Best Bet Belmont r5 Bread To Flirt ; She doesn’t win often (3/22) ; however she won in this grade 4 back and has run 3rd in harder races all 3 starts since. From barrier 1 all eyes will be on the cutaway in the earlier races to judge the going as that’s almost certainly where she will make her run.
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Best Bet Belmont r3 Aztec Ruler ; Dropping in grade from an emphatic 3 length win when finally getting things go right. Pays a big price with the handicapper , going up 5.5kgs to 60kgs however being a small field with decent pace engaged I think class can get him over the line. Pompey is the weighted danger , I think we will get better than $2.10 currently on offer , if not the Quinella might be the go.
Best Value Belmont r8 Street Parade ; He’s finished in the top 3 in 10 of 14 starts including some top 3yo races. Resumes off a trial where only WA’s best horse Amelia’s Jewell ran him down late and he looked to be cruising with plenty left in the tank. The two 4yo mares in Baby Paris & My Bella Mae are very smart but they have to give the gelding 5kgs and he is paying a juicy $8 each way. I will be saving on My Bella Mae and risking Baby Paris.
Belmont r9 Count The Sessions ; He’s an absolute rouge who does everything wrong , particularly at the start and here I am tipping him at a metro Saturday meeting!! After being the flashing light horse for what seems like an eternity he has won 2 on the bounce. Last start he began the best he ever has and landed in the perfect position and was never going to lose. Providing he jumps cleanly again ( no guarantee given ) he should get the same run and the way he is going he should repeat the dose.
Belmont Quaddie ; 1 4 , 1 3 4 5 6 8 , 4 10 , 2 3 4 5 8 . $120 for 100%
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Best Bet Northam r5 Miss Ava ; 2 starts ago she put a field away with ease , thrashing two future maiden winners. Last start she ran 2nd to an all the way winner on a leader bias track. That winner went like a busted crab next start and so did one from the maiden win yesterday , both started odds on so some doubt on the strength of the form but this is a weaker race than they contested.
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Belmont Quaddie (r5-8) ; FD/2.4/1.5.7.9/5.6 $144 for 100%
Nothing at any value stands out today so we are concentrating on the quaddie . The vital leg will be the first one as far as a profit goes. Another way of tackling it would be having the short price Pike Favourite (No 6) one out for a larger % than the rest of them . I’m going to roll the dice and hope it gets done.
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Best Value Kalgoorlie r4 Turbo Power & Jakestar ; Two starts ago they ran the quinella this track , distance and grade. Last start they stepped up to 1400m and Turbo was held up for clear running while Jake worked to find the lead and only faded late. Hoping Men’s Club and Talk it Up take each other on , then they will be vulnerable late . Turbo has Poy going on and Jake gets in with 53.5kgs.
Novelties ; 1.3.7/1.3.5.7/1.2.3.5.7/1.2.3.5.7.8 $27 trifecta $81 first 4
Best Each Way Kalgoorlie r5 Pray With You ; We found this one 3 weeks ago at $19 when supported into $9 and our prayers were answered. Again Poy will need to pull out a peach from the carpark like last time but if he can find a back to tow him into the race then I don’t think he should be $9.50 so we go again .
Best Bet Kalgoorlie r6 Laughing Buddha ; While soundly beaten last start at short odds , he looks the kind of horse that needs to be wound up early , he was boxed in behind the leader who got it soft and couldn’t build up the revs quick enough. Drawn barrier 1 I would love him to lead or get off the fence before the corner and try and pinch it . If you could guarantee Galaxy Affair runs out a strong 1600 then he is clearly the one to beat , hopefully with a 5kg advantage we can hold him out. Rocky Path goes in the quaddie.
Quaddie (r4-7) 1.3.5.7/1.2.3.4.5.6.7.8.9.11/2.8.10/6 $120 for 100%
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Best Bet Belmont r1 Hymn’s of Eladdair ; Only defeat was narrow to the unbeaten and richly talented Flash Max on debut. From barrier 1 he either leads or stalks Happy as Larry and from there he’s extremely hard to beat.
Belmont r5 Currimundi ; The only thing stopping this horse today is the barrier / map . It has beaten equal favourite Crescent City on it’s merits twice recently . Might have to come from last and that’s been a problem at Belmont but with only 7 runners and the way he has been hitting the line he still is clearly the one to beat imo.
