Wednesday Winners

Pinjarra r2 Magic Belle ; 3 starts for 3 2nds , all of them strong enough form references to think she can go 1 better today. She has enough speed to find the outside fence or sit outside the leader if something on her outside holds up and that is a massive advantage down the straight.

Best Bet Pinjarra r3 Lost Gravity ; Stays at the straight 1000m , dropping from a strong class 3 to a c1 . With a cleaner jump can settle much closer to the desired lead / outside fence and this race looks considerably weaker than the 0.75 lengths defeat last time.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Sunday Prayers

All Aboard #THELANETRAIN MULTI

Don’t like today’s Bunbury meeting from a punting perspective so have zeroed in on Damien’s big ride on Champions Day in Hong Kong with a short priced banker from Michael thrown in.

Bunbury r2 Justabittapress ; Went around odds on at only start off the back of a seriously good trial and it was a horror show for those that were on , trying to buck the jockey off soon after the start , dropping out to last and then having the audacity to make a bit of a run at them late before peaking on the run. Has had three trials in preparation for his return and clearly has too much natural ability for this field if he behaves himself. Hard to get too involved at $1.50 with ear muffs and tongue tie going on but fingers crossed we arrive at the first station safely!

Sha Tin R4 Zeffirro ; We know he has very strong Japanese connections and he gets on one here who is flying in this Distance range . The two favs down the bottom will be very hard to beat but this is a tough day and being a seasoned 4yo might give him the edge over the two 3yo’s.

My strategy is 80% Win / Place at approx $2.70 and 20% Win /Win at $8.25 .

Please Gamble Responsibly

Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r2 Final Siren ; 2/2 at his home track Albany , this gelding comes to the big smoke with a big boom on him thanks to the data that came out of those 2 effortless victories. With an Easterly forecast , on pace conditions are expected and he maps to either lead or towball Krysanova .

Ascot r7 Hanchi ; 2 starts ago this track & distance he was unlucky not to fully test Oscar’s Fortune . Next start he had absolutely no luck from a wide gate behind Ripcord & Oscar. Considering they filled the placings in the Winterbottom . If your taking him on (At $2.90 the bookies somewhat are) your thinking he gets bad luck again from barrier 1 . They will go like scalded cats in this and if Chris Parnham can keep up early and hold the rail he should be bursting through to victory.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Sunday Prayers

Best Value Pinjarra r8 Keytrade ; He hasn’t won for a long time but a close 2nd to Malkar Pindarri is very strong form for a $12 chance. The favourite looks hard to beat but is a stayer 2nd up hence I’m not willing to take a short price. Keytrade each way all day.

Best Bet Pinjarra r9 Bayezid ; Very fast horse who should find the outside fence and take serious catching . Hard to bet against your own horse , Frantic War has important straight track experience , is drawn to track the favourite and if he stops can be in it , if he doesn’t he can definitely be in the mix to place.

Novelties ; 4/6.​7.​8.​9/1.​6.​7.​8.​9.​10/1.​2.​6.​7.​8.​9.​10.​11.​18 $4 exacta , $20 Trifecta $140 first 4.

Pinjarra r10 Good Measure ,; Yes Bunbury has been a leaders paradise but who says Pinjarra wont be the same ? It usually is a big advantage. Sentimental Belle is a good chance but always starts too short , Esprit Garcon is very talented but has an awkward map to contend with. They are the three chances so I’ll go with the better price . Hopefully a #LANETRAIN double to round out the meeting.

Quaddie (r7-10) ; field , 2 3 , 4 (9) , 1 4 10 $78 for 100% ( Ill be including Frantic War just in case )

Please Gamble Responsibly

Weekend Winners

Best Each Way Ascot r6 Bellgrano Belle ; Solid speed engaged with Trespassing , Albert and Ima Single Gal all having recent success by leading . Contrary to recent meetings they are tipping leading to be difficult into strong winds. Drawn 1 with Pike , she might not be swooping down the outside but she can spend no petrol and burst through as the leaders are stopping. If leading is not a disadvantage then Albert becomes best roughie. Loves racing on speed and the Patchwork form reference is good for a $51 pop. Were talking very small spec on him .

