Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r4 Buster Bash ; Had two blackbooks when he last appeared and Murphy’s law struck as I went the wrong way , saving on the quinella at least. Went straight to the front and broke their hearts , romping in by over 4 lengths. Drops to 52 kgs after the claim with an apprentice renowned for aggressive front running tactics. I’m going to contradict myself here by saying I’m extremely confident it wins but I’m not happy with the price. It is coming from a midweek c3 to a 72 + which is a significant jump. Was expecting $3.50 - $4 but it is what it is and I’m having a crack! For serious punters I’m thinking we could possibly lay off our liability in the run as I’m certain he will lead clearly . For the average punter I’m also confident he will keep going. Expected rain enhances his chances if anything.

Ascot r7 Alaskan God ; Another case of love the horse, not the price . For full disclosure I’m already on for a stack in n the Derby in two weeks time so I wont be going too hard in this race.. It was breathtaking late against the older horses last start , putting them away with arrogance. Gets the right run here to repeat but again meets a stronger field. Rockanori and Trix of the Trade are very smart animals , Pale Rider looks like he will stay. Henchard and Hear Me Sing not hopeless . It looks like the strongest group of 3yo stayers in a long time and not one in the Cerise and White!

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BARKER BETS

Best Bet Mt Barker r6 Garage Days ; When Durrant takes CJP with him to these country meetings they generally mean business. Racing out of grade slightly but going well enough to win. Apollo and Starauthoress are the map horses , Box Quinella.

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Pinjarra Punts

Pinjarra r2 Many Mansions ; Beaten a length by Stella Fair after racing without luck is most definitely the right form for this. My best winning chance for the day but won’t be buying mansions at $2.60 so not labeling it a “BEST BET” .

Best Value Pinjarra r6 Lucky Foo Foo ; Ran 3rd on debut over 1100m. Resumed down the straight 1000m and thought it hit the line nice enough for a 1200m weak maiden. Worth an each way bet at $14 with CJP in the saddle.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot R5 Blonde Warrior ; Has been hitting the line over shorter distances in better company. Not much between her and What About Moi but I’ll use the pull in the weights and his unplaced track record to back the mare confidently. Wheatstack Thief has ability but is very wayward.

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Sunday Prayers

Mad Roughie Pinjarra r5 Woodbug ; @ $126 this is a stark raving bonkers throw at the stumps! Two starts ago won a 4 horse race at the picnics. with 68kgs. More interested in it’s two surrounding runs. Finished 5.5 lengths behind My Baby Blue Jean last start and only 2.9 lengths behind Material Witness before that . Drops to 52kgs and gets a decent run from the barrier. Is it likely to win or place ? Probably not , Is it worth a coup[e of dollars each way to see if we can jag one ? I think so.

Pinjarra r7 Utgard Loki ; Went almighty close in the Bunbury Cup and now meets the winner 2kgs better . Should get the run of the race , my only question is the extra 200m but he is now trained by Wa’s best trainer of stayers .Market is fascinating . There was a significant move for the stablemate come right back who is now scratched and the other one True attraction opened favourite , Loki replaced him for a while and now he is back at the top. Always tricky trying to pick the right one but I’m sure both are trying to win and we are drawn for the better run.

Best Bet Pinjarra r8 Imprudent ; Straight racing is his cup of tea and he is drawn closest to the outside which is a great spot to be. Competitive race with other chances but his last 3 efforts down the straight were good enough to win here.

Pinjarra Quaddie (r5-8) ; 1 3 7 9 11 , field , 12 , 1 . $50 for 100%

I generally go skinny in quaddies . This one is very high risk as the two standouts are by no means “good things”. Follow at your own risk!

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r2 Gold Merits ; This horse is absolutely flying . He will need the sea’s to part somewhere in the straight from barrier 1 which is always a concern but if the run appears in time he should go almighty close.

Mad Roughy Ascot r8 Starthefriar ; Just looked up the price to confirm before typing and it’s $31 / $6 place. That is gross unders. Thought his last run was a sign he wasn’t completely finished . Didn’t beat many home but he ran on from a totally hopeless position in a totally unsuitable race. This is more suitable and he is a funny horse who can pull a run out of nowhere. At his opening quote of $71 / $13 i was going to donate a couple of dollars each way for old times sake. The fact remains he is still donuts from 11 starts at Ascot and unless he drifts back out I won’t bother .

