Sunday Prayers

Best Each Way Northam r6 True Fiction ; Hit the line nicely first up in what should be a strong form reference for maiden grade . That was 1100m so hoping the better barrier allows him to settle closer coming back to the 1000m.

SRM True Fiction (N5) Top 3 Gingeriffic (N8) top 4. ; Gingeriffic was nabbed for 3rd by True Fiction on the line first up. If it’s the right form line then it has to be included at double figures. Opposite to Ginger , it has a bad gate but is suited dropping back to 1000m.

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Weekend Winners

Best Place Bet Belmont r2 El Patron ; Known as a non winner but has a 50% place record with 3 wins and over 200k in the bank , I’d be happy to own him. Think he sits outside the lead today and that suits him better. If the leader , possibly Rock In Wonder , kicks he will chase him all the way to the line and you never no , might get the bob! Either way he can fight all the way and run a drum at $2.50 . I will go 5% win just in case.

SRM El Patron (1) Rock In Wonder (2) both top 3 /4. ; No prices yet , top 4 very likely , top 3 riskier but much better odds!

Belmont r4 Final Siren ; Both his first up run in the Beaufine and his tick over trial indicate he has come back in fine order. Gets a clear map advantage over his main rival in Stormchaser who will have to pull out something special to run him down.

SRM Final Siren (4) Win Stormchaser (6) Top 3. Basically adding some juice to the winning price of Final Siren. If you think Stormchaser is going to win then take the quinella instead.

Best Bet Cosmic Crusader ; Has a lethal turn of foot and is clearly the best horse in this going forward imo, in fact i could see it as a genuine lightweight Railway Stakes horse. If he can sustain his finishing burst over 1400m first up then he is too classy.

Belmont r7 Snow God : Punters have decided the map advantage and senior jockey over the very progressive Yorga Pride is the way to go and I have to agree. He will be in the firing line and she will be making her run down the middle. The price between the 2 is becoming ridiculous but I can’t see her giving away that much head start.

SRM Snow God (10) Win ; Yorga Pride (4) Top 3 Scully (7) Top 4. ; Scully looks the safest option to add something outside the two obvious with Chris Parnham drawn to get clear air on a horse who is attacking the line well. A quinella on the two favs might be good insurance in case Yorga is one out of the box and Cooper pulls out a peach.

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Bunbury Best Bet

Best Bet Bunbury r2 Pearl King ; Might of just peaked late first up 1400m when only beaten 3/4 length in a stronger maiden than this. Extra fitness should see it going very close in a thin race.

SRM Pearl King (N3) Top 2 , Ordashus (N2) Top 4 .

Really think Pearl King should be winning so top 2 for safety and Ordashus ran 2nd to Productive this trip last start. That is the most reliable form amongst the rest.

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Wednesday Winners

Belmont r5 Kervette ; Won it’s first two starts in WA and then jumped favourite on a Saturday where she had no luck from an inside draw. Well weighted after the claim and looks the one to beat down in grade.

Best Bet Belmont r7 Swift Talker ; Won his maiden on debut , giving the impression he has above average ability. I like the jump to c3 company to stay down in the weights and think he can remain undefeated at start 2.

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Sunday Prayers

Kalgoorlie r5 Gilbatrar Gold ; On her last start win , 1400m looks her ideal distance and she stays in the same class. Yes the leader stopped but the gap to 3rd was significant and this looks no harder.

Best Bet Kalgoorlie r7 Ginger Baker ; Class horse who should lead these with a great pace setting jockey in Brad Parnham booked. He has raced with success in the metro / provincial feature races which on paper look stronger than today. If it was a soft 6 or worse I’d be chips in. The Good 4 and 60kgs bring him back to the pack slightly .Sentimental Hero has a great 2nd up record. He looks the clear danger and is likely the one emerging from the pack to try and chase Ginger down.

SRMGinger Baker (n1) top 2 , Sentimental Hero (n3) top 3 . $3.11 (tabtouch) as previously stated , you can usually find better if you shop around. I am also taking the quinella.

