Best Bet Geraldton r4 Danehill Matilda; Was born to run at Geraldton with a record of 5 starts at track for 3 wins and a second. Looks the goods, use the boost options with various operaters.
Best Bet Ascot r3 Carocapo; Was well supported on debut and showed great speed and got the job done. Expected to find front again and prove very hard to run down.
Ascot r4 Cosmic Storm; Looks the short multi anchor horse for the day, winning two legs of this mares series and was ridden too close other leg. As long as Pike gets it off the fence from barrier one in time it should finish over the top of them.
Ascot r6 Three Votes; Has a good record of 3 wins from 6 starts. Has been taught to take a sit at the trials and it seems to have worked, winning it's latest with a blistering turn of foot.
Ascot r7 Volkoff; The pace looks frantic in this and Volkoff can sit just off them and sprint over the top. One of the bets of the day.
Eagle Farm r8 Ocean Embers; This mare is unbeaten first up. Drawn the carpark but comes from last with an absolute booming finish anyway and at $10 looks the clear value bet of the day.
Check the homepage at Lucky Duck Racing for the Perth Cup Preview. Have a great end to 2016 and see you next year!!
Best Bet andwick r6 Malice; roke a two year drought last start but this race is no harder and carries same weight. Think we might get a little better than $3 if patient.
Best Bet: Ascot r7 Star Exhibit; ATA Stakes is the final lead up to the Perth Cup and Star Exhibit put the writing on the wall last start, looming up to challenge Kia Ora Koutou before peaking late. That was it's first go at a trip and the winner is my early cup tip.
Ascot r 3 Travellin; Beat key rival last start, good track and distance stats, no star by any means but always tries his heart out and $5 looks value.
Sandown r6; Rewarding Effort: Racing very consistently and ready for Saturday mission. Even money is rock bottom however.
Best Bet Ascot r7 Tonkatuff; Finally won his maiden last start, winning easily against General Husson who bolted in next start and then won the first today at $2.40. Why we are getting $7.50 each way I don't know but unless it has lost a leg that seems very generous. Has always shown enough to have more upside than most of these.
Best Bet Bunbury r4 Hakuna Matata; Giving him one last chance. 3rd up out to a suitable trip if he doesn't beat this maiden field then our relationship is over. Surely today's his day!
Best Bet Flemington r5 Boom Time; Ex WA galloper that ran 3rd behind Delicacy in the Derby. The form of that race is strong, he is racing in red hot form this time in and has a lot of upside compared to the others.
Best ValueAscot r7 Respondent; A former WA Derby winner who is finally coming back to his best form, breaking a long drought last start. I rate him along with Kia Ora Koutou (3rd in same race) as my leading Perth Cup chances so $13 today looks outstanding each way value. Odds on for the fav Perfect Reflection looks way unders, stepping up in trip for first time. Tradesman at $8 worth a saver on too.
Ascot r7 first four 2 7 14, S1, 1 2 5 6 7 8 10 14 , S3.
Best Bet Ascot r2 Sasso's Circus; dropping back from Saturday grade, great track and distance record and Pike jumping on. The 59kgs is only concern.
Warwick Farm r3 Peaceful Sea; Be on me next time run first up, Bowman on and up to 1400m suits.
Both currently around $2.30 so hopefully a dbl to pay for some christmas cheer.
Today is International Day at Sha Tin, Hong Kong a must for bucket lists of racegoers. While local and Japanese horses dominate the feature markets, plenty of Aussie jockeys and a couple of runners in Takedown and Rebel Dane in the sprint give us true blues something to cheer for.
R5 ; Our sprinters have always been rated very highly on the world stage as other countries focus on middle distance to staying horses. While not one of our very best, Takedown comes from winning Perth's group one Winterbottom Stakes and looks a good each way bet. He races on speed and tough which should suit. There is no clear standout this year as fav Lucky Bubbles was beaten convincingly by expat Notlistentome in the lead up, I believe Takedown's Aus Form to be stronger.