Best Bet Ascot r8 Rusty Dreams ; Massive flashing light run first up over 1200m when storming home from way back . Rolled the dice from the wide gate last start , again over 1200m and faltered when crossing the dodgy part of the track that saw the last race abandoned. Ready to peak over a more suitable 1400m and maps to get a much better run .

Please Gamble Responsibly

Albany Analysis

Best Bet Albany r6 Heeza Beau ; It’s debut win was in a pretty moderate maiden but it was strong all the same. It’s trials leading in indicated it is up to this much harder race and is drawn to settle a touch closer in running. The trainer / jockey combo are having a great start to the season.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Wednesday Winners

Geraldton r1 Rocket Storm ; 3 starts for 3 3rds all at Northam. The form , especially from the last one is more than strong enough for this . $2.15 acceptable , won’t be surprised to wake up to odds on.

Geraldton r3 Reaction ; Rare for a 9yo to be in career best form but he is . One of those horses who tries his heart out every start but rarely wins. This distance is right in his wheelhouse whereas it looks too short for the better credentialed runners. Chix Chatter can easily win but will give a head start on a track that can heavily favour on pace.

Best Bet Geraldton r4 Westozi ; Last start he got every conceivable and made the most of it , holding off Patchwork over 1400m. I was mad keen on Patchwork that day but the extra 200m has me firmly in Westozi’s corner this time. Considering he will lead or box seat again , I’m expecting the same result.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Sunday Prayers

Bunbury r6 Sky Duke ; Dropping in grade for it’s first up assignment and drawn to get the world perfect sit on the speedy favourite. Who could go against a Parnham trained Playing God after yesterday!

Bunbury r7 Our Nemesis ; Was absolutely plunged last start and won accordingly. The form stacks up and drawn to get a great run.

Best Bet Bunbury r9 Valley of Queens ; Been hampered by wide barriers since joining The Lane Train . Missed by a pimple last start and comes to the same home track , distance and class from a better gate. Surprised it didn’t open favourite and kicking myself for not being quick enough.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Weekend Winners

Best Roughie Ascot r2 Rocking The Casbah ; These Westpeed Platinum series can throw up a result so I have gone with an on speed runner drawn to take advantage of barrier 2 with a very much inform Michael Poy in the saddle. Yes has to go to another level from it’s fighting Bunbury maiden win but if you ignore his Northam flop , the Malkari Pindarri form reference stacks up for a $26 chance.

Beast Each Way Ascot r6 Iht’s Closing Inn ; Exiting staying prospect who won 5 on the bounce last prep , culminating in the Belmont Classic. She has a turn of foot that makes her very dangerous first up nice and fresh over 1400m and she gets Pike from a good gate.

Best Value Ascot r8 The Velvet Queen ; Group 1 Handicap that is as wide open as I can remember hence I have settled on a mare with an exceptional turn of foot who loves the track & distance despite the wide gate. She’ll need to find a tow into the corner and let rip but it’s going to be one hell of a race

Please Gamble Responsibly

Narrogin Numbers

Best Bet Narrogin r3 Fanz ; Ran a close 3rd at Scone in August with 60kg in 58+ grade . That rates considerably higher than this lowly 46+ at Narrogin. He’s had a tick over trial since arriving in the West and if he can handle 62kgs and the heat then he’s hard to beat. The name is a good omen for extra confidence!

Narrogin r4 Frantic War ; Last start he was the only one to half stick with the tearaway winner who spaced them from start to finish at a frantic tempo. While he was beaten by a margin he also beat the rest comfortably. He’s not overly big so the 59..5 kgs over 1190m is a concern at the price but he will get a very similar run from barrier 1. Quinella with Mantelli & Zac Loves to Fly ( 1 , 4 , 9 )

Please Gamble Responsibly

Wednesday Winners

Best Value Bunbury r4 Smokey Mountain & Bayezid ; Hot day , fast deck , extremely likely to favour on speed runners so backing two at odds. Not the only speed in the race but the two in the best form.