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Weekend Winners

Belmont r1 Quinella No’s 1 & 4 : Rockfest is $1.40 off a 5 length romp on debut in a midweek 3yo . Artistry in Motion is 2nd fav off the back of a 5 length romp in a Bunbury maiden where he jumped $1.26. They look to have panels on the other 3 . The Quinella is so obvious it might be short but the one we tipped Thursday was the same and paid $2.30. Not much more risk in locking Champagne Crusader (2) for 3rd in the trifecta.

Best Bet Belmont r7 Fluro Neuro ; Has run 5 2nds in a row , all in feature races against better horses than it meets here. He simply tries his heart out every start and is ready to win another race. Barrier 10/10 the only sticking point , the track should be pretty sloppy by now and we will back Pike to navigate the draw. He has won on heavy previously.

Best Value Belmont r8 Autumn Rebel ; Won this track & distance 2nd up and drops weight thanks to a claim. Ran a close 2nd first up on heavy so conditions no problems. I have it marked favourite so will gladly accept the $7 each way on offer.

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Northam Numbers

R1 Quinella No’s 1 & 3

Prince is the raging odds on fav based on his win on the sand and 2nd to now Saturday winner Niccimota down the Pinjarra straight. $1.60 is too short for mine , both those races set up differently to the Northam 1000m. Seeyouatthesession is a track and distance winner who only finished 2 lengths behind Ginger Morpheus first up for a new stable. It will be a very popular quinella in the 5 horse field but they look superior to the rest. No odds for the SRM for both to finish top 2 which is the fixed odds version of a quinella , around $2.50 worth locking in.

R5 SRM Eternal Wine (9) Top 2 , Gingeriffic (6) Top 3

Eternal Wine has been hammered in betting on debut off the back of a near last to first trial victory. The Lanetrain money is generally on the money . Gingeriffic is a half to ex duck Magnasonic. Didn’t do much at her one 2yo start but the trials have been promising , she has a soft draw and blinkers first time. I’m not willing to take odds on in a Northam maiden so the SRM is my bet.

No prices available at time of posting. As I tip WA racing I always use tabtouch as a reference. When placing them however I find their prices to be close to the lowest available so shop around .

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Wednesday Winners (Updated)

Best Bet Belmont r2 Urquharts Bluff ; This is a fascinating situation and even more fascinating market. 6 days ago Urquharts Bluff bolted in a maiden when he was mistaken for the wrong horse and rightly disqualified. 2nd (promoted to first) in that race was Xentaro and they meet again with the former the current $3.20 fav vs $5 for the horse who beat it hands down. Is it the jockey’s booked ? Whatever the reason if both front up tomorrow my monies with the value.

SRM 1 N3 Urquharts Bluff Top 2 , N5 Xentaro Top 3 . $$3.35 (tabtouch)

SRM 2 N3 Urquharts Bluff Top 3 , N5 Xentaro Top 3 , n2Surfside Session Top 4 $4.24 (Tabtouch)

While Xentaro looks unders , it is drawn to get the run of the race with Brad Parnham booked from barrier 1. I have Surfside Session as the hardest to beat but his map with 60kg is much more difficult. Both these SRM should go close providing Urquharts delivers. I will also be having a stand alone win bet.

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Wednesday Winners

Best Bet Belmont r2 Urquharts Bluff ; This is a fascinating situation and even more fascinating market. 6 days ago Urquharts Bluff bolted in a maiden when he was mistaken for the wrong horse and rightly disqualified. 2nd (promoted to first) in that race was Xentaro and they meet again with the former the current $3.20 fav vs $5 for the horse who beat it hands down. Is it the jockey’s booked ? Whatever the reason if both front up tomorrow my monies with the value.

I will update and add a SRM after scratchings in the morning

Weekend Winners

Belmont r1 Paint it Red ; Has run 2nd to one of the most promising 3yo’s in the state and beaten a Saturday winner at two career starts to date. This looks easier so naturally she looks very hard to beat.