Belmont r8 Phanta ; While he meets rivals much worse off under the wfa scale , he maps to get complete control out in front . Think he’s going well enough to fight them off under this scenario , especially the way Belmont has been playing lately .
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Best Bet Northam r7 Indie Ruler ; The addition of blinkers did the trick last start, leading them a merry dance . Splitting Miss Ava and Don’t Tell Judas the start prior is strong formlines , getting back on a drier surface a negative. Dun With The Blues will be charging late , staying at 1300m her negative . Both go in the quaddie .
Quaddie (r5-8) ; 2 7 8 9 12 16 ; 1 4 , 1 3 , 1 2 3 4 6 8 10 11 . $224 for 100%
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Best Bet Belmont r5 Flash Max ; Not many horses go from maiden grade to a c1 with the weight jump and get the job done. This bloke did and was truckloaded by punters to do so. While now goes to a c3 , think he is destined for Saturday racing and wouldn’t be surprised to see those who were on last time back the truck up again.
Best Value Belmont r6 Master Alex ; Another one that made the maiden to c1 jump in successive races and the 2nd horse has franked the form . The use of the 3kg claim see’s him well placed to bring up the hattrick at each way prices. Lord Vampi has the most upside but makes the jump from maiden grade to c3 as a young 3yo at just start 3 hence the $2.40 is too short for mine but goes in the quaddie as a definite winning chance.
Quaddie (R4-7) ; 2 3 4 6 7 8 10 , 2 , 2 6 , 1 2 4 5 6 $70 for 100%
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Belmont r6 Songaa ; Providing you can make ground Saturday , there is mad speed engaged in this and he should be able to get to the outside and zap them.
Best Bet Belmont r7 Aztec Ruler ; Bursting to win a race , another one praying for a fair track on Saturday. Ran 2nd first up , blew the start and flashed home 2nd up then came from a mile back against the bias and just missed 3rd up. River Rubicon was unlucky not to win first up but has to outsprint Aztec giving him 5.5kgs.
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Best Bet Pinjarra r2 Petrouchka ; Well bred 3yo on debut who is unbeaten at trials for the lethal Williams / Pike combo.
Pinjarra r6 Miss Ava ; Has always shown ability and put it all together last start , demolishing them with a sharp turn of foot on wet ground. The 2nd horse who she thrashed won it’s maiden yesterday.
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Best Bet Belmont r6 Zaza Rock ; Took 7 runs to breakthrough but run 2nd on 4 other occasions. She’s seems a bit one paced but tough so putting her into the race early like last start might be the key. She has handled a soft 7 , heavy 9 is unknown for all of them. The jump from maiden grade to c1 is very tough in our rating system but it’s wide open and she is each way odds.
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R4 Kelly’s Lassie ; Led all the way over 1800m at Roeburn before being caught wide throughout and being run down by a couple in the straight to finish 3rd at Port Hedland. Barrier 1 with the addition of blinkers and a senior rider should see her lead and prove very hard to run down.
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Best Bet Kalgoorlie r4 Lucky Foo Foo ; Inconsistent galloper who can do a lot wrong in her races. When she gets the right run she has a sharp turn of foot and she used it last start to win impressively. Faithful sticks from a good barrier and $8 each way is juicy enough to see if she can repeat .
Best Value Kalgoorlie r8 Jakestar ; Last start win was strong , sitting 3 wide without cover and beating some of today’s rivals. Gets in with a very light weight after the claim and in a genuine field leg for quaddie players , looks a value bet at $19.
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Best Value Belmont r6 Dance of the South ; Winter staying races are generally wide open raffles , throwing up different results each time. Our tip is in a purple patch of form with a win and two 2nds last 3 starts. While I was disappointed she got run down last start she drops 4.5kgs to the minimum , races on pace and can give cheek. She’s by no means a good thing but at $31 / $6.50 I’m happy to spec her each way.
