Thursday Tips

Best Bet Hawkesbury r5 Taken Everything; There have been winners galore from her smart debut win and she looks better than these.

Hawkesbury r8 Wild Impact; This is easier than first up run and looks suited to the 1800m.

Hawkesbury Quaddie (r5-8); 3, 1 2 3 4 , 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 , 8. $28 for 100%

Pakenham r3 Shezandi As; Has been around the place in harder maidens and looks like a great race to break through.

Multi

Hawkesbury r2 Savigne

Seymour r3 Head Noises

with Taken Everything $4.90

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r2 Flower of War; Two starts for two impressive wins. Has race fitness and will get a head start on main rival Devoted Star who looked very smart on debut but trial was a bit plain.

Ascot r4 Not To Be Mist; Has a big weight to lump but on potential has a big margin on them.

Ascot r6 ; See main page for full race analysis GO STARTTHEFRIAR!!

Ascot Early Quaddie (r1-4); 1 2 3 14, 4, 1 2 4 5 6 9 10 11, 3. $32 for 100%

Ascot Quaddie (r4-7); 3, 1 2 3 4 5 8 9 11 , 1 3, 3 6 7 8 9 10 11 12. $128 for 100%

Sandown r5 Vanuatu; Has the right form to be very confident but untried on wet tracks.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Northam r2 Prince Devoutly; Market has it as a race in two and the other equal favourite has had 15 chances to breakthrough. Prince was placed on debut and has Pike on to offset bad gate.

Northam r7 Wanna Be Good; Doesn’t have to be that good to breakthrough here. If it handles the quick back up from Wednesday and the track is playing fairly ie you can make ground from wide draws then he is clearly the one to beat.

Bendigo r5 Skelm; I am obsessed with the Grinzinger Star form and so far the only time it has let me down was with the horse himself yesterday but there were genuine excuses. A repeat of last run and he goes very close here, won a couple in this distance range last prep and gets a dry track.

Bendigo r6 Adversary; Winner at this track and distance, genuine excuses only recent fail and that was in a hot form race.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r8 Little Fish; Caught off the track last start and was left a sitting shot for eventual winner who tracked him home. Better run midfield with cover and it is clearly the one to beat.

Ascot r7 Ping Me Another; Coming off an Oaks and Derby placing, if she has anything left in the tank then deserves to win this. Very well placed at the weights, just needs to get a spot from tricky draw.

Flemington r3 Fidelia; Has the runs on the board and better formlines.

Flemington r5 Grinzinger Star (Next Best); Beat Mr Quickie then older horses including Divanation who ran 3rd in Warrnambool Cup. Smart use of claim.

Flemington Early Quaddie (r2-5) field, 1, 1 4 6 10, 1. $52 for 100%

Randwick r9 Aggassi; Bolted in with 62kgs which is no easy task. That was after finishing 1 length off Ringerdingding in a group 3. Will take running down.

Morphetville r6 Mirette; Has a sense of timing about her. Was very brave behind todays fav when trapped very wide two back then justified short odds albeit narrowly in a traditional lead up race. Should get a gun run and has placed on slow and heavy. I suggest heavy place staked each way bet.

Gold Coast r3 Accession; The Brisbane 2yo features are nearly always raided by the NSW top stables and this one looks too classy.

Multi/ Betfair Plays * These are short priced favs you could use in Multi’s or shop for better prices on betfair.

Ascot r2 Dance Music; Ultra impressive despite working first up and too classy for these.

Ascot r5 Rebel Knight; Pretty weak race for a Saturday and he just missed a smart one in Cup Night at listed level. Just needs a little luck in getting out from inside draw.

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Thursday Tips

Best Bet Warrnambool r5 Skyway Star; Only beaten 5 lengths in a Wakeful last prep. Bolted her maiden in on soft, locally trained and has plenty of upside.

Warrnambool r4 Satori; Unbeaten first up (3/3), distance (1/1) and soft (1/1).

Warrnambool r6 Bea Tempted; Came from the back first up and bolted in to add to her already impressive record. Very promising mare from inform stable.

Warrnambool r8 Divanation; A four year old mare in a traditional slugfest at start 6 is hardly ideal but I’m going on the Grinzinger Star formline. Her mum could stay just quietly and as the distances increases I expect her to jump out of the ground. Next season you just never know, she could be the Melbourne Cup fairytale racing needs. Each Way.

