Monday Money Makers

Best Bet Belmont r6 Come Right Back ; Put practically the same field as this to the sword last start. Yes he loses Pike for an apprentice and that’s a big difference in staying races however all Pike did that day was keep him out of trouble . Considering it allows him to meet logical danger Black Chips better at the weights I’m going to back the young hoop in to repeat the result.

Belmont r11 Burnya To Survive ; Undefeated this prep , he is flying through the grades with a devastating turn of foot . Always hard to jump on a horse going for 4 in a row and the price is pretty ordinary to be honest . Races like 1400m will suit even better and the rise in class is offset by the 1kg weight drop.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Mt Barker r7 Shake Baby Shake ; 3yo filly from the states leading stable with a white hot jockey in the saddle. Should find the top or close enough to it and from there the odds on favourite will have to run her down first up. Not easy to do at Mt Barker.

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Pinjarra Punts

Pinjarra r5 Private Scene ; Most of these have had plenty of chances , even our tip has had 6 cracks at it but looks to be ready stepping out to the mile after being held up latest before attacking the line behind a winner who was expected to win.

Pinjarra r6 Prize Pursuit ; If he showed up at his best and got a good steer / luck from the barrier then $8.50 each way looks a steal. Too many ifs to have a decent bet though so either small stake or throw him in the quaddie.

Best Bet Pinjarra r7 Vevinsky ; Found him when he led all the way in emphatic style in a weak maiden . Found himself way back next start before making up big ground late. Should settle closer and appreciate the 1800m.

Pinjarra Quaddie (R5-8) ; 1 6 10 , 1 5 7 , 4, 3 6 9 10. $46 for 100%

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Sunday Prayers

Geraldton r3 Exquisite Star ; Has run a couple of Northam 3rds and resumes here off 3 horse trial romp. Form of trial no guide but horse is obviously feeling well for first run in the region and should get the right run for Turner who rides the track well. Each way.

Geraldton r8 Son Son ; Is a city Saturday grade horse and maps to get the world perfect trail on the back of local speedster Kenyluck. Kenny has never raced better and if it was 1100m I wouldn’t be able to split them.

R8 Novelties

1st 2

2nd 3 12 ($2 exacta)

3rd 1.​3.​4.​9.​10.​11.​12 ($12 Trifecta)

4th field ($120 first 4)

Best Bet Geraldton r9 Corn Cob ; 2/2 despite racing very greenly. Stays in the same grade and you would imagine will improve his manners with race experience so must be very hard to beat again.

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Weekend Winners

Best Value Ascot r7 Pro Is Here ; Tough ask to bring Albany maiden and Mount Barker c1 form straight to town but both wins were arrogant and he ran strong through the line indicating 1500m no issue. Wolfe is a master of getting them ready at home and then picking the right race to come to town. Think he leads and gives a kick at $10 each way.. Cheval De Vaga will have to run them down with 59.5kgs and Trade War from a long way back but both are hard to beat.

Best Bet Ascot r9 Miss Conteki ; Mouth watering clash between two brilliant mares. Chris Parnham had the choice and went with Miss Conteki. She will be near last and hoisted to the outside to unleash her unbelievable turn of foot. Clairvoyance will be tearing along up front. Her trainer stated he didn’t want to go to Albany last week because of the extra 30m (1230m), first up off serious injury. Considering this field would absolutely brain that one, she would want to be a long way in front to hold off Miss Conteki late. Don’t completely rule out Hot Zed.

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Pinjarra Punts

Best Bet Pinjarra r2 My Baby Blue Jean ; Tipping the slightly easier tempo of 1200m racing will help her after she got caught working outside the leader over 1000m on debut. She was sensationally backed that day and held on for third in a maiden with some ok form . Jockey trainer combo are always hard to beat.

Pinjarra r4 So Likeable ; His initial campaign was two starts on heavy tracks as a 2yo so no real guide . Has had four trials including two over 1450m to prepare for the 1500m first up. The latest one he led all the way and won softly . This race is pretty weak so I’ll spec that he has enough ability to go close.

Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r2 Valency; She is not the first and won’t be the last inexperienced horse that fails to make up quick ground , ducking back to the inside as happened last start. If given a clearer path she can beat these out to 1400m.

Belmont r7 Oceanzara ; Went into the blackbook early in the campaign with the notes wait for senior rider. Senior rider went on but she went to stakes level racing . She ran out of her skin considering the class and returns to her level but with the 4kg apprentice back on. While she is pitchforked in with 53.5kgs she is the type of horse that everything has to go right in the run hence the strike rate of 2/19. With a senior on I would be having a good bet , with the kid on I will tame it right down , especially at the skinny odds of $2.70. At least he has ridden her on multiple occasions including a win and I wish the young lad all the best.