Flemington r6 Zaaki ; Such a big day over east and tough day at Ascot so thought I’d offer my thoughts on a couple of the big ones. One of the very elite WFA horses in the country who has been set for this against a very good field but are they more handicappers compared to him?

Rosehill r5 Veery Elleegant ; How is $1.40 available here? You should never bet what you can’t afford to lose because there is no such thing as a good thing in horse racing but she really should be Winx odds over 2000m on a wet track.

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Friday Fill Up

Best Bet Geraldton r4 Mountain Ash; Promised a bit early in his career but didn’t measure up to city racing. Since moving to Geraldton he has hit his straps and considering he is only a 12 start 3yo there should be a few more wins in store in this company. Honorific is 60 days between runs with the dreaded bar plates on and the rest have reached their mark.

Geraldton Quaddie (r4-7) 5 , 3 , 1 2 4 7 , field $40 for 100%

Geraldton Quaddie (r4-7) 2 9 , 3 , 1 2 4 7 , field $80 for 100%

• I’m having 100% quaddie 1 and 25% quaddie 2 as back up.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r1 Harmika ; Market has it a race in two and I’m thinking the race fitness gives the filly the edge. She has also competed at a slightly higher level whereas Overoneson is coming from 1400 maiden win 2 months ago with no trial in between.

Best Value Ascot r4 She’s Artie & Star Present ; It was only an Esperance maiden win but She’s Artie was never going to lose first up. She is well bred so although she didn’t fire a shot in her first prep perhaps she just wasn’t ready to be a racehorse . At $19 I’m prepared to have an each way bet in a pretty even field . Star Present is the class dropper with a very useful 3kg claim giving her a big chance. Win only bet on her too.

Ascot r7 Strike Now ; Another race with two equal favourites . Strike Now should nearly be undefeated with his only defeat a narrow second when racing in restricted room. Getting better with each run , the only question I have is his racing manners in a considerably harder race. What makes it harder is Buster Bash who looks ready to win after his close up 3rd in a much better form race . He is likely to roll to the top and give a good kick . A pattern that is assisting either leaders or run on types would be a big factor in this clash. Both definitely go in the quaddie .

Ascot Quaddie (r4-7) ; 1 2 3 6 , 1 4 5 , 1 3 4 5 6 7 10 , 1 4 $168 for 100%

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Ascot r3 Heavenly Sky : Thought it’s debut 3rd was massive considering where it came from on the corner , running past a long priced winner on Wednesday in Winning Aces to give the form some merit. Hopefully can settle much closer from the better barrier and set after the likely leader and stablemate in Market Stryke . He was unlucky first up and hasn’t missed a place in five attempts . Being a stablemate in a big betting stable , a significant move either way will influence our confidence. If they come for the favourite and she drifts , leave it alone . If they support the filly bet with confidence. If both remain steady proceed with caution.

Ascot r7 Currimundi ; 2 lengths 3rd behind Rockinori ( Won Saturday’s Roberts Stakes running down Trix Of The Trade ) stands out like a beacon here. 2nd in that race has since failed but in a harder race. Not much meat on the bone at $2.10 but if it’s not him it’s a raffle .

Ascot Quaddie (r5-8) 2 5 (6) 8 9 , 1 5 , 4 , field * $110 for 100% or you considering having less percentage on runners 2 5 8 9 in first leg , higher spend on the fav 6 as it’s hard to beat.

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Weekend Winners

Ascot r4 Melody’s Secret ; We found her at 30’s two starts back in a Belmont c3 and the race sets up similarly. Drawn to sit midfield the fence with no weight and if the breaks go her way late she is capable of a burst of speed that gives her a sniff at good each way odds. We might get better than the current $16 too. 25/75 % split of stake .

Best Value Ascot r6 Feels Danish ; 3yo fillies where nearly all are a query at the distance , Feels Danish is not. Last horse to run past Float Our Boat who has won 3 since in effortless fashion. Last start I feel she wasn’t suited to being held up waiting for the cutaway so from the wide draw can try and turn it into a staying test. Although this is a listed race , being competitive against older horses in the distance range is a great base to attack this race from . 40/60 % split of stake. Constant Dreaming very hard to beat and worth saving on but going for the value.