Wyong r6 Apollo Prince; Started $1.45 on debut and justified it. Has drifted from $1.85 to $2.30 this morning so monitor market but is related to some former smart types.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Warrnambool r8 Inn Keeper; It’s record at this distance on wet tracks is superb including 1/1 at this track.

Warrnambool r5 The Closer; Unbeaten on soft and coming back a long way in grade from group races.

Warrnambool Early Quaddie (r3-6); 1 2 3 5 7 11 12 13 14 , 1 5, 1, 2 6. $36 for 100%

Warwick Farm r3 Embracer; Trials have been ultra impressive, is from a top stable and has been heavily supported already.

Warwick Farm r7 Ronstar; Never runs a bad race and with the claim for a very accomplished rider looks well placed.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Geelong r5 Pressure; Ran a top 3rd first up behind two smart types then ran in a group 3 on a soft track. The Grinziger Star reference (then beat Mr Quickie) ; is irresistible here.

Pinjarra r2 Orava; Ran fast finishing 2nd to Lookout on debut. That is pretty strong reference for this.

Pinjarra r4 Magic Empire; Has started favourite in most of it’s 9 runs and still to salute. Again opens at short odds but surely breaks the duck against this lot. Last chance but has run well in stronger maidens.

Pinjarra r5 Throwdown; Strong staying type that was very good first up over the mile. Extra fitness sees it go close.

Pinjarra Early Quaddie (r1-4) ; field, 4, 1 9 10 11 12 14, 4 $78 for 100%

Multi ( or back on betfair)

Geelong r1 Sovereign Award

Sha Tin r6 Santa Ana Lane

with Pressure & Magic Empire $10.28

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Hawkesbury r3 Erno; 2yo who is 2/2 and ticked off the 1300m box with aplomb last start. Maps to get the lead on his terms and will take no end of running down.

Hawkesbury r4 Irithea; Loves to lead so last start 2nd was brave when she had to ease on hot speed but came again to run 2nd at a stronger level. 2nd up stats strong, maps to lead unchallenged this time. Only query is record at distance (10-0-3-2) but all other stats say she is deserved fav.

Hawkesbury r8 Tom Melbourne (place); At 1400m he would be my best win bet. At 1600m I’m envisioning him getting an absolute dream run behind favourite Archedemus , peeling off his back at the top of the straight, putting a length or so on them and look home then tip toe late. Very confident he can hold on to 2nd or 3rd but it will be close your eyes stuff last 50m !!

Hawkesbury Early Quaddie (r2-5); 3 4 5 8 9, 1, 1 3 6, 3 11, $30 for 100%

Caulfield r2 Mandela Effect; Exciting prospect with a booming finish on him. Small field helps and looks too classy.

Caulfield r5 Halvorsen; Touch unlucky first up where today’s rival Columbus Circle got all the favours. Think it can turn the tables with even luck and added fitness.

Caulfield Early Quaddie (r2-5); 1, field, 3, 1. $7 for 100%

Caulfield Quaddie (r6-9); 2 3 4 5 8 11, 8, 1 2, 1 3 5 10 11. $60 for 100%

Morphetville r2 Equal Love; Her record of 7 starts for 4wins 2 2nds has been achieved against older horses in higher grade. The fav Lassiter won a 3yo maiden on debut albeit impressively. Considering we will most likely get a fair head start in running , happy to take the better odds but will be looking for the swooper late.. Maybe an exacta with the fav winning as insurance if you like to bet that way.

Morphetville r4 Scottish Rogue; Putting 3 wins from 18 down to the fact of what grade he was tested in early on. Back to this level, especially this prep he has been impressive and looks hardest to beat.

Morphetville r8 Star Missile; After a breathtaking win first up has had a mixture of bad luck and keeps running into Mr Quickie. He is $1.60 in Melbourne and we are getting $6 each way here! Great 40/60 bet.

Eagle Farm r2 Le Juge; Couldn’t find the line in a one horse race in NSW, has won 4 from his last 5 in Qld and $330k in stakes, each time attacking the line with vigour over 1600m. 1800m record is terrible but banking on that was the NSW horse.