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Weekend Winners

Ascot r1 Frantic War : Not an actual tip but If you want to have something on for moral support I suggest 20/80 % win / place at current odds of $5.50 / $1.95 (Tabtouch). Wouldn’t be going too hard with the limited form to work with. Have a little nibble and help cheer the black silks with the gold duck home!

Best Bet Ascot r2 Blazing Away ; Chased a horse who over raced and went way too hard last start so did a great job to hold onto 2nd. The winner of that race ran 2nd in a similar race last Saturday. Controls the tempo from the breeze and looks hard to run down.

Ascot r8 The Spruiker ; Is just a winner who knows how to put his head out and find the line first , having done it 8/14 times already in his career. Think this horse can win at a higher level in WA at least . Scared stiff of Pro Consent , his 1400m record is not as good as The Spruiker but dropping down to 54.5kgs will assist his booming finish no doubt.

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Wednesday Winners

Belmont r2 Border Force ; A close 2nd in 3yo restricted grade on debut followed by a maiden win indicate he has his fair share of ability. Forever Dreaming is priced on strong trial and 2yo form. Luckless on resumption , I still prefer the security of recent winning form.

Best Bet Belmont r4 Soviet Spy ; Odds on in a weak stayers event makes me extremely nervous however this horse looks like an out and out stayer who finally showed something when stepped up sharply in trip last start. Brother to group 1 winner Come Play With Me , Pike and Durrant in a midweek stayers race , should be winning.

Belmont r6 Danni Bella ; Was very keen to take the favourite on at even money and found this mare who ran 1.7 lengths 3rd behind Mercanto 1st up . Has won 3/4 at the distance and should get the right run on speed.

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Pinjarra Punts

Best Bet Pinjarra r4 Valency ; Was well supported in 3yo OMWLY grade on debut but blew the start before running on well late over 1000m. A better jump , 1200m and maiden grade should see her run a big race.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r4 Acromantula ; Although like most 1000m races this has a tonne of speed in it , still can’t see anything holding Acromantula out . First up ran like last weeks pay out in front and was nabbed on the line by the smart The Front Bar , spacing the rest. The favourite Go Forward is coming from a much weaker race and either gets trapped wide or settles back.

That’s All I got today , wide open raffles including the cup which s one of the weakest editions in ages .

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Belmont Bangers

Best Bet Belmont r6 Divine Pair ; Last campaign it won a 3yo OWLY midweek 1100 at Ascot before finishing within two lengths of horses such as Hot Zed and Graceful Girl. That is outstanding form for this . Record suggests he might prefer a wet track however he resumed on good and ran 2nd. 40/60 % each way.

Belmont r7 Arno The Fox ; 8yo gelding who has only started 23 times for 2 wins. Last two starts he has run 2nd to a now Saturday winner and won a c1 by 5 lengths , both over today’s 1600m. Somehow the penny has dropped or he has got over some soundness issues and he looks a good each way bet.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Pinjarra r4 Vevinsky ; Last start 3rd was behind Playz With Fire (Yesterday’s best bet that bolted in. That was the first time it has showed anything in five starts however the failures were as a 2yo so perhaps it has improved with maturity. This is a weak maiden and Pike jumps on.

Pinjarra r 5 Bell Lap ; Going against my usual rule of backing a last start maiden winner however the form out of the maidens looks stronger than most of rivals. If it finds the front easy enough it can go back to back at the same track and distance.

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Belmont Bangers

Best Value Belmont r3 Nobelium ; Won a trial in quick time before running a credible race first up against better opposition . No good thing but $10 / $2.30 (Tabtouch) is a juicy enough price to play on a 25/75 % basis.

Best Bet Belmont r6 Playz With Fire ( $2.10 bet365) ; Benefited from the run on debut to beat a handy maiden in Reliable Choice 2nd up with a sharp turn of foot. That horse then jumped at $1.40 and won effortlessly. Don’t usually back maiden winners at their next start but the strength of the form and the odds available on bet365 compared to odds on everywhere else swayed me to have a crack.

Belmont r7 Cable Guy (Place) ; In career best form and trying his guts out up on pace. The form from some of the efforts isn’t dynamite but you know he is going to be up there and fighting right to the line. Around $3.50 the place at maybe 10/90 % ratio just in case he pinches it.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Albany r6 Cockyjoy ; Technically up in class but it doesn’t look that harder , especially factoring in the drop in weight. Initially concerned with the drop back to 1100m , it looks a concern for most of the main fancies so happy to play .

