way Ascot r5 Hang Glider ; Tipped him as an each way special , suffered cardiac arrythmia and finished last. Sits 3 deep no cover 5 weeks later and gets up at 20s. Ahh the great game! Cessastion is stretched at 1200m , Brave Strike has Pike tax although concede he is the one to beat. Each Way odds in a field of 8 is the bet imo.

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Belmont Bangers

Best Bet Belmont r4 King’s Drama ; Has been finishing his 1000m races off well in higher grade , indicating 1200m down in grade should be the perfect recipe to break through. In a quaddie dominated by short priced favourites , he looks the best of them.

Quaddie (r4-7) 6/FD/4/4 $15 for 100%

* Deffered has a better wet track record but still stands out on class

* Perfect Chant first time 1400m and off a disappointing run but is also down in grade and has blinkers first time.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r1 Hobelar ; Backed up it’s trial romp with a gritty all the way win in this grade just 10 days later . Finds the front comfortably and with the race fitness can improve again and be extremely difficult to get past.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Ascot r7 Twilight Tale ; This is a big step up in grade from her first two victories but the Barra Mundy form reference has stood up and she flogged him at just start two . Exciting staying prospect who is likely to relish the increases in distance on her way to the oaks.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Bunbury r3 Fluro Neuro ; Has won two in a row and this is no harder , in fact you could make a strong argument it’s weaker , depth wise at least. Carried 60kgs 2 starts ago so weight shouldn’t be an issue and showed last start it can sit forward or back in the run.

Bunbury r4 Just Saint James ; Put Cessation to the sword over 1200m 2 starts ago and yet they have come up equal favourites. 1200m suits James far better imo . Both Lonsdaleite and Miss Flirtacious come from stronger races and can threaten.

Exacta / Trifecta First 4 ; 1st 4; 2nd-4th ; 2 3 5 allways.

Bunbury r6 Magnasonic heads to his home track on Cup Day for a Graduation 60+ 1100m.. Scorpion Ruler looks the leader and hardest to beat with Sky Duke looking to cross from the outside. Our Jockey has a task from the wide barrier , hopefully he can go forward and find some cover. From there he is an each way chance in a wide open race. All 3 wins have been here , always an advantage to race at home against horses that have to travel .

Small each way bet , more interested in the novelties which should be juicy.

Box Trifecta 1.​3.​6.​8.​9 $60 for 100%

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