Betfair Plays; New segment looking at my best short priced fav to shop around for a price and best fav to lay (offer odds to other users and hope it loses)

Back Eagle Farm r8 Gem Song; The short odds look justified in this field. Terrific run latest and locals look like stayers on a Derby path.

Lay Caulfield r8 Widgee Turf; Think Waging War is a big danger and Widgee will need luck from barrier 1. Happy to lay if it remains $1.70 (offer $1.80) but wouldn’t go too hard as it will go close just under the odds in my opinion.

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Thursday Tips

Best Bet Flemington r2 Bandipur; In form sprinter with race fitness on his side and has won down the straight before.

Flemington r6 Stars of Carrum; Looks like he will stay all day and has already proven himself in better races.

Flemington Early Quaddie (r1-4) ; 1 5 7, 2, 1, field. $42 for 100%.

Flemington Quaddie (r5-8); 3 8, 1, 1 3, field $44 for 100%

Randwick r4 Julkiss; Progressive type who can show a nice turn of foot over a range of distances.

Randwick r8 Omar; 1000m specialist who will be very hard to run down.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Wyong r1 Walk The Runway; One start for one easy win, had two trials in preparation and already been heavily supported.

Wangarratta r6 Wherever Whenever; Started $1.40 on debut and justified it. Stable is flying.

Pakenham r7 Thoughtful Harmony; Her parents were both absolute champions and her last three starts have been very easy wins. This is harder but a mare in form is hard to stop.

Pakenham r8 Mellors; I’m Hoping the last start win gives him some confidence to go on with it after always teasing to show something.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Oakbank r1 Blue Morpho; Good win in this grade backed up by a 1.25 length 5th at stakes level in Victoria. 3rd in that race was last weeks Group 1 winner Kenedna! Outstanding form for this.

Doomben r1 Mishani Vaidra; Up and coming stayer who gets back and runs on hard. This is easier than last start where it ran on for a close 3rd.

Randwick r3 Carif; Went from a barnstorming maiden win on good with an encouraging 4th on Heavy behind Sydney Derby winner. Back on good looks a great each way bet at $9.

Randwick r5 Haripour; Loved its win over 1600m at Bendigo. Waller is having a great run with ex Weir horses and Bowman booked.

Caulfield r4 Music Bay; Big field but the race looks to have a long tail and she maps to get best run of main chances.

Caulfield r9 Haunted; Unbeaten first up, well weighted and top jockey booked for return.

Ascot r3 Velago; Difficult horse to ride and like the way he went for Lucy last start .

Ascot r7 Little Fish; Huge run last start in better field. The Patronize’s love the wet as a rule and so do fish!

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Thursday Tips

Best Bet Pakenham r7 Sunrise Dancer; Been racing well without luck and from wide draw hopefully she is ridden cold which seems to be her go. Track needs to be playing fairly before backing confidently.

Pakenham r8 Naivasha: These colours are having a good run and she brings very solid form to this including a 2nd to Declares War at Flemington over 1700m last time she was 2nd up. Her only two cheques were earned on soft tracks which is some concern but the race is very suitable.

Pakenham Quaddie (r5-8); 1 2 3 4 5 8 9, 2 5 6 , 11, 7 8 9 11. $84 for 100%

Multi

Newcastle r2 Ligulate

w Sunrise Dancer win & Naivasha place $10.65

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Warwick Farm r2 Erno; It’s Debut win really impressed me. Granted it was on heavy and most likely easier opposition but for mine that just has it rock hard fit for the 1300m and maps to get a picnic out in front.

Pinjarra r4 Joyrize; Fought to the line hard on debut against a well regarded opponent and is the one to catch here.

Pinjarra r5 Novelties: 1st; 6 7 8 2nd; 6 7 8; 3rd 2 3 4 6 7 8 4th 2 3 4 6 7 8 .

Pinjarra r8 Doc Friar; Didn’t show much until stepped up to this distance range then has improved out of sight. This is pretty weak and she will be right in the finish.