Early Quaddie r3-6 ; 1 , 4 6 8 , 1 4 , 1 6 . $12 for 100%

Best Bet Ascot r8 Tri For Us ; First go at the trip but has had a very solid build up for it culminating in a tough win over 1800m. There’s no questioning the stables preparation of stayers and if she gets the trip she’ll win. Baranova is the true stayer with upside , her first up run indicated to me she may need at least this one before she shows her best.

Ascot r9 Cristal Dane ; What a preparation this mare is having . Bought as a broodmare proposition she has now won two and placed in two Saturday graduation races . I have a picture in my bar of Angelique’s Fame beating her at Bunbury only last year. This is a step up again , especially when you compare the form lines to Comes a Time but that horse is suspect at 1400m and Weaponson will be giving her a big head start.

Quaddie r7-10 ; 1 3 6 8 9 10 , 6 , 3 4 7 , 1 2 . $36 for 100%

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Pinjarra Punts

Best Bet Pinjarra r3 War Hymn ; Failed to run down a leader who got a picnic in front first up but still fought it out to the line. Not much form to work with amongst the opposition and those that have shown anything at all are likely going to have to give us a head start from their respective barriers.

Pinjarra r7 Float Our Boat ; It’s two wins at Mt Barker have been dominant front running performances. This is a big step up but our staying ranks are very even so a free running leader who will be out of trouble will always take catching. He’s A Lucky Lad is also nominated for Saturday. If he’s scratched then the price will be gone so at least wait for acceptances so you don’t cop a massive deduction.

Pinjarra Quaddie (r5-8) ; 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 10 , 1 2 3 4 5 7 , 9 , 6. $54 for 100% *

*you could easily consider adding n1 in 3rd leg if here , I’m happy to spend less and risk it.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Ascot r3 Snippy Miss ; A strike rate of 3/39 and 1/21 track record don’t exactly scream BEST BET however she has run a plethora of placings and I don’t rate the others at the top of the market. The Durrant / CJP combo is on fire , a bit like our tips so we’ll combine again.

Novelties ; Keen to take on Time Scale and Kholi so we will try and make some money out of the novelties .

1st 5

2nd 1 4 7 ($3 exacta)

3rd 1 2 4 7 ($9 Trifecta)

4th Field ($45 first 4)

Ascot r4 My Boy Chris ; Did work both first and 2nd up and both winners look above maiden grade. Maps to get every possible and back 100m so one more chance to hang on. Lexington City on debut looks the clear danger.

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Monday Money Makers

York r5 Stellar Fair ; The horse it beat last start won at Pinjarra Thursday and is a promising horse who I would heavily favour to beat this lot. Durrant is the master of picking off country feature races with his lesser lights. CJP is his willing accomplice.

Best Bet York r6 The Anvil ; Can’t go past the 2nd to Gallant Ranger two starts back in this line up , especially with the likely map advantage over the other main chances in Rocky Path , Under The Radar and Orange Strudel.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Esperance r4 Wise Words ; Just touched off in a metro c1 , yes the form out of the c1 is pretty average but it now comes to an Esperance c2 . The Albany maiden win at the start prior was quite solid and that form has stood up. The 3rd to My Baby Blue Jean is very good for this despite beaten margin as she would do the same if not worse to these.

Esperance r7 Off Wego ; $4 is short enough for a horse racing out of his weight division but the stable just place their stayers to perfection as today’s Bunbury Cup shows. They simply have the secret to getting the best out of horses over a distance. There’s not much difference in the WA stayers class wise until you get to the very top few so with CJP making the trip he is the one to beat.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Ascot r2 Spin The Knife ; Speedster that jumps and runs it’s opposition into submission. They made the mistake of trying to take a sit in the Magic Millions 3yo and the horse seemed to resent it. Unbeaten at the track and distance , very confident if it finds the front it’s over. 3kg claim for a front riding apprentice perfect , my one concern is Express Time trying to match motors early as it’s drawn inside her with another apprentice on . Tipping a $2.10 Favourite doesn’t seem hard on paper but it’s all relative. If it leads it’s more a $1.50 chance so there is value in that $2.10. Betfair in the run will be a useful get out of jail card early in this race if required.