Thursday Tips

Best Multi : Pinjarra r2 Reliable Choice Win ; Pikes first ride back from suspension is on a Peter’s Investments odds on favourite. In fact his first two are but I think this one is the most reliable choice! Considering the current 2nd favourite Madam Wu ran a seven length 10th in the same race she ran 3/4 length 2nd in on debut , with natural improvement and an extra 100m she should be winning.

Pinjarra r7 Prize Pursuit (Place) ; The Scratching of Yuna Mailman has changed this race on it’s head. Now it’s up to Blazing Warrior to decide how much company Wuhan Warrior has in the lead. It’s a lot softer tempo regardless. Prize Pursuit still gets the ideal drop on them but now they get a better chance to run it out strongly. Should be a great three way tussle with Trade War needing luck from the barrier but dangerous if he gets it.

Current Multi Price is $2.40 ( $1.85 & $1.30)

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r1 Story Book (Place) ; Hard to line up Pinjarra 1000m form but she also ran a good 2nd to Rockin Rupert mid November. Most likely gets back to last but with only seven in it I’m happy to go 10/90 % each way despite it being pay 1 & 2 only . The favourite OH SOPHIA won her maiden same day, track and distance in near identical time. Hardest to beat hence why $2.35 place vs $2.30 win looks a good bet.

Ascot r7 Pure Devotion ; Blinkers on and the 4kg weight swing against Black Shadow make me lean her way in the final major lead up to the Perth Cup. Add the teams ability to peak at the right time and she should be fighting out the finish. Huge respect to Paddy’s Shadow and Stafford’s Lad .

r7 Novelties 1st - 2nd ; 2 7 8 ($3 Quinella $6 Exacta )

3rd ; 1 2 7 8 9 10 ($24 Trifecta)

4th ; field ( $168 first 4)

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Geraldton r3 Admiral Husson ; Strike rate of only 2 wins from 36 is usually a concern but last start it took Three Sessions the whole straight to get past it. That horse started deep in the red and has a big boom on it. 3rd up today, only has to repeat last effort to hold these off for a well deserved victory.

Geraldton r6 Sans Le Sou ; Last two starts indicate she is a mare in peak form. Unlucky close 2nd over 1400m then bolting in over 1600m. Drops a kilo and draws to get a great run. Not concerned with the drop back to 1400m.

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Weekend Winners

Ascot r1 Vonsnip ; The Harrison stable is one of the big early 2yo stables in the state and out of multiple entries for Wednesday’s race , this was the one that was reserved for this harder assignment. Coming off an all the way trial win in quick time where it had pressure applied from another runner before giving a good kick . 3rd in that trial won Wednesday’s race. Obviously if Revitup produces a similar run to last start then she could be too quick. Just thought from the better draw and at an each way qoute it was worth the risk.

Best Roughy Ascot r7 Vital Flirt ; Firstly let me point out it’s 100/1. It’s very likely to run unplaced but here’s my reasoning. It has never done much 1st or 2nd up and last start it was held up most of the straight and not really tested. Last preparation it ran same cracking races including a 60+ graduation win. Now considering the favourite Dance Music is coming out of the Railway and Kingston Town we are obviously facing a stiff ask. But when you consider a horse like Beret is $5.50 and a legitimate chance if the favourite doesn’t cope with the hard prep then I’m willing to waste a couple of bucks each way in case she pulls out a career peak performance at 100-1. I actually have Oceanzara in my blackbook . My notes read going much better than numerical form suggests , wait for senior rider to go back on and drop in class. Well the senior goes on but she jumps into the deepest end possible. Should be 300-1 but it provides another novelty option. Angelic Miss looks the other main winning chance.

Best Bet Ascot r9 He’s A Lucky Lad ; 3yo who was only beaten 4.5 lengths in the guineas then finished all over the top of the older horses in a midweek c3 . Steps up in grade and distance but has stayer written all over him and has plenty of upside . Looks a Derby type in the Autumn and this race is well within his reach.

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Thursday Tips

Best Roughy Pinjarra r4 Amber Mamber ; Last time she was 2nd up she knocked our horse Prize Pursuit off at 100s. We specked her first up on this basis and she ran well , finishing 5th but right alongside 3rd and the winner has won again since. Stack of speed engaged here and she will sit out the back and try and run on . Small each way speck at 20’s.

Best Value Pinjarra r5 Chad’s Me Dad ; Tipped she would improve stepping out to 1400m and she ran a bottler at big odds. Her 1/2 brother Starthefriar found 1600m a stretch but she was hitting the line hard behind a winner who went back to back yesterday. Wide open race with a long tail so $9 each way looks a decent play.

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