Pinjarra r9 Hakuna Matata; closer to home we are waiting for the Lucky last. Our selection is currently massive value at $17. He absolutely flew home first up, no match for the odds on favourite but beat everything else easily, coming from last. Back 100m 2nd up is a concern given he is a stayer but look for him charging late once again. Today's Odds on fav Macavity (nicknamed phil) is very untrustworthy for mine, guilty of burning punters on many occasions. Stack your bet towards the place and I'm confident we will get a result.
Best Bet Ascot r4 Chocolate Holic; Disappointing only five runners accepted for a group 3 but competitive race all the same. While not suited at WFA, 1400m is it's favourite distance and Pike back on makes the son of Blackfriars top pick.
Best Each Way Ascot r6 First Affair; Big win last start coming from miles back. Down to 54kg after the claim for it's first try at 1800m in an open race, $6.50 looks good value. Trained by LDR Trainer Jason Miller.
Best Quinella ascot r7 Dark Alert(4) / Kia Ora Koutou (9), both horses heading towards the Perth Cup placed behind Respondent last start who isn't here. Kia another talented son of Blackfriars trained by Jason Miller.
Shares still available in LDR'S own Blackfriar's 2yo with Jason Miller, priced for entry level, Bred for success, get in touch for details.
A sensational night of Harness racing including The Interdominion Final and Golden Nugget on a warm Summer's night. I encourage Perth Ducks to get to Gloucester Park and here are some winners to pay for a good night.
R3 Master Jaxon; In sparkling form going for four in a row, can do work and still finish off or swoop depending on race pattern. Very hard to hold out.
R5 Ideal Alice; Very competitive field with Alice being the poorest drawn of the main chances. As a result you can get $13 which in my humble is overs for a horse that has matched it with our open class horses. Each way even heavy on the place.
R8 Run Oneover; Will be onspeed hopefully leading and making it very hard to run down. Tabtouch account holders, the $50 cash back for 2nd and 3rd looks perfect. For full race analysis check out homepage blog.
First 4 ; 2 9, 1 2 5 9 10, s2, fld.
Quaddie (r5-8) 1, 1 4 5, 1 4 7 8, 2 9
R9 Sunnys Little Whiz; Cardigan Boko is the states best trotter but Sunny is the only one that has beaten him home. Tonight's handicap conditions see Sunny (10m) gain a 30m headstart on Cardigan (40m). The current odds of $3 vs $1.70 is wrong in my opinion and with a safe getaway I'm tipping the upset. Standing start Trotters however prevent you from having a real crack.
Ascot r2 Handled. On a very tough day Australia wide this selection put in a real eye catcher last start, flashing home from well back for 2nd behind an inform horse. Distance a query but at $7.50 eway in a field of 8, gets the nod from Lucky Duck.
Best Bet ; Morphettville r2 Astrolobe, Like backing Melbourne form in Adelaide. This one has solid enough form and was scratched from a winnable race this week to cross the border which shows stable confidence
Very slim pickings today so I will talk about the punting dilemma of whether to back up on horses that have let you down.
pr4 Chin Strap; The Positive is Damien Oliver replacing Jake Casey. That should equal massive improvement. $8.50 for a maiden in a listed race however looks unders and I'll be risking.
pr7 Jestajingle; Punters are still scratching their heads and fuming at Peter Hall's decision to race 3 and 4 wide on speed last start over 1200m on a swooper. He has been riding very poorly for a while now and the fact that he rides again with the rise in distance to 1400m which is a query means I'll be risking.
Here's hoping Murphy's law doesn't strike again.
Best Bet Mooney Valley R3 Four Carat; Has been racing consistently in much stronger races than this, a last start 4th in the Sandown Cup behind Melbourne Cup 4th placegetter Qewy over 3200m. Pays for it with sharp rise in weight but $2.70 vs $1.85 for Bullish Stock who ran 3rd in a BM78 last start.