Pinjarra Quaddie (R5-8); 6 7 8, field, field, 4. $192 for 100%

Geelong Quaddie (r6-9); 3 4 5 11, 3 4, field, 2. $80 for 100%

Multi

Geelong r9 Petrelle

w Erno $3.48

add Joyrize $9.57 or Doc Friar $23.44 w both $23.44.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Geraldton r7 Freezemoff; Has the best local form and the two favs are only favourite because they are from Metro stables. Always respect the locals in these cups. Great each way chance.

Geraldton Quaddie (r5-8); 1 2, 3 4 6, 5, 2 3 5 6. $24 for 100%

Pakenham r6 Coco Diablo; Getting into unbackable odds ($1.85), but put it all together last start and with the confidence boost looks too speedy. Suggest wait for better odds, any shorter don’t bother.

Sha Tin r9 Quinella 4 & 9;

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Weekend Winners

1. Best Bet Ascot r5 Cup Night; It’s campaign so far has been faultless. Was slow away latest and still won from the back despite a slow tempo. With a small field and good barrier it has the ability to win from anywhere it finds itself in running.

Ascot Quaddie (r6-9); field, 8 11, 1, 4 7 8 9 10 11 13 14 15. $198 for 100%

2. Randwick r2 Millard Reaction; Has had two starts in Qld and although this is a ridiculous jump in class, It’s turn of foot is something to be seen and stable have chosen this race over a home state race that he looked to have a mortgage on. Each Way.

3. Randwick r3 Spring Charlie; Forget last run on heavy. Stewards questioned ride as looked as though it was used as a barrier trial for this race. Form before that race was strong and maps to get every chance. Each way.

4. Randwick r5 Classique Ledgend; Not as confident as last start where caught wide on a hot speed and bog definately cost it the race but have to reinvest as it was a huge run and should get it more economical this time from better gate. There is hot speed however and track tipped to favour swoopers so watch earlier races for pattern and make sure leaders are a chance.

Randwick Quaddie ; (r7-10) ; 7, 2 8 10 11 12 14 15 16 17 18 , 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 11 16 17 18 19, 5 6 10. $390 for 100%*

*pretty big spend for a “3” leg quaddie and relying on two value picks to beat the favs in the middle legs for a return. If you follow be prepared for a loss despite winning bet . If you rate the favs highly in the middle legs then this quaddie is not advisable.

5. Caulfield r4 Steel Prince; Simply doesn’t know how to run a bad race and the smart use of a 3kg claim sees it drop to below the minimum after carrying 57kgs to victory last start. Has hit rock bottom ($1.90) most likely due to weight advantage, would expect evens closer to jump. Rockarel looks a nice quinella horse.

First 4 ; 3 9, 3 9, 1 2 6 7 10, 1 2 6 7 10 $40 for 100%

6. Caulfield r8 Eduardo; Very talented sprinter dropping a long way in class and any luck in running it will be winning at the short odds.

7. Morphetville r7 Mirette; Two wins when proving a class above then a brave 4th when caught very wide at stakes level in Victoria has her primed to give this an almighty shake. (Next Best)

8. Eagle Farm r6 Racecourse Road; While potentially not the best horse in this I’m hoping it gets a picnic in front and the class horses have too much to do. They are mostly on a Derby path and should concede us a decent head start.

9.Eagle Farm r9 Tonsor; Doubt a drier track will stop him on what we saw at Qld debut where he put a similar field to the sword.

Multi (just to have Winx’s Name on a ticket)

Randwick r7 Winx

Caulfield r1 Super Seth

Ascot r8 Regal Power All 3 win $3.08

add tip numbers 5 6 9 $21.74

add tip 1 $9.49

add tip 7 $11.31

add tips 1 & 7 $29.43

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Thursday Tips

Best Bet Wyong r7 Ragazze; Has a good horses record and there were genuine excuses last start in a tougher affair on a heavy track. Hoping it can slot in just behind speed from wide gate then she will be in the finish with the blinkers on first time.

Wyong Quaddie (r5-8); 2 4 5 8, 2 3 9, 1 4, 1. $24 for 100%

Pakenham r5 Quinella 3 & 5; In a small field the two favs look a class above.

Pakenham r8 Toosbuy; Form better than numerical results on paper. Ready to fire and I like backing horses with a race fitness edge over key rivals. Each Way.