Best Bet Bunbury r6 Becalotti ; In my opinion has these covered quite comfortably ability wise and should settle close enough. The money has been relentless for Hesket which suggests they are going to hold the front . He looked home last start but a roughie got off the canvas and worried him out of it so I’m backing the mare to overcome any bias.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r2 Special Sort ; Takes a good fit and happy horse to win 4 on the bounce no matter where they are and every time they step him up in class he looks stronger and stronger. Considering the 2nd favourite brings Albany form it looks like Durrant has found the perfect race to stretch it to 5 wins. Leaders bias always a concern when betting at Ascot but he shouldn’t be too far back and can run over the top.

Best Value Ascot r4 Admiration Express ; Would of liked to see her hit the line better first up but she went back from the wide gate in a fence dominated race. She has to bounce back quickly but with barrier 3 , 54kgs and a start in the Railway on the line expect a much more positive ride and performance. Enough in the $9 each way to think she can at least run top 3.

Ascot r8 Oscars Fortune ; He’s unbeaten including trials and he still looks to be learning his racing manners. If he gets the 1200m and I think he will then $2.20 looks generous. If he doesn’t then Augment is the clear danger.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Bunbury Best

Best Bet Bunbury r3 Lost City ; Has been competitive in all her trials in quick time , including the latest which she won and looked to be traveling with more to give. Gets Pike and a barrier to get the right run. Bonny Rock had excuses first up , does she have a knock out punch? Royal Accolade has to overcome the gate , Royal Accolade ran well first up and is good odds. 3yo filly taking on older horses on debut , we deserve a better price but she’s the one to beat.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r1 Trespassing ; Led first up and was only beaten half a length . Has enough natural pace to be right up there again and that’s a massive advantage at Ascot .

Best Value Ascot r3 Amarlie Miss ; She only won a Geraldton Maiden on debut but it was the way she did it . She was near last in a big field on straightening and after weaving through she charged past the leader who had established a handy break. Only 7 in this and from the draw she should settle much closer.

Ascot r8 Highest Award ; Lightly raced mare who is yet to miss a place in her 2nd prep including 2/4 wins. Drawn to get all the favors close to the speed with a nice weight and her breeding suggests not only will she get 1600m she should lap it up.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Sunday Prayers

Best Value York r7 Bandelera Miss ; She has a win and a place from her last two starts , both at Ascot and at 66+ level. The topweight has made this race very compressed at the weights so she is very well suited on the minimum and goes round at around $9.50. Heavy place each way bet.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r6 Casino Seventeen ; Conditions didn’t suit first up in the 1600m Northam Cup but he still ran a cracker to say he’s up for a big campaign. Drawn to get the run of the race with Pike in the saddle I have it rated much shorter than the $2.40 currently on offer. No Perth Cup Futures market available but if there was he’d be right near the top.

Ascot r7 Rope Them In ; Jumped at $26 first up in the Belgravia despite winning 2 / 3 Winter 2yo races and he went enormous. Trapped deep without cover he hung tough and was only beaten just over a length into 4th. Drawn to get a far more economical run and considering the 3 who beat him home aren’t here , he has to be a solid each way chance on his way to a tilt at the Guineas. ($17 All In )

Best Value Ascot r9 Rockin Rupert ; It’s $5 the field and although he doesn’t win often he’s racing really consistently. The winner received a Pike peach last time and thought he did a great job to run 2nd from a long way back. He should get the right run from the barrier and hit the line at $9 each way.

Please Gamble Responsibly

Oaks Day Oracle

Best Value Flemington r8 Ethel Maude ; Local Breeder / Owner Trevor Delroy loves his stayers and is not afraid to have a throw at the stumps with his 3yo’s at the classics every year. This filly s coming from a dominant Pakenham maiden win over 2000m. Before that it ran two encouraging races here at Flemington over 1800 and 1600m against similar opposition that it meets here to say she’s not hopeless . Yes others rate better chances but at $31 (she was as short as $15 last week ) I’m prepared to have a small each way bet and hope she can outstay them.

Best Bet Northam r3 Hezangelic ; Latest trial with Blinkers on caught the eye and 2nd in that trial has run 2 seconds in stronger races than this. Pike jumps on for his debut and I think he can lead all the way .