Ascot r4 Karli’s Karma ; O’Donnell and Karli go together like a fine drop of red and dark chocolate, the perfect pairing. When she gets a suck run just behind the speed she can put a race to bed very quickly and she maps to get this exact scenario. Loved all her runs this time in and although she is attempting 1600m first time , I think she is up to it.

Ascot r5 Costume Party (All in Karrakatta Plate ) ; It’s two 1000m runs behind speedster Revitup were most encouraging run on efforts. Then took on the unfamiliar role of pacemaker over 1200m and was only run down by Sheeza Belter. That filly is the benchmark for our 2yo season so far. With her off to Sydney I can see value in the $31 dollars for the 1200m Karrakatta Plate (Tabtouch). Can definitely see her winning Saturday but will watch the market to see if she is ready first up off a freshen up and prefer the 1200m. She wont be $31 after Saturday if she go close Saturday.

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Pinjarra Punts

Best Bet Pinjarra r5 Strike Now ; Only won a relocated Narrogin maiden on debut but was impressive all the same and winning form has come out of it since. Just missed next start when having to wait for a run to appear on the fence. Should get clear air to round them up this time.

Pinjarra Quaddie (r4-7) ; 1 2 4 5 6 7 9 10 12 , 5 , 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 , 6 $99 for 100%

* My Baby Blue Jean should be too speedy for them in r7. I’m not going to take odds on about anything in a straight race with an apprentice on but she is drawn to find the outside fence and run them into the ground. If she got to $2 I’d be tempted, for now I’ll just stand her out in the quaddie.

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Wednesday Winners

Ascot r2 Metallon ; It’s debut win was arrogant then went straight to 3yo Saturday grade. Resumes off a solid trial win and with two speedsters engaged should be finishing off hard. Scared stiff of Harmika so having a win bet and quinella with the favourite. If your eligible for tabtouch money back 2nd even better.

Ascot r7 Arno The Fox ; Was ridden very aggressively last start and did a great job to fight on for a close up 3rd. Should get a more economical run from the barrier and can definitely play a part. Think it will drift enough to go 40 / 60 % each way. Blonde Warrior and Luke’s Choice go in the quaddie.

Best Bet Ascot r8 Friar Away ; The two recent 2nds to Holy Enchantment and Come Right Back is far superior form. Won’t be getting too carried away with a full field of Midweek stayers but am pretty confident it runs top 3 .

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Mount Barker r3 Fred Dag ; Has won 5 races and 320k in stakes . Horribly out of form in the metro / provincial region but first run here ran 3rd with 59.5.kgs. Drops to 55kgs in a winnable race. Worth A Risk is clearly the in form runner of the race , $2 for a horse dropping 600m in distance deep into a campaign not worth the risk in my opinion.

Like yesterday not super confident so stake accordingly and hopefully we get it right like yesterday! Please gamble responsibly .

Weekend Winners

`-Ascot r2 Pink Carats ; 1000m specialist who was brilliant last start , keeping the pressure on a fast horse on a leaders track and getting the better of him late. This time he most likely gets a great suck run behind another fast tempo and finishes over the top. $2 is rock bottom but it’s hard to go past him on current form.

Best Bet Ascot r5 Tri For Us ; Did all the work outside the leader at Pinjarra over this distance and gave a good kick before being run down by Jadavi , 3rd was Holy Enchantment. Jadavi finishes like Winx at Pinjarra , winning again since and Holy Enchantment won last Saturday as our very confidently backed best bet. Then went to Albany with 59kgs and was a class above. 59kgs and barrier 10 are tough obstacles to overcome but she is both versatile and tough.

Have been super bullish about some of our best bets lately but declaring today is a very tough day and to stake accordingly.

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Pinjarra Punts

Best Bet Pinjarra r4 Pennys Afield ; Two fast finishing placings to kick off her career has her primed to breakthrough today. The form out of her latest run is much stronger than what she meets here and the extra 100m looks right up her ally. $2.40 is the best I can find (bet365) , wouldn’t be surprised if it jumps odds on , very confident about this one.

Best Value Pinjarra r8 Canto De Guerra : Specific track & distance form is most important for the straight 1000m and although tabtouch says no runs , his last two have been a win and 3rd . The day he won he found the outside fence which is a huge advantage. Finding the outside might be tough from barrier 4 but $10 looks a decent enough value each way play.

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