Pakenham Quaddie (r5-8); 3 5, 2 4 5 6 7 10, 2 4 11, 3 6 11 12. $144 for 100%

Multi

Bunbury r2 Impi

Wyong r8 Trumball

with Ragazze $9.80 or Toosbuy (place) $5.94 , both $19.60

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Gosford r5 Mangione : Put simply it whacked away quite well behind last weeks Derby winner in a group 2 over 2000m on a Heavy 10, only beaten 4.8 lengths. They are usually rock hard fit after such runs and now runs in a midweek BM70 with barrier 1 and Jmac on.

Gosford r6 Harmattan; Similar to previous race this one was beaten 2 lengths in a group 3 , drying track helps and Bowman on.

Gosford r 7 Military Zone; If this was a bigger track and rated good 4 it would most likely start $1.20. Trials have shown group 1 potential and with any luck brains them however it’s $1.90 for a reason. Gosford is a worry for backing swoopers at odds on.

Gosford Quaddie (r5-8); 10, 6, 4, field $14 for 100%

Sandown r3 Music Bay; Has finished well in both runs back and form should be strong out of last start where just missed on unsuitable track.

Sandown r6 Heir to the Throne; The Laure Me In form reference from last prep makes him very backable here.

Sandown r8 Novelties

1st; 10 11 2nd 3 10 11; 3rd 5 6 8 10 11 4th, 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 11 12 13

Sandown Early Quaddie (r1-4); field, 1, 7, 5 6 12 13. $40 for 100%

Ascot r6 Bel My Pago; Got too far back on a leader bias track last start. A more positive ride will see it go close.

Ascot r7 Yeah Bravo; Good win in stronger race last start.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r9 Beautiful Mind; Has one 3 in a row out of 5 career starts and is still on an upward spiral. Toughest test but drawn and weighted to be very hard to beat.

Ascot r8 Spacegirl; In what looks a wide open Karrakatta plate going for some value. Really put a lesser field away with an explosive turn of foot at only 2nd start. Should get a nice run about midfield and with natural improvement can run into the money. Go more the place.

Ascot Quaddie (r6-9) ; 11, 3 5, 1 9 15, 12. $6 for 100%

Randwick r5 Self Sense; Very highly regarded jumper who is very effective on wet ground and has been winning on the flat on dry ground which means he is absolutley flying! Great each way price.

Randwick r7 Global Exchange; In my opinion this horse can be the next superstar of Australian racing. His win at Caulfield two back was as impressive as it gets. The distance and wet are the unknown factors however his Dad loved both and I’m willing to take the chance each way.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Randwick r8 Full Recognition; Has improved each run in debut prep. Two placings before a dominant on pace win, all in maiden grade. This is a massive step up to bm70 grade but the placings were behind very smart horses who are listed/group horses in the making.

Sandown r4 High Ratio; Market has 3 key chances and the longest price one ($4) maps to get best run with Oliver riding on speed which has been advantageous here lately.

Sandown r5 El Don; In a wide open distance raffle thought $10 each way was a good price for a horse who is 3rd up dropping in grade from a 2.75 length 3rd over 2000m in a Flemington open handicap on a Saturday.

Sandown r6 Gennikay ; Has been flying at Pakenham , received a poor ride last time but still finished off behind a smart horse. $7 each way is great value.

Sandown Quaddie (r5-8); 3 4 6 8 10, 4 5, 9, field $120 for 100%

Multi

Sandown r7 Scramjet

Ascot r2 City Circle

w Full Recognition $9.80

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Albany r3 Jade Reef; Only has to get a spot from horror gate, has a fair bit on these if the fish can give her an opportunity.

Sale r3 Alaskan Honey; Was 2nd up and a week between runs when just missing over 2500m. Pretty good effort for a lightly raced filly but that’s how this stable rolls and she should now be primed.

Sale r4 Sadente; Has had no luck both starts this time in , firstly in the city then should of won latest. This looks the perfect race for her.

Sale r9 Pierro Belle; Won on debut in a canter then tackled spring group races and wasn’t disgraced. If ready should be too classy.

Sale Early Quaddie (r2-4); field, 12, 12, field $72 for 100%

Sale Quaddie (r6-9); 2 3 4 8, 4, 1 2 5 6 8 9 10 11 12 , 11. $36 for 100%

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