Best Bet Belmont r3 Niccimota ; She looked a moral last start and proved punters right to remain undefeated down the Pinjarra straight. Her only 2 wins from 11 starts have been at that unique track and distance so you might question why she is $2 and my best bet on a Saturday. All her career she has led until late in her races and I think she has strengthened up this prep. First up she was only run down by Ginger Morpheus who jumped at $1.32 at it’s next start. 2nd up was Pinjarra and now she finds a weak Saturday race where like always she controls from the front. .

SRM Niccimota Win , Go Go Grommet Top 3 ; Go Go Grommet is the other 1000m specialist in the race and also has Ginger Morpheus form lines. Tricky barrier for ZJP to navigate but sitting 3 wide over 1000m is not disastrous No odds available at time of posting.

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Wednesday Winners

SRM Belmont r3 No’s 1 & 10 Top 3

With the wet conditions I am drawn to the runners with recent race fitness opposed to first up / on debut. Jimmy Angel (1) has had two starts either side of a spell for a 2nd in 2yo Stakes grade over 1100m and a first up 2nd in a 1000m maiden. He hit the line late in both , indicating today’s 1200m will suit better . I’m Genevieve (10) won a very weak Kalgoorlie 1100m maiden by 3 lengths on debut. Track was soft that day and she was strong through the line so with natural improvement she can handle the rise in grade. The other 3 in the market are either on debut or first up . The SRM is currently paying $3.53 (tabtouch) . Both are paying $5.50 for the win in a field of 7 so the other option is to back both equally for the win and you still make a decent profit if one salutes.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Kalgoorlie r4 Chipily ; Ex Victorian who only got run down on the post first run for the new stable. When interviewed after winning the last yesterday , jockey Tash Faithfull threw it out as her best ride , that’s a good push considering her strong book.

Kalgoorlie r8 Dreamers Never Die ; Think Pearly Nugget would win this so naturally picking the horse with two 2nds behind her makes sense. Not sure leading is his go , a sit right behind the pace from barrier 2 would see him hard to hold out.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Belmont r5 Triple The Chant ; Passed the tricky maiden to C1 test with aplomb , putting them away both times with an explosive turn of foot. Now looks for the hatrick in graduation company on a Saturday . That is a significant jump , especially going around as favourite , but it’s the right time of year to try it . Rock In Wonder is an on pace runner who took full advantage of a severe bias last start to score. If leaders are dominating early he probably jumps favourite and wins. Hardest to beat on a fair track also for quinella punters.

Newman r6 King Mahuta ; After winning the Broome Cup easily , despite sitting 3 deep throughout , surely he just wins the Newman Cup 1 week later. Reginald beat King Mahuta by 1/4 length in the Port Hedland cup and has 2.5kg weight swing in this race to turn around a 5.7 length defeat at Broome. It’s more about the fav carrying 60kgs (up from 54kgs) on the 7 day back up for mine and if he handles it he’s too good.

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Wednesday Winners

Pinjarra R2 Niccomotta ; Very speedy customer who will always lead for a long way over 1000m but be very vulnerable late. Her 1 win was down the Pinjarra straight 1000m where she actually gave them no chance of running her down so I am banking on the fact she finds the outside fence from her draw without any opposition and holds them comfortably. Wet track stats are poor however I feel leading on the outside fence is more important than the ground condition this track and distance. Obviously at odds on it’s a question of how to make money without risking the house. See below for a multi idea.

Best Bet Pinjarra r4 Choux Shoe ; Has been settling a long way back lately and hitting the line hard . Out to 1600m from a much better barrier , expect her to settle closer and be awfully hard to beat.

Multi : Niccomotta win into Choux Shoe place get’s the odds to $2.24 (tabtouch) , providing the first leg wins we can then back the 2nd leg to win with confidence that a place gets our money back.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Bet Carnarvon r6 Prince Ragnar ; Won a 3 horse trial with 14 and 54 lengths back to the other 2. The time he ran would win nearly any Carnarvon 1000m race in history. 61kgs under race conditions is a different kettle of fish to a 3 horse trial but $5 is a damn good price to take the punt he can run them into the ground.