Inters Heat 7
Series favourite Hectorjayjay goes around at prohibitive odds again and has the speed to cross and lead all the way again. One warning tonight is no driver will want to cook there horse in their third run in a week one week before the final, especially if they already have enough points to qualify. Polemarker John of Arc has been very brave from tough draws and gets his chance to test the favourite. Suggested Bet Quinella 1 & 5 .
Heat 8 Well the mocca worked again Tuesday when the unbeatable Lennytheshark was poorly driven and only managed 4th. Draws the pole tonight but has a very fast beginner drawn next door. With no backline however leaders back would be perfect spot for all so the 2 gets it if desires. If crossed early will probably come straight off and sit outside lead or have a crack to get it back. Either way should redeem. Suggested bet First four 1, 2 3 4 8, s2, s2.
Heat 9 Wide open as no Hector or Lenny involved with tactics so important and hard to read. A few of these need maximum points to secure a runin final. Smolda is the favourite, he is pretty one dimensional in that if he doesn't get the front he will keep trucking along in the breeze and try and out stay them. Tonight's increase in distance suits but too skinny quote for mine. Simply Susational has the speed to lead from one which at Gloucester Park is a huge advantage. Bling it On is in career best form now they drive him with a sit. If he gets the right run he is very dangerous. Beaudiene Boaz is talented enough but has a very tricky draw to overcome. Suggested Bet , Bling itOn each way.
Quaddie (r5-8) 1 2, 1, 1 3 6 7, 1 2 cost $16 / unit
Best Bet R5 Ideal Alice ; Usually races in open company and from barrier one over 2100m should lead all the way. The presence of NZ mare A Piccadilly Princess, also very talented and equal fav tonight means we get a backable price.
Best Bet Bunbury race 9 Black Freda; Blackfriars mare tasted defeat for the first time last start, taking a day to wind up and running on into 2nd. Fitter for the run, can easily atone today in the hopefully lucky last. We sure are due for some and a decent ride.
Canterbury race 5 Sugar Bay Leonard; racing well this campaign with strong form lines. Has the ability and racing pattern to dominate this race. Slight concern is the jockey change to Josh "below" Parr.
The First round of heats went to script with all favs winning. There since has been numerous scratchings and the two Victorian stablemates Lennytheshark and Hectorjayjay dominating betting both tonight and the series.
Tonight Bunbury hosts 3 heats, for some reason again over the 2100m, I believe 1700m would of been more interesting however it is what it is.
Heat 4; No Hector or Lenny makes it both the weakest and open heat. To me it comes down to who leads. If Run Oneover gets there first it takes a stack of beating. If Freyberg holds up it's anybodies race. While Our Jimmy Johnstone was dissapointing Friday it will get a very soft run tonight and might be place value.
Heat 5 ; Hectorjayjay is $1.14 and drawn for a stroll in the park (2). No one will want to take him on and earn no points for the final. Phoenix Warrior is paying $9.50 a place in a field of 8.
Heat 6; Lennytheshark is currently $1.70 due to the tricky draw of inside the back line. In my opinion he is simply way too good regardless and this is a great price if you like backing short price fav's especially with the boost options with some bookies.
Bunbury Quaddie ; R5-8 Not much value but for a bit of fun interest this quaddie looks a moral.
2, 8, 1 2 3, 1 3 4 5. @ $12 a unit lets hope it pays more than $12 !!!!
Lucky Duck Going All In on our one best bet today.
Ascot Race 4 Lenience; If I'm tipping State Solicitor (check main blog) in the Winterbottom then how could I possibly not like Lenience. Took that galloper the entire straight last start to reel in Lenience over same distance. No such opposition today and very confident it can lead all the way.
Tonight Gloucester Park comes alive when the best pacers from Australasia contest the first round of Inters heats. Tonight's heats look tricky with the big guns drawn awkwardly so I will concentrate on the series overall.