Northam r4 Rule The Empire ; Full brother to the short priced favourite in the last , I just thought it might find the rail over the 1000m at Northam first which has been a massive advantage over the favourite Esprit Gardon who is first up no trial and drawn 8/8 . Reading the gear he’s racing with he might have his quirks like his older brother but $6 vs $1.70 makes the gamble worthwhile .

Early Quaddie (r1-4) ; 1 , 1 2 3 6 7 9 , 2 , 2 7 $12 $100%

Quaddie (r4-7) ; 2 7 , 8 10 11 , 5 , 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 $$42 for 100%

Please Gamble Responsibly

Melbourne Cup Day Mail

Melbourne Cup Soulcombe ; Considering he bombed the start hopelessly in the Caulfield Cup he’s run was more than acceptable as a pointer for today. Loves Flemington and is drawn soft for a good run in transit for the magic man Moreira providing he jumps. The blinkers are off to try and improve his barrier manners and Waller is the Master of peaking them on Grand Final day.

Ascot r2 Bayezid ; Had 3 starts in WA and been ok in all 3 without much going right. Should settle in the first couple from the draw and that’s been gold at Ascot and last time he led it took boom horse Keshi Boom the whole straight to run him down.

Best Value Ascot r7 Big Swoop ; Just a tough stayer who races on pace and doesn’t go down without a fight. He won at $20 last start and I don’t think he should be that rough in this. Dun With The Blues is very progressive but hasn’t raced for 6 weeks . If she’s ready she’s very hard to beat but would need a push from the trainer at the skinny odds.

Bunbury r1 Brave Spirit ; Goes from running 3rd in a 3yo Saturday race to a Bunbury maiden and the Pontiff comes to Bunbury for the ride. Really should be justifying the short qoute.

Best Bet Geraldton r7 Patchwork ; Is absolutely flying at this track and distance lately, the only defeat coming when grabbed on the line by Special Sort . That horse has since come to Ascot and won 2 races in 3 days . Drops to the minimum and maps perfectly. It’s a marathon day but do your self a favor and save some for this race !

Please Gamble Responsibly

Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Albany r2 I Dreamed A Dream ; It’s 2yo form , in particular a 5th in the sires behind Super Smink who could be anything is more than good enough to win this ears pricked. 2yo form is hard to trust but if it’s come back then it is far superior than Albany maiden form.

Early Quaddie (r1-4) ; 1.​3.​4.​5.​6.​8/11/1.​2.​3.​4.​5.​6.​7.​8.​10/4 $54 for 100%

Albany r7 Frantic War ; Not a tip just some late mail on our own runner. . We expected more first up but you always have to forgive 1 poor run. He maps to either hold the lead or sit leaders back . Looks deserves favouritism on his trial , the winner of that trial was scratched from this and won at Ascot yesterday. Starauthoress always run well this track . In summary a peak run would see him winning but he’s hard to back off his first up run at the odds.

Quaddie (r4-7) 4/1.​2.​7/1.​2.​3.​4.​5.​6.​7.​8.​9.​10/4.​7.​9 $90 for 100%

Please Gamble Responsibly

Weekend Winners

Ascot r1 Special Sort ; Found him Wednesday and if Durrant is happy to send him around again then I’m happy to stick with him. Drawn to stalk the speed again and use his turn of foot to power past them.

Best Bet Ascot r2 Malkar Pindarri ; Blinkers on , especially first time can have a positive effect but the difference they have made to this horse is incredible. She’s gone from a non winner to a mare who looks like she can rocket through the grades like her finishing bursts. Stays in the same grade and gets 1.5kgs plus an extra 100m to turn the tables on last start nemesis Laquetta’s Gift who got a Pike peach vs the favourite being shuffled back and missing by a nose.

Best Value Ascot r8 / Railway Stakes Futures Admiration Express ; This is the prep we see how good this girl really is and going by her trials she’s ready to make a statement. Genuine concern if by r8 the meeting has been dominated onspeed / rail but a fair track sees her motoring home late. It is an awkward map at this level so with that in mind I’m suggesting heavy place each way tomorrow and am more excited by the $21 i found (365) in futures betting for the Railway Stakes. Group 1 1600m under handicap conditions looks right in her wheelhouse.

Please Gamble Responsibly