Best Bet Belmont r7 Duchess of Gossip ; Exciting 4yo Mare who is still in her first racing campaign , and has 4 wins and 2 seconds from 7 starts. The deeper she goes , the stronger her performances so far. She’s versatile and drawn to get every possible with Pike sticking. Unless she’s looking for the paddock she should be far too good here and you have to trust they wouldn’t be here if she wasn’t in tip top order.
Belmont r8 Phanta ; Loves to lead and dictate like he did first up in a very similar field at the same track & distance. With the only other natural leader drawn to his outside a repeat is well and truly on the cards.
Quaddie (r6-9) ; 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 9 10 11 12 , 4 , 4 , 2 3 5 6 7 10 11 12 13 $99 for 100%
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Best Bet Northam r9 Find Your Man ; He’s hit a real purple patch with two devastating wins from the back over 1400m , the latest at this track . Stays in the same grade and I see no reason why he can’t do it again Interesting to see where he settles from barrier 1 , trusting the jockey to find a way through. The favourite Probity is dropping in class but prefers wet ground . Taking on #PIKEINTHELAST is always risky !
Quaddie (r 6 - 9 ) ; 1 5 6 7 12 , 1 2 3 4 8 , 1 2 4 , 2 . $75 for 100% *Numbers 1 3 5 8 are worth including in the last leg if you want to play wider .
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Best Bet Belmont r3 Empress of India ; All 3 runs have been at this track and distance for a win , 2nd and close up 4th which was in strong 2yo company. Big class drop , gains the services of Pike and is drawn to get a perfect run somewhere on top of the speed which has been the place to be lately. I have it priced much shorter than the current $2.30 , 6 weeks between runs some concern .
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The Belmont track is cooked. After covering Bunbury for two summers it desperately needs a rest . I can’t invest on any race with confidence .
Belmont r7 First Encounter is an exciting animal , working through the grades. It would be no surprise to see him feature in carnival races such as the Railway Stakes . $1.75 actually looks decent on face value but there are a few negatives being the track as mentioned and staying at 1400m. I see his best being 1600m and above but he should still have too much class for this field. I’m going to stand him out in the quaddie as my only bet for the program.
Belmont Quaddie r6-9 ; 1.2.3.5.7.9.11/4/1.3.4.8.11/3.7.14.15 $140 for 100
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Pinjarra r5 Kisses From Kelly ; Hit the front early first up before being run down late. Fitter and drawn to get a sweet run , he looks the one to beat.
Best Bet Pinjarra r7 Galaxy Cat ; Has the strongest recent form in the race and his trainer had a huge day yesterday , hopefully it continues .
Quaddie (r5-8) ; 2 (10) ; field , 1 , field $81 for 100% ( $20.25 for 25% on with 10 first leg)
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Belmont r3 Miss Ava ; Has the strongest race form , handles wet ground. Lots of mail around for Don’t Trust Judas on his trial form , very tough day to run first up . The draw is sticky but who knows how the track is going to play today.
Best Bet Belmont r8 Dorado ; Winner on heavy in a stronger race this time last year . Has hit the line hard in 2 runs this prep , again in stronger races. Unplaced in 6 good track runs , I expect the track to be back in the heavy range come the last , hopefully they still racing as when the rain does come I expect the money to flood in . Great each way odds at moment.
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Best Bet Kalgoorlie r1 More Likely ; 2 3rds in 3 starts , both times being held up for clear running . The next two in betting have had 16 cracks at it for a couple of placings each. Michael Poy has hit the ground running in WA and he just has to navigate a passage from barrier 1 to be steering home another winner here.
Best Value Kalgoorlie r2 Pray With You ; Only beaten 2 lengths over 1300m at Pinjarra on debut. That should make him competitive in a weak Kal maiden. Draw makes it very tough but blinkers on first time and It is Sunday Prayers so a little spec each way.
Kalgoorlie r3 Quinella no’s 2 & 3 : Time Scale was first up last week when had to do some work and was only caught late . Should find the top here with less pressure up front. Quick back up 2nd up is some concern but if she handles it she should take running down. Bird’s The Word is up in grade but is always competitive and should get the run of the race. Galaxy Affair is the one most likely to spoil the party. He has a habit of laying in so I’m hoping the other two are off and gone before he winds up.
Early Quaddie (r1-4); 3/1.2.4.5.7.8/2.3/1.2 $24 for 100%
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