Two Victorian stablemates dominate the betting, Hectorjayjay and Lennytheshark. I am tipping reigning champion Lennytheshark to go back to back at the slightly better odds. (3.50 v 2.70). He has already proven he can handle a tough inters series comprising of three rounds of heats and a final, has the services of champion reinsman Chris Alford and handles Gloucester Park. He is also very versatile in that he can do plenty of work at both ends of the race if required. Hector is the new star, yet to race at Gloucester Park and more suited to sit and sprinting which is difficult to do at Gloucester Park.
Roughies with a slim chance look to be;
Restrepo; If drawn to lead is hard to run down.
Our Jimmy Johnstone; In great form and has the local experience, very versatile racing pattern. Great place chance at odds.
Tonights Heats
R4 Guaranteed either leads or takes a sit on Lennytheshark. Our Jimmy Johnstone gets a great run behind them. Bet First Four 8, 1 2 , 1 2 3 5 10, field. $56 for 100%
R6 Weakest of the heats with Bettors Fire drawn to lead all the way. Bet Bettors Fire WIN
R8 Bling It On or Restrepo to lead, Hectorjayjay to try and swamp them. No Bets.
Race 7 is the 4yo classic and the NZ visitor has drawn horribly inside the back line. Kiwi horses generally race on huge tracks with plenty of room and Gloucester Park is the complete opposite. Also a big trip to overcome first up in a top quality field. Impossible to knock his form and the stable is full of genuine superstars. Worth watching just for the spectacle. There are horses in this race with picket fence form lines starting at massive prices. Picking the right one is impossible but at $41 I'll give Harry Hoo a slim chance of causing the upset.
Best Bet is R1 Johnny Disco. $3.50 for a richly talented pacer drawn to lead with champion driver A.C. Lewis in the bike. The NZ all star stable start the hot favourite Piccadilly Princess from 4 but I'm happy to take it on, 4yo mare welcomed to Perth with 37 degree heat over 2536m.
If your new to Harness Racing tonight is a great time to check it out.
Best Bet Eagle Farm race 8 Better Land; Certainty beaten (like every loser I Tip!) last start, Jim Byrne owes followers a winner. Drawn and weighted perfectly.
Ballarat race 1 Cheeky Babe; Melbourne leading trainer Darren Weir's home track should kick off with a win, progressing nicely and placed to perfection.
race 5 Galaxy Raider; Always shown above average ability, finally put it together last start braining an easier race with the handbrake on so hopefully goes on with it.
race 7 Speedeor; Another Weir runner who has won both starts this prep jumping from a maiden to a stakes race which takes a smart horse. One of the bets of the day.
Ascot race 2 Secret Assault; One at massive odds on a really tough program. Will go hammer and tongs the whole way, hopefully all the way. Small each way the go.
race 4 Sasso Circus; Damian Oliver rides for LDR trainer Jason Miller. Track record reads 4 starts for 3 wins and a second including 1 at distance. $8 currently while fav Cronkite 2 starts for zippo and never tried at distance. Good each way value.
race 9 Jestajingle; Bred in the purple and lightly raced, big step up in grade but covered them with a couple of strides last start. Best bet on card.
Ascot Early Quaddie (r2-5) 2 4 12, 1 4 5 6, 7 8, 2($24)
Main Quaddie (r6-9) 3 5 11, field, 6 7 , 15. ($96)
Railway Stakes; SEE HOMEPAGE
Guineas; Throw a dart at the form guide. Impossible race.
Best Bet; Northam race 4 Amaliemoo ; 3rd on debut following two trial wins and finds a weak maiden to notch up a victory for Lucky Duck Trainer Jason Miller.
race 1 Floyd; Trialing like a winner, already backed like it's a good thing. Option for multi players or early quaddie standout.
race 6 Dark Mahal; Blackfriar's4yo Gelding again for Jason Miller who was crying out for the trip when smashing a maiden field including most of today's main rivals.
race 7 Macavity; Showed promise for Godolphin in NSW before winning with ease first up at York. Tougher here but has upside.
Early Quaddie ( r1-4) 4, field, field, 11.
Main Quaddie (r5-8) 1 2 7 9 10 11 , 1, 3, field.