Quaddie (r3-6) 1 , 1 2 3 6 7 8 9 , 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 14 , 1. $77 for 100%

Not willing to take $1.70 on Gold Spy (first leg) from barrier 9 with 61.5kgs , but on it’s first two runs in the region it should be a cheap , safe start to the quaddie.

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Weekend Winners

Best Bet Broome r2 Fire The Guard ; Looks a genuine race in 2 with Private Sapling and holds a barrier / map advantage over that galloper .

Belmont r3 Madhi Girl ; Has rediscovered her best on the winter wet tracks over 1000m and is presented with another very similar race going for the hatrick.

Belmont r8 Kervette ; 2/2 at the midweeks since arriving in the state and both wins were very strong late. Form has been franked Wednesday , looks very hard to hold out on the minimum.

Win Multi Paying $19.64 Place $2.65 (Tabtouch)

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Weekend Winners

The Pinjarra track was very poor last week from a punter’s perspective and with this weeks meeting again transferred , It is really a non event. Nothing against the club , they are providing a surface that at least see’s the meeting go ahead . Instead of finding winners I have analyzed a couple of runners that have been good to us recently and rated their chances .

R2 Be Awesome ; It’s recent wet track form is as good as most in this . Considering the $4 fav is a last start maiden winner , the $21 is probably a little disrespectful. Vital the rain has arrived to consider , she needs it wet (3/6 on soft , 2/2 at Pinjarra.

R8 Dirty Chai ; Lining up her Carnarvon dirt form with today’s race is next to impossible however there is no denying how well she’s going for the new stable. Her winning margins have been out of this world , including one trip to Bunbury on a soft track. Not as well weighted , extra 100m drawn 14/14 and will have company trying to cross over , it looks like the bubble may burst . Connections are right to have a crack though , if she does cross she most likely gives cheek at $20 .

Northam Numbers

Best Each Way Northam r7 El Patron ; Hasn’t fired a shot this prep but drops 5kgs coming out of graduation company with the use of a 4kg claimer. I had Climb On Top clearly on top coming from the same form reference and El Patron a place chance so naturally after the scratching we go each way. His Ascot form last prep is good enough , maybe better suited on good tracks , let’s find out.

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Wednesday Winners

Belmont r2 Zourun Run ; 1100 to 1400 , 54kgs to 59kg’s , 3 weeks between runs , this filly has certainly been set a task however her win last start was too impressive to ignore . Trusting Neville Parnham knows what he’s doing!

Mad Roughie Belmont r5 Squillionaire ; Has a very solid record of 23 starts for 6 wins and 7 placings. Her 1000m record is 6 starts for 3 wins , 2 placings. Soft track stats 4 starts for 2 wins 1 placing. Why is she 100-1 then ? Her trial was lackluster and her 2nd up record is much better than 1st up . When she’s not on song she can really put in a stinker and other times she surprises at odds. The new batch of 3kgs apprentices are cleaning up and from barrier 1 I’m going to waste a couple of bucks chasing the dream.

Best Bet Belmont r6 Triple The Chant ; Broke through at start 5 recently with a soft come from behind victory over 1600m. Had no luck at her previous runs , some by her own doing , some out of her control. Not many horses win c1’s straight after maidens but providing you can make ground as is her racing pattern , she won too easily not to tip as the best bet on the program.

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Sunday Prayers

Best Double

Port Hedland R 1 Sansanee ; 16 starts for 1 2nd and 4 3rds and being asked to take $1.90 ???? First start on the dirt was a close 2nd to Gold Spy with a gap to 3rd. If you followed the tip on him at Carnarvon on Friday then you would understand why we are so keen . He destroyed a much harder field.

Port Hedland R5 Border Control ; 4/4 at Port Hedland , I have him marked considerably shorter than $2.50 to make it 5/5 .

The Double is currently paying $4.75 Tabtouch

Kalgoorlie r3 SRM

Pearly Nugget Top 2 , Magnasonic Top 3. . I have the fav clearly on top and if we are on her back then we should be the only danger and would be bitterly disappointed if we didn’t at least